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Is America making a new plan for Serbia?


10-12 minutes

  _____  

There are more and more insinuations and analyses that Washington is returning 
its focus to the Western Balkans. 

Source: Blic Wednesday, August 10, 2022 | 14:49 

EPA/EFE/VALDRIN XHEMAJ 

Will the USA once again have the strongest influence in the Western Balkans - 
this is the question that arises after a group of US senators from the 
Democratic and Republican parties presented a draft law that aims to support 
economic development, trade and the fight against corruption in our region. 

It is about a draft law known as the Law on Democracy and Prosperity of the 
Western Balkans, and along with it the American senators also released a draft 
law on special sanctions to suppress destabilizing activities in the Western 
Balkans. 

Both of these legal acts, which were supported by both Democrats and 
Republicans, indicate that the USA is following everything that happens in the 
Western Balkans with great attention and not only that, but wants to influence 
the economic, political and every other process in this region. 

Democratic Senator Zhanna Shahin, who introduced both draft laws, pointed out 
that the initiative comes as a result of increased concern in the Western 
Balkans over the war in Ukraine. As she said, the relationship of the USA 
towards the region is crucial at this moment where "Russian President Vladimir 
Putin's intentions to spread malignant influence throughout Eastern Europe are 
evident", which is why the region's rapprochement with the EU and NATO should 
be strengthened. 

"The new bipartisan law strengthens trade and investment between the USA and 
the Western Balkans, while fighting corruption, through the adoption of a 
special law for sanctions against destabilizing actors. All this paves the way 
for wider Euro-Atlantic integrations," said Shahin. 

US senators see this bill as an opportunity to further strengthen relations 
between the US and the Western Balkans, expand economic opportunities and 
support efforts to improve democracy and eradicate corruption.


Support for "Open Balkans"


Also, in the draft law, American senators supported the common regional market 
in the Western Balkans and the "Open Balkans" initiative, which, as they point 
out, has great potential for improving economic conditions in the region. 

Whether and what can change in the Western Balkans after this draft law in the 
USA is a topic that will be relevant in the coming months and years in the 
entire region.


They neglected the region a bit


The president of the "Libek" educational and research center, Miloš Nikolić, 
points out that the proposal of this law in a way represents "the awakening of 
America in relation to the Western Balkans". 

"The impression of the vulnerability of our region was only reinforced by the 
invasion of Ukraine. There was a justified impression that the US somewhat 
neglected this region, and that other great powers, primarily Russia and China, 
took advantage of this in the previous decade," Nikolić emphasizes for "Blic". 
As he says, that proposal has several layers - economic, security, energy, 
infrastructural, educational-cultural, media aspects. 

"It is a comprehensive proposal to strengthen the strategic presence of the USA 
in our region in the long term. Some of the goals of the proposal are more 
urgent, such as, for example, the position of the EUFOR mission in Bosnia and 
Herzegovina. Others focus on regulating the area of sanctions, which is 
partially included in the decrees of the President of the USA", Nikolić 
assesses.


Economic support is the most important


Nikolić believes that for Serbia, the most important goals of the American 
draft laws are related to "support in the field of building economic prosperity 
and strengthening democratic institutions, that is, support in the field of 
regional infrastructure projects". 

"The adoption of a five-year strategy is foreseen here. The support that our 
companies and the private sector, and above all small and medium-sized 
companies, can receive in this sense can be very significant for the economy. 
In this context, it is important to emphasize that the proposal explicitly 
underlines the great potential and initiatives of the Open Balkans. I would 
also particularly like to point out that the importance of educational 
cooperation, partnerships between universities and the importance of youth 
cooperation is recognized," underlines Nikolić.


A stronger instrument for combating corruption


Suzana Grubješić from the Center for Foreign Policy also shares the opinion 
that the war in Ukraine and Russian aggression have returned the focus of the 
USA to the Western Balkans because, as she says, the integration of the region 
into Euro-Atlantic structures remains unfinished business. 

"Secondly, the US is paying more and more attention to China's presence in the 
region, which could also imply increased US engagement," Grubješić assesses. As 
she says, the US will create new anti-corruption initiatives that will cover 
the entire region. 

"It will expand the powers for the American sanctioning of the corrupt, as well 
as the construction of new regional economic initiatives that should improve 
the region's competitiveness on the global market," Grubješić underlines. 

Our interlocutor reiterates that in June of last year, U.S. President Joe Biden 
passed a decree with similar content as these draft laws. 

"The initiative of six senators from both American parties gives the United 
States of America a stronger instrument for combating corruption and Russian 
and Chinese influence in the Western Balkans," concludes Grubješić.


About corruption


"Libek" President Miloš Nikolić is not optimistic that the American bills will 
contribute much to the fight against corruption in the Western Balkans. 

"The fight against corruption is something that must not be seen as homework 
from the outside, but as the authentic will of our domestic political actors. 
This proposal implies certain mechanisms to support that will. But this remains 
something that primarily depends on the will of the elected politicians within 
the countries of our region and the foreseen sanctions will not be able to 
change that much," Nikolić apostrophizes.


Russian influence is decreasing


Nikolić believes that even without these American laws, Russian influence in 
the Balkans "will inevitably decrease in the long term due to the changed 
geopolitical circumstances on our continent." 

"The idea behind this proposal is how to ensure that due to this historic 
retreat, Putin's Russia does not cause fractures that could politically and 
security wise destabilize the region. This proposal aims to fill strategic 
voids before others. Therefore, a wide range of support and cooperation 
opportunities are offered , which is not only of the declarative type," 
believes Nikolić.

 

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