Kon: Then it is better to introduce curfew, Belgrade is now a dominant 
potential bomb


Epidemiologist Predrag Kon said that we have to stop the virus and that it used 
to be easier when there's a state of emergency and restrictive measures in 
force 

Source: B92 Wednesday, July 15, 2020 | 17:58 

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Printskrin: TV B92

He said in the show Focus on B92 television that we have to understand that we 
have a long fight ahead of us. 

"Again, at one point when the state of emergency was lifted, it was realized 
that everything was over, that is one big mistake that will remain historically 
recorded," Kon concluded. 

He mentioned all the events that were organized in the meantime and assessed 
that there was no one who "can feel proud of understanding these measures". 

"It was expected that the warm weather would reduce that transmission, which 
became explosive. There was a super-transmission of the virus, where there is 
chanting, shouting loudly, where there is sweating, evaporation, there is 
aerogenic transmission," he said. 

Kon said that when it comes to the transmission of coronavirus by air, if you 
are close at a distance of less than a meter and in the open, it is not 
impossible to transmit the virus airborne and by droplet transmission. 

"When one wears a mask and the one who is infected does not, I am protected 
only 30 percent. If I do not wear, and the infected wears, I am protected 95 
percent, and if we all wear masks, then we are protected 99 percent. The virus 
had spread so quickly that we can think that everyone has been in contact with 
the virus. If we are all going to be in self-isolation, then it is better to 
introduce curfew," he concluded. 

He reiterated that new measures have been introduced on the obligatory wearing 
of protective masks everywhere in Serbia. 

"Belgrade had measures of obligatory wearing of a mask and it was related only 
to the environments in which an emergency situation was declared. Now it is 
mandatory for everyone, regardless of that," Kon said. 

He added that it is "strongly recommended" for people over the age of 65 to 
wear masks always, even outside, especially when they are waiting in line. 

"What kind of parents would be willing to let their children go to the park to 
play in this situation if they are small," he said. 

As he mentioned, people must understand what is not good for them and that this 
is exactly what is forbidden. 

Kon said that every collective sport is risky due to the impossibility of 
keeping a distance, but that there is a limit to gathering of more than 10 
people. 

According to him, some things may change by August, but that the matches will 
probably be played with no audience.


"Belgrade is now a dominant potential bomb"


"Situation in Belgrade had worsened. 13.433 people with symptoms of respiratory 
infections showed up in Belgrade on July 13. 2.863 were examined and 1.444 were 
tasted for swabs. Every third person who was suspicious turned out to be 
infected," he said. 

He said that by wearing masks, we're helping not only ourselves, but also 
health workers. 

"Measures can be applied immediately, without waiting until Friday. We should 
expect results now. Belgrade is the dominant potential bomb at the moment," he 
said. 

As he said, on July 13, the presence of the virus was recorded in five 
kindergartens, including three employees and six parents. 

"The virus has spread with the general population this time, especially in 
Belgrade," he said. 

Kon said that there is no more room for tightening measures, except for the 
introduction of a state of emergency. 

"The main measure is no performances, theaters, weddings, birthday 
celebrations. We covered it all with one measure, there are no night 
gatherings", he said, adding that he could not expect anyone to work against 
himself. 

He reminded that it was recommended to wear masks before, and that there was a 
gradual introduction to the current situation. 

"Someone can look critically or not, the truth is important. Everyone has the 
right to see it in one way or another," Kon said.


Capacities for COVID patients are being expanded


Kon reminded that the hospital capacities for COVID patients are being 
expanded. 

"What we expect from day to day, these data for the entire territory of Serbia, 
may indicate that we have reached some leveling. As far as Belgrade is 
concerned, there has been no leveling yet," he noted. 

As he said, only until the curve starts to flatten, we are in an awkward 
situation whether there will be enough space in hospitals.


On the vaccine


"We have to provide a safe vaccine. All those vaccines are certainly 
interesting to many, but the regulations must be respected," Kon said. 

As he said, only when all phases of research are done, only then can it be 
used. 

"I am very skeptical," he said when asked if there will be vaccines against 
COVID-19 in Serbia by the end of the year.

 

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