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<https://lansinginstitute.org/2025/01/17/after-the-referendum-rejection-vucic-will-try-constitutional-changes/>
  


After the referendum rejection, Vucic will try constitutional changes - Robert 
Lansing Institute


4–5 minutes

  _____  

Following recent events in Belgrade, where student protests erupted to oppose 
government corruption, nepotism, and other grievances, Serbian President 
Aleksandar Vucic made a notable announcement via Instagram. He invited the 
opposition to request an advisory referendum to assess public support for his 
presidency. Citing a survey by the non-governmental organization CRTA 
<https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1849857207736868990> , which indicated that 
over 50% of citizens were against him, Vucic dismissed the findings as foreign 
influence. In his message, he stated, “Because the CIA and others claim I lack 
public support, if this data is correct, then it makes no sense for me to 
remain President.” Vucic then urged opposition parties to gather the necessary 
parliamentary signatures to initiate the referendum. Similarly, Milenko 
Jovanov, head of the Serbian Progressive Party’s parliamentary group, and Ana 
Brnabic, Speaker of the Serbian Assembly, echoed this call.

The past two months have revealed widespread dissatisfaction with governance in 
Serbia. The collapse of the Novi Sad train station roof, which resulted in 15 
deaths, served as the tipping point. Allegations suggest that the renovation 
contract with a Chinese company was either mismanaged or entirely unsupervised. 
This incident sparked protests across Serbia, with recent figures showing over 
100,000 participants, many of whom are students from 60 faculties. While 
authorities in Belgrade have downplayed the protests, offering much smaller 
participation estimates, Vucic recognizes the power of student-led movements, 
which have historically instigated political change across the region. In 
response, the ruling party has begun attempting to manipulate the protests and 
proposing a referendum to reaffirm Vucic’s political authority.

The opposition in Belgrade, however, refused to take Vucic’s bait. Within 24 
hours, they rejected his referendum proposal and instead called for a 
transitional government to navigate the crisis. With international support, 
such a government would establish conditions for free and fair elections—a 
prospect Vucic swiftly dismissed. Meanwhile, attempts to infiltrate and 
discredit the protests have been reported. Infiltrators carrying nationalist 
slogans and symbols, such as the Nazi-inspired “No Surrender” slogan from the 
Battle of Stalingrad or flags depicting Kosovo as part of Serbia, were seen 
among demonstrators. Despite the failure of the initial referendum proposal, it 
is unlikely that Vucic will abandon his efforts to consolidate power.

It seems probable that Vucic will now turn to constitutional reforms to secure 
his position, following a playbook similar to that of Vladimir Putin in 2020. 
Putin’s constitutional changes allowed him to extend his presidency beyond 
2024, with amendments permitting his re-election until 2036. These changes also 
included symbolic measures, such as affirming Russia’s status as the Soviet 
Union’s successor, emphasizing Russians’ faith in God, defending the Soviet 
Union’s role in World War II, and defining marriage as a union between a man 
and a woman. The Kremlin leveraged state-controlled media to highlight 
provisions that ostensibly increased state support for citizens, thereby 
masking the primary intent of consolidating Putin’s power.In Serbia, Vucic is 
likely to frame any proposed constitutional changes as “patriotic reforms” 
aimed at strengthening the nation. Nationalism has been Vucic’s most potent 
political tool since coming to power, and he is expected to exploit the current 
protests to further his agenda. By infusing nationalist elements into the 
narrative, Vucic could divert public attention away from the original causes of 
the protests—government corruption, nepotism, and mismanagement—and refocus it 
on patriotic rhetoric. Should another referendum occur, it would likely follow 
these constitutional changes and serve as a means to legitimize Vucic’s 
extended rule, solidifying his power for the foreseeable future.

 

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