Responsible Statecraft 
<https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/02/09/the-west-must-accept-that-russia-is-a-key-player-in-europe/>
 
  

The West Must Accept that
Russia is a Key Player in Europe


Putin has been sending warning signals for over a decade; once the Ukraine 
crisis is over, nothing will be the same.


February 9, 2022
By Robert E. Hunter <https://responsiblestatecraft.org/author/rhunter/> 

As the United States tries to cope with the crisis in Ukraine, missing so far 
is a clear sense of “what next?” — that is, once the current imbroglio is over, 
as inevitably it must be. 

As Vladimir Putin continues to keep the West and the world in suspense about 
his intentions 
<https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/07/europe/ukraine-russia-news-monday-intl/index.html>
 , at least one thing is clear: there will be no going back to the status quo 
ante. Even if Mr. Putin decides that he has made his point and would like to 
deescalate, the character of security and other arrangements in Europe will be 
different from what they were before this crisis.

Russia will henceforth be a “player,” certainly in Europe, to a degree it has 
not been since the collapse of the Soviet Union 30 years ago or at least since 
the West, in particular the United States, stopped taking seriously legitimate 
Russian security interests around 1998. For nine years before that, there was a 
serious attempt to create what George H.W. Bush had called, and Bill Clinton 
also pursued, a “Europe whole and free 
<https://usa.usembassy.de/etexts/ga6-890531.htm> ” and at peace. From then on, 
after those U.S. officials who understood the demands of trying to make this 
grand strategy work had left government, the default position became that, as 
the “sole superpower,” the United States (along with NATO) could do what it 
wanted in Europe and Russia be damned.

Looking at what has happened this past year, no one can say that Putin didn’t 
give fair warning, as early as his presentation in January 2007 at the Munich 
Security Conference <http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/24034>  
(attended by this author), when he excoriated Washington for trying to have 
everything its own way. He was ignored. Russia was further ignored when, in 
2008, NATO declared that Ukraine and Georgia “will become members of NATO 
<https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/official_texts_8443.htm> ,” not because 
the allies believed it — they didn’t — but rather to deal with a major misstep 
by the G.W. Bush administration in its desire to enlarge NATO well beyond what 
could be needed for Western security.

[Continue Reading] 
<https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/02/09/the-west-must-accept-that-russia-is-a-key-player-in-europe/>
 

 

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