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Kosovo-Serbia licence plate dispute signals return of tit-for-tat politics


Nikola Đorđević nikola__dj

6-8 minutes

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Relations between Kosovo and Serbia are at their lowest ebb for years, with
the border between the two countries blocked by Serbs unhappy over new
licence plate rules. 

Kosovo and Serbia are blaming each other for a dispute over vehicle licence
plates that on September 21 led to border crossing points between the two
countries becoming blocked.

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The dispute began the previous day, when Kosovo began implementing a policy
which requires vehicles entering the country with Serbian-issued licence
plates to replace them with temporary, Kosovo-issued plates costing five
euros.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić called it "one of most difficult days for
the Serbian people in Kosovo".

The border was blocked by protestors from the predominantly Serb-populated
north of the country, who Kosovo police were unable to disperse despite
using tear gas.

Kosovo's decision to begin implementing the new rules is seen by analysts as
yet another tit-for-tat move: Serbian police have been removing
Kosovo-issued license plates entering the country for years.

"While a 2011 agreement allows Kosovars to travel into Serbia with identity
documents issued by Prishtina, and vice-versa, and a further agreement in
2015 establishes mutual recognition of car insurance. However, the two sides
do not recognise one another's car licence plates and require cross-border
drivers to purchase temporary plates," explains Maja Bjeloš, a researcher at
the Belgrade Centre for Security Policy.

This issue was supposed to have been solved in 2016 with a new agreement
that would allow Kosovar drivers to paste stickers over "offending" [i.e.
Kosovo] insignia on their licence plates, but the deal was never actually
implemented in practice.

Besides never being fully implemented, the "sticker deal" was limited to a
period of five years. Kosovo claims its actions this week are based on the
fact that the deal has expired.

"The Kosovo government announced well in advance that the five-year sticker
agreement will expire in mid-September 2021, and that there will be no
extension," Bjeloš tells Emerging Europe..

"Meanwhile, Vučić has done nothing to extend the deadline or renew the
agreement or to inform and prepare [Serb] citizens about how reciprocity
will function in practice."


A smorgasbord of agreements


For Bjeloš, this an example of how Serbs in northern Kosovo are being held
hostage to the Brussels-led process designed to resolve the status of Kosovo
once and for all, but which has been stalled for months.

"Due to the non-transparency of the entire negotiation process, the public
does not know the basics - what was signed and when, and which agreements
have expired," she says.

Zijad Bećirović from the Ljubljana-based think tank IFIMES similarly notes
that the two sides are treating the previous agreements - including the deal
signed in Washington last year - as a "smorgasbord" from which items are
chosen selectively.

In her recent farewell tour of the Western Balkans, German Chancellor Angela
Merkel again said that the status of Kosovo must be resolved before Serbia
can enter the European Union.

But with dialogue halted, this latest dispute suggests that the negotiation
process is heading into reverse, back to a time of so-called "reciprocity
policies" that in 2019 resulted in Kosovo imposing 100 per cent import
tariffs on Serbian products in response to Serbia's de-recognition campaign,
which began in 2017 and led to around a dozen countries which had previously
recognised Kosovo's independence changing their minds.

"The Kosovo government will want to be treated as an equal partner. So, yes
there will be more of the same type of policies," says Vladimir Gligorov, a
senior research associate at the Vienna Institute for International Economic
Studies (wiiw).

Marko Savković, the executive director of the Belgrade Fund of Political
Excellence, also expects more tit-for-tat policies.

"I believe this marks the beginning of reciprocity as he [Kosovo prime
minister Albin Kurti] understands it, and we'll see where he takes it from
here. One step he could consider, for instance, is demanding different or
additional labels for Serbian products," he tells Emerging Europe.


No commitment to dialogue


All of which makes the prospect of renewed Kosovo-Serbia dialogue
increasingly unlikely.

"Kurti and Vučić should be held accountable for making freedom of movement
more difficult and increasing tensions by engaging Kosovo special police
forces and the Serbian army instead of engaging in diplomatic talks. Caught
in the crossfire, citizens will bear the greatest consequences," warns
Bjeloš.

One further issue, according to Savković, is that both Kosovo and Serbia
currently see the EU as weak and are willing to test its limits.

"One way out would be for the EU to take a firmer stance, to start setting
the agenda once again, to note and report all failures to implement existing
agreements and hold both sides to account. I would go as far as suggesting
the suspension pre-accession assistance until both sides show a renewed
commitment to dialogue," he says, but adds that such a risky move is
unlikely.

"Relations between Serbia and Kosovo are at their lowest level since the
start of the EU-brokered negotiations in 2011. Both the Serbian and Kosovan
leaders are acting as if they do not want dialogue to succeed. Both are
showing little commitment to implementing current agreements, or to working
on a final, comprehensive deal," Bjeloš concludes.

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