spectator.co.uk 
<https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-break-up-of-bosnia-herzegovina-cannot-come-soon-enough/>
  


The break up of Bosnia-Herzegovina cannot come soon enough


Andrew Tettenborn

6–8 minutes

  _____  

If you fret about a democratic deficit in the EU or even Britain, turn your 
mind for a moment to one European country with a very peculiar form of 
democracy indeed. In this country, divided into two parts which hardly deign to 
speak to each other, your right to vote, to be returned, and in certain cases 
to stand for office, depends on your declared ethnicity. The presidency is 
split among three people, again chosen by law on ethnic lines. 

The whole affair is presided over by a High Representative, a kind of 
international proconsul (previous appointees include Paddy Ashdown; the present 
one is a softly-spoken German former agriculture minister). They possess almost 
plenary powers to change the law or the constitution by a stroke of the pen. 
Last year the incumbent calmly changed the electoral rules just after the votes 
had been cast in a general election. 

The pantomime horse democracy currently embodied by this nation cannot be but a 
temporary measure

Welcome to the political madhouse of Bosnia-Herzegovina, a state where 
everything depends on whether you identify as Bosnian, Croatian, Serbian, or 
‘none of the above’. This is a place where almost the entire political system 
is set up to give each of these groups a veto over any meaningful measure the 
others may want to pass.

Yesterday, in a decision which, for once, we should welcome with open arms, the 
European Court of Human Rights sensibly said this would not do. The case was 
brought by a Croatian intellectual by the name of Slaven Kovačević, living in 
Sarajevo, who preferred not to identify with any ethnic group. He made a couple 
of understandable points. 

First, he said, he had no meaningful right to vote for his candidate of choice 
for president, because constitutionally only self-declared Serbs, Croats or 
Bosnians could run at all. Further, he argued that if his choice was a Serb he 
would be disqualified from choosing him because Sarajevo was not in the Serbian 
part of Bosnia-Herzegovina (one of the country’s two divisions, known as 
Republika Srpska, and not, of course, to be confused with Serbia proper). 

Second, under the byzantine system of indirect elections for the House of 
Peoples, the upper house of the federal parliament, he again was constrained to 
vote for a declared Serb, Croatian or Bosnian at local level. This was because 
the upper house itself was legally divided on ethnic lines and its membership 
chosen by ethnic caucuses.

Without going into too much detail, the court had little difficulty in saying 
that, however bloody the history of the former Yugoslavia and however 
well-meaning the desire to change its course, a constitutional divvying up of 
an electoral system on racial or ethnic lines was contrary to the ECHR 
guarantees of a fair electoral system. It also, they also ruled, went against 
to an additional protocol (signed by Bosnia-Herzegovina, though interestingly 
not by the UK) guaranteeing a right to non-discrimination. 

So far so good. But what now? Immediately, one suspects, not much. This is 
actually the sixth time since 2009 that Strasbourg has pronounced against 
aspects of the ethnically-based electoral system in Bosnia. All five earlier 
decisions remain unimplemented: the elaborate system of blocks and vetos which 
largely make up the Bosnia-Herzegovina constitution has ensured a stalemate. 
The betting must be on this one sharing the same fate. 

What of the the longer term? The difficulty is that, as one suspects most 
statesmen know but none dare admit, it doesn’t really matter what the European 
Court says. A non-ethnic electoral system is a non-starter for the simple 
reason that Bosnia-Herzegovina is not a viable state. 

The entity was set up following Bill Clinton’s brokering of the Dayton Accords 
in 1995 as a means of ending the post-Yugoslavia carnage in Bosnia. The aim was 
to forge a kind of ever-closer union, supposedly guaranteed by a Peace 
Implementation Council of about 40 countries, including the US, Britain and the 
leading EU states. That union has not come about. 

One reason for this is historical memories. The Croat Ustasha’s atrocities 
against Serbs and dissident Bosnians in the 1930s and 1940s, and more recently 
the genocide of Bosnians in 1993 by Serbs at Srebrenica, have not been 
forgotten. Even between Bosnians and the (less numerous) Croats there is little 
love lost: the interference with last year’s election by the High 
Representative was an attempt to hold the ring between them. 

More recently, the Republika Srpska has made no secret that it wants out. It 
has already passed unilateral legislation disavowing the legal force of 
judgments of the federal constitutional court, and annulled the orders of the 
High Representative. 

True, the US and the EU maintain a polite fiction of this unified state as a 
permanent arrangement. The US has sanctioned some of the more thuggish Serbian 
partisans, and the EU last year dangled the carrot of EU candidate status, 
despite presumably realising that if push came to shove it would be lunatic to 
admit such a wasps’ nest into its bosom. Neither is likely to be very effective 
in maintaining unity. 

Put bluntly, the pantomime horse democracy currently embodied by this fractious 
and factitious nation, and its control by an international civil 
servant-cum-technocrat wielding absolute power, cannot be but temporary 
belt-and-braces measures. It will have to end sometime. Moreover, for all the 
world’s pious insistence that nation-building must continue, the only plausible 
longterm answer is a break up, if necessary with some kind of international 
force keeping the peace between two or more probably three states.

Indeed, if you seriously believe in democracy rather than the pale imitation 
that currently passes for popular sovereignty in Bosnia-Herzegovina, your 
attitude should be that a break up cannot come too soon. Who knows, an 
independent Bosnia or Herzegovina might well adopt a form of democracy that 
even the most demanding Strasbourg judge could not fault. Stranger things have 
happened.

 

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