blogs.lse.ac.uk 
<https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2019/12/13/uk-general-election-the-view-from-across-europe/>
  


UK general election: The view from across Europe


5-6 minutes

  _____  

The Conservative Party’s victory in the UK’s general election was keenly 
watched elsewhere across Europe.  
<https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2018/09/10/swedens-election-results-the-view-from-across-europe/#Author>
 Stuart Brown presents an overview of analysis and reactions from the continent.

“Johnson convinced a majority of voters he could get them out of a maze in 
which they had been stuck for more than three years”

Le Monde 
<https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2019/12/13/royaume-uni-victoire-historique-pour-les-conservateurs-aux-legislatives_6022713_3210.html>
  writes that whatever one may think about Boris Johnson’s “disdain for 
details”, he has won a “masterful victory”. El País 
<https://elpais.com/internacional/2019/12/13/actualidad/1576215795_050013.html> 
 notes that while the future of the NHS and the “revolutionary economic 
proposals” of the Labour Party have been discussed at length, the election 
remained about Brexit and “Johnson convinced a majority of voters that he could 
get them out of a maze in which they had been stuck for more than three years”.

Benjamin Triebe 
<https://www.nzz.ch/international/wahlsieg-von-boris-johnson-die-wirtschaft-ist-erleichtert-ld.1528262>
 , writing for the Neue Zürcher Zeitung, focuses on the economic impact of the 
election. He argues the rise in the value of the pound that occurred after the 
polls closed suggests the prevailing sentiment is that it is better to have “a 
sure Brexit than an insecure socialism”. Spiegel 
<https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/pressestimmen-zur-wahl-von-boris-johnson-in-grossbritannien-a-1301077.html>
  has a roundup of reactions across Europe, with perhaps the most memorable 
line coming from the Swedish newspaper Aftonbladet, which concludes that “we 
can be happy the circus will be over – even if the clown stays on stage”.

Labour’s defeat

Labour were the clear losers of the night, with Jeremy Corbyn indicating that 
he would not lead the party in a future election campaign. Kristian Steinnes 
<https://www.vg.no/nyheter/utenriks/i/Xg2l1n/boris-johnson-holder-vinnertale-vi-klarte-det>
 , a Professor at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, cites the 
impact of tactical voting in traditional Labour areas as an important element 
in the result: “several traditional Labour areas strongly favour Brexit but are 
sceptical of the Conservatives… many have ultimately considered Brexit as being 
more important than supporting Labour”. Elsewhere, Jakub Krupa highlights 
Corbyn’s low personal approval ratings in the role of opposition leader as a 
key factor.

Pol Morillas, Director of the Barcelona Centre for International Affairs, 
states that Corbyn’s inability to craft a strong alternative to Johnson’s 
message effectively handed victory to the Conservatives.

Meanwhile, Yanis Varoufakis calls the result “a spectacular own goal for the 
extreme centre who chose to conduct a war of attrition against Corbyn’s 
sensible Brexit”.

“Scotland, the thorn in Johnson’s side, risks becoming a new Catalonia”

Alongside the Conservatives, the other big winners of the night were the 
Scottish National Party, who significantly increased their share of the seats 
in Scotland and now claim to hold a mandate for a second referendum on Scottish 
independence. In the words of the SNP’s leader, Nicola Sturgeon 
<https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/nicola-sturgeon-boris-johnson-has-no-mandate-to-take-scotland-out-of-eu-1-5061848>
 : “People in Scotland have made it very clear they didn’t want Boris Johnson 
as Prime Minister and they don’t want Brexit… There is a mandate now to offer 
the people of Scotland the choice over their own future.”

Antonello Guerrera, the London correspondent for la Repubblica 
<https://rep.repubblica.it/pwa/generale/2019/12/13/news/scozia_la_spina_nel_fianco_di_boris_johnson_che_rischia_di_diventare_un_nuovo_caso_catalogna_-243351649/?ref=RHPPTP-BL-I243148012-C12-P1-S5.4-T1>
 , states that Scotland is now a “thorn in Johnson’s side” and that the 
situation risks becoming a replica of the standoff over independence in 
Catalonia. El Mundo 
<https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2019/12/13/5df262a9fc6c8349748b4620.html> 
 describes the result as an “independence wave” which provides momentum for 
another referendum in 2020. Robert Shrimsley at the Financial Times 
<https://www.ft.com/content/4f00331a-1d3c-11ea-97df-cc63de1d73f4>  takes a 
similar line, writing that “while the Conservatives secured Brexit, they may 
lose the UK” and that “the next few years will be dominated by the next stage 
of the UK’s departure and the fight to keep Scotland in the Union”.

What next?

Leadership elections are now on the horizon for both Labour and the Liberal 
Democrats. Le Figaro 
<https://www.lefigaro.fr/flash-actu/corbyn-tres-decu-ne-conduira-pas-les-travaillistes-aux-prochaines-elections-20191213>
  profiles Corbyn’s period as Labour leader and assesses where the party’s 
future might lie. They also feature an interview with LSE’s Tony Travers, who 
explains that British politics has undergone a major realignment, given the 
Conservatives now represent many lower income households in traditional 
manufacturing areas in northern England.

Finally, Die Welt 
<https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article204276112/Grossbritannien-Wahl-Welchen-Boris-Johnson-Europa-jetzt-bekommt.html>
  asks whether the large majority Johnson now enjoys will increase the 
likelihood of a soft Brexit, citing diplomatic sources who indicate he made a 
positive impression on European leaders during their meetings in October. The 
article concludes there is now little reason for the British Prime Minister to 
follow the wishes of hardline Brexiteers and a “harmonious” relationship 
between the UK and the EU may be possible. Charles Michel, President of the 
European Council, indicated on Friday morning that the “EU is ready for the 
next phase” and “will negotiate a future trade deal which ensures a true level 
playing field”.

Note: This article does not represent the position of EUROPP – European 
Politics and Policy or the London School of Economics. Featured image credit: 
Number 10 <https://www.flickr.com/photos/number10gov/48622013923/>  (CC 
BY-NC-ND 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/> )

 _________________________________

Stuart Brown – LSE
Stuart Brown is the Managing Editor of EUROPP and a Research Associate at the 
LSE’s European Institute.

 
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