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"This time the end of history has really arrived"


8-11 minutes

  _____  

Francis Fukuyama, a senior fellow at Stanford University's Institute of 
International Studies, says evidence has emerged that the end of history is 
near. 

Source: Jutarnji list Friday, October 21, 2022 | 10:59 



EPA-EFE SERGEI ILNITSKY / POOL

Fukuyama, an American philosopher of Japanese origin, is also known for his 
book "The End of History and the Last Man", which he published in the early 
nineties, in which he argued that the progression of human history as a 
struggle between ideologies was largely at an end, with the world settling on 
liberal democracy after the end of the Cold War and the fall of the Berlin Wall 
in 1989. 

In the book, Fukuyama argues that "with the ascendancy of Western liberal 
democracy, which occurred after the Cold War (1945–1991) and the dissolution of 
the Soviet Union (1991), humanity has reached "not just the passing of a 
particular period of post-war history, but the end of historyas such: That is, 
the end-point of mankind's ideological evolution and the universalization of 
Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government". 

Fukuyama now says that over the past decade, global politics has been shaped by 
strong states whose leaders were not constrained by law or constitution. Russia 
and China, for instance. These two countries showed that they are more capable 
of solving any problem, compared to liberal democracies that are too slow. And 
that wave spread. 

But during this year it became apparent that there are key weaknesses at the 
core of these strong states. This philosopher points out two such key 
weaknesses: firstly, the concentration of power in the hands of one leader at 
the top almost guarantees low-quality decision-making, and over time produces 
truly disastrous consequences. Secondly, the absence of public discussion and 
debate in 'strong' states, as well as any accountability mechanism, means that 
support for the leader is shallow and can erode at a moment's notice. 

On the other hand, Fukuyama points out that liberal democracies have withstood 
all crises throughout history, and people return to that concept because no one 
wants to live under a dictatorship. Millions of people leaving poor, corrupt or 
violent countries to seek a better life, not in Russia, China or Iran, but in 
the liberal, democratic West, demonstrate this well. 

According to Fukuyama, the weaknesses of the "strong" states were well 
reflected in Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin alone makes decisions - 
even the former Soviet Union, he says, had a politburo in which a party agent 
had to check political ideas. Putin could be seen sitting at the end of a long 
table with his defense and foreign ministers amid fears of COVID-19, so 
isolated that he had no idea how strong Ukrainian national identity had become 
in recent years or how fierce the resistance would be to his invasion of 
Ukraine. 

Similarly, he knew nothing of how deep corruption and incompetence had taken 
root in his own military, how poorly the modern weapons he had developed were 
malfunctioning, or how poorly trained his chosen command staff was. Fukuyama 
points out that all the shallowness of Putin's support was revealed when he 
ordered partial mobilization and when those who fall under it began to flee 
Russia. Russia has actually become a global object of ridicule and will suffer, 
Fukuyama estimates, further humiliations from Kyiv in the coming sessions. 

The entire Russian military position in southern Ukraine is likely to collapse, 
and the Ukrainians have a real chance to liberate Crimea for the first time 
since 2014. Something similar, although a little less dramatic, is happening in 
China, according to Fukuyama. Instead of collective leadership, China switched 
to a personalist system, and Xi Jinping secured himself a new, five-year term, 
the third in a row, which no other senior official can come close to. And that 
concentration of authority in one person has led to poor decision-making and 
the country's economy is suffering. 

They also failed their "zero covid" policy because China failed to develop 
effective vaccines, so now what two years ago seemed like a triumphant success 
in controlling COVID-19, has turned into an aggravating debacle. Such failures 
of authoritarian regimes are not limited to China and Russia. There is also 
Iran, which is rocked by protests over the death of Mahsa Amini when she was in 
the hands of the morality police. 

According to Fukuyama, Iran is in a terrible state - it is facing a banking 
crisis, it is running out of water, it is experiencing a large drop in 
agricultural production, and it is struggling with paralyzing international 
sanctions and isolation. The regime is led by a small group of old men whose 
social attitudes, as he assesses, are several generations out of date. 

The only country that can qualify as even more poorly governed is that of 
another dictatorship, Venezuela, which has produced the world's largest influx 
of refugees in the past decade. 

Fukuyama points out that the United States remains the big mystery in all of 
this, unfortunately. Some 30 to 35 percent of their voters still believe the 
bogus story that the 2020 presidential election was rigged, and the Republican 
Party has been taken over by followers of former President Donald Trump's MAGA 
movement, who are doing their best to put all deniers in office powers across 
the country. 

The party's alleged leader, Tramp, has sunk ever deeper into a conspiracy 
frenzy that he believes could reinstate him as the president and that the state 
should criminally punish his presidential predecessors, including one who is 
already dead, Fukuyama claims.

 

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http:www.antic.org
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