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Europe, welcome to the new reality


7-9 minutes

  _____  

The assistance that NATO can provide to Ukraine is limited. What will this war 
on European soil bring to Europe? 

Source: DW Friday, March 25, 2022 | 07:07 



EPA-EFE OLIVIER HOSLET

The Alliance has to organize its future. And the ability to defend, says DW 
Brussels correspondent Bernd Riegert. 

NATO must deal with a completely new security situation. Alliance Secretary 
General Jens Stoltenberg calls it a new reality, a new normality. Russia's 
attempt to subjugate Ukraine takes the world back 30 to 40 years, during the 
Cold War, when heavily armed military blocs stood in the middle of Europe 
facing each other. 

When the aggressive war of the Russian ruler ends one day, NATO will have to 
put Russia and its allies, such as Belarus, behind the Iron Curtain. The new 
world order imposed on the West by Vladimir Putin will then be characterized by 
the isolation of hotbeds of danger. 

The big question for NATO and the global West then will be: how to approach 
China? That communist dictatorship seems to be following a similar path as 
Putin's Russia. Therefore, that country, which could soon become the 
economically strongest power in the world, will also have to be limited and 
isolated. The United States and Europe must once again become more independent 
than China - with its decades long cheap production, where products are 
exported and from which existential raw materials are imported. Deglobalization 
or reversal will follow when it comes to international networking, which has 
been wanted and encouraged for the last 40 years.


A new strategy is needed


NATO must take all this into account in its new strategy, which should be 
developed by the next summit in June in Madrid. And all that will work only if 
there is a president in the White House who will turn to Europe and the 
transatlantic alliance like Joe Biden after 2025. One cannot even imagine what 
would happen if Donald Trump made decisions in the United States. Russia's 
aggression shows Europe that it cannot do without the United States. 

Sanctions against Russia and Belarus will remain in force even after the end of 
the war, which we hope will come soon. The goal must remain to disable the 
activities of the Russian economy and society, at least as long as Putin's 
system exists. That is why NATO now faces gigantic tasks. It is not enough to 
transfer several thousand soldiers and establish four new combat battalions to 
four countries on the eastern borders of the Alliance's territory. 

NATO today would not be able to quickly repel a strong Russian attack on land 
or at sea. Doubts also arise as to whether nuclear intimidation, a key element 
in the balance of power during the Cold War, still works today. If there is 
someone in the Kremlin who may not care if the one who uses atomic weapons dies 
first, then nuclear intimidation does not work.


Grab your weapons


NATO, the EU and the West face a huge task of arming and strengthening armed 
forces. The first countries, such as Germany, recognized that and announced an 
increase in their defense budgets. One must now be honest and say that the 
money must go to rebuild the territorial army, with infantry, tanks, artillery 
and a strong air force. It will be an immeasurable financial and social task 
that will be reflected in people's everyday lives. 

With a professional army, moderately motivated as it is today, it will be quite 
difficult to achieve. Germany and other countries could be forced to 
reintroduce conscription in order to create the necessary army and reserve for 
effective intimidation. It sounds like a call from a gloomy past that was 
thought to have been overcome. Unfortunately, this is a new reality. It is 
clear to NATO who is to blame: it is Putin's war. The only possible conclusion 
follows: Putin must be removed.

 

-- 
http:www.antic.org
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