nationalinterest.org
<https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/why-serbia%E2%80%99s-latest-missil
es-are-being-pointed-nato-177633>  


Why Serbia's Latest Missiles are Being Pointed at NATO


by Michael Peck

4-5 minutes

  _____  

Here's What You Need to Remember: The Serbian missiles are also a warning
that if NATO attacks Serbia again, the Serbs will retaliate against any
neighboring state that assists the alliance.

Still angry after NATO's 1999 bombing campaign, Serbia has unveiled a new
guided rocket that sends a message to its neighbors: if you help NATO bomb
us, we'll bomb your cities.

Serbia's new Sumadija
<http://defence-blog.com/news/serbia-develops-sumadija-tactical-missile-with
-ranges-exceeding-280-km.html>  is a truck-mounted weapon that can hit
targets 175 miles away. IHS Jane
<http://www.janes.com/article/68023/idex-2017-yugoimport-unveils-giant-grad-
rocket> 's describes it as a four-hundred-millimeter rocket with a 440-pound
warhead and an inertial-navigation guidance system. 

A defense expert in Serbia, which fought Bosnia and Croatia in the 1990s and
was bombed by NATO in 1999 over the Kosovo conflict, told Russian media
<https://sputniknews.com/military/201703041051263518-serbia-missile-nato/>
that those missiles will fly if Serbia's neighbors help NATO again.



Trump lauds economic steps between Serbia and Kosovo

"This is exactly what Serbia needed to prevent its regional neighbor's
possible participation in the 1999 aggression against us," Miroslav
Lazanski, a military analyst for Serbian newspaper Politika, told Russia's
Sputnik News. "The Sumadija can also hit big cities in neighboring
countries."

"Hopefully no such conflict will ever happen," Lazanski said. "But if it
does and someone is crazy enough to make his airspace available to any third
country willing to attack Serbia [like Bulgaria did in 1999], we now have a
missile to reach all the strategic cities in the region." 

Serbia is also quadrupling its modern jet fighter force, courtesy of Russia
and Belarus. Russia is selling Serbia six MiG-29s
<https://www.rt.com/news/377184-serbia-russian-jets-delivery/>  as well as
Buk medium-range antiaircraft missiles in a $640 million sale. At the same
time, Belarus, a Russian ally, is donating eight more MiG-29s and two Buk
antiaircraft missile systems.

"The MiGs will be equipped with the most modern arms, radars, optical and
communication systems," said Serbian defense minister Zoran Djordjevic. This
will significantly boost Serbian combat air strength, which now comprises
just four MiG-29s, three MiG-21s slated for retirement soon, and another
fifteen Yugoslavian-made light attack jets. 

Meanwhile, Serbia's archrival Croatia is shopping for a new fighter to
replace the nation's aging MiG-21s. "The two leading contenders for the
planned contract reportedly include Lockheed Martin's F-16 and Saab's JAS-39
Gripen," according to Defense News
<http://www.defensenews.com/articles/croatia-serbia-arm-up-with-nato-soviet-
weapons> . "Considered alternatives comprise the French Mirage, Israel's
Kfir, as well as a variant of South Korea's T-50."

However, Croatia's attempted purchase of Ukrainian MiG-21s resulted in a
government corruption
<http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/air-space/2016/03/29/croatia-fight
er-jet-ukraine-mig-21/82375290/>  investigation last year. 

Even with the additional MiG-29s, Serbian air strength will only be a
fraction of the of the former Yugoslavia's air force before the country
splintered during the early 1990s. During NATO's 1999 bombing campaign,
Serbia lost
<https://web.archive.org/web/20090503211241/http:/www.janes.com/defence/news
/kosovo/jdw990401_01_n.shtml>  five MiG-29s shot down in 1999, four by
American F-15s and F-16s, and a fifth downed by a Dutch F-16.

With Serbia and Croatia rearming, is war coming to the Balkans? Some Balkan
analysts say the arms purchases don't necessarily presage an arms race
<http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/article/croatia-serbia-arms-race-far-from-r
eality-12-29-2016>  in the region. With Croatia a client of the West, and
Serbia enjoying closer ties to Russia, it is natural for both nations to
seek arms from their patrons. 

But the Serbian missiles are also a warning that if NATO attacks Serbia
again, the Serbs will retaliate against any neighboring state that assists
the alliance.

Michael Peck is a contributing writer for the National Interest. He can be
found on  <https://twitter.com/Mipeck1> Twitter and
<https://www.facebook.com/michael.peck.967> Facebook. This first appeared
several years ago. 

Image: Reuters. 

 

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