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<https://dtt-net.com/opinion-trump-finds-more-criminals-to-befriend/>  


[Opinion]: Trump finds more criminals to befriend


~4 minutes

  _____  

By Daniel Serwer,  @DanielSerwer <https://twitter.com/DanielSerwer>  ,

Washington, 30 October 2025, dtt-net.com / peacefare.net 
<https://www.peacefare.net/>  – It’s hard to get too excited about anything in 
the Western Balkans these days. But the Trump Administration lifting sanctions 
on Milorad Dodik and his cronies 
<https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20251029>  merits comment.

This move is apparently in exchange for Dodik stepping down from the presidency 
of Republika Srpska (RS). His conviction in a Bosnian court required that he do 
that.

This unprincipled transaction will do no good in the Western Balkans. The best 
I can say is that the US can reimpose the sanctions if Dodik gets out of line. 
But yielding to intense lobbying and contributions to Republican campaign 
coffers is not making America great. It is making Trump rich and America small.

The backstory

Dodik has campaigned against the sovereignty and territorial integrity of 
Bosnia and Herzegovina for almost two decades. He threatens secession and 
advocates the “Serbian world” (aka Greater Serbia), including the 
Serb-controlled 49% of Bosnia. He has trained and equipped paramilitaries and 
police and defied Bosnia law repeatedly while serving in official positions.

The former RS President finally got his comeuppance in February. He was 
convicted of defying orders of the High Representative. He is an international 
official charged with ensuring implementation of the Dayton peace agreements 
that ended the 1992-95 Bosnian war.

Dodik has spent many years and many millions lobbying in Washington. No doubt 
that has included big charitable and political contributions, not from him 
directly. The Trump Administration has made it clear its decisions are for 
sale. We shouldn’t be surprised when someone walks away with one they wanted.

What else?

Trump is notoriously transactional, but just as notoriously a bad negotiator. I 
would like to know if the Administration got anything more than Dodik stepping 
down. Did he promise to shut up about secession and the Serbian world? Did all 
his cronies pledge to stop milking RS finances? I wouldn’t trust anything they 
say. But if you are going to relieve them and their ill-gotten gains from 
sanctions you should get something in return.

The State Department is claiming this will relieve the crisis in Bosnia. What 
crisis? At last Bosnia was on getting rid of someone who created most of the 
crises of the past two decades. Dodik’s conviction was not a crisis. It was 
justice.

Of a piece

Trump’s record is clear. He has repeatedly pardoned American criminals and 
opposed the Brazilian court that convicted former President Bolsonaro. Lifting 
sanctions on Dodik is of a piece with those decisions.

Let’s hope it stops there. There are lots more Balkan criminals looking for 
favors from Trump. And if this decision betokens a realignment to support 
unbridled Serb nationalism, the region is in for a rough ride.

———————————————————————————————————————-—————-

Daniel Serwer is a Professor of the Practice of Conflict Management as well as 
director of the Conflict Management and American Foreign Policy Programs at the 
Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

This opinion was first published at peacefare.net <https://www.peacefare.net/>  
website.             

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do 
not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of dtt-net.com.

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