bloomberg.com
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-08/serbia-shocked-over-croat
ia-s-stance-on-opening-eu-chapters-ims0eq3s>  


Serbia 'Shocked' Over Croatia's Stance on Opening EU Chapters


Gordana Filipovic

April 8, 2016 - 11:21 AM EDT 

Is U.S. Consumer Spending Weakening?

The U.S. consumer might have gone AWOL in March.

Bank of America Corp.'s proprietary aggregated credit and debit card data
suggests that retail sales excluding cars flatlined last month.

"Given difficult annual comparisons, this leaves sales down 0.1 percent
year-over-year," writes Deputy Head of U.S. Economics Michelle Meyer.

Lower-income households, which spend a disproportionately higher amount of
their take-home pay on fuel, have been registering better annual retail
sales growth excluding autos and gas than richer households as oil prices
started falling in 2014.

Disconcertingly, this gasoline dividend might have been fully paid.

"In the past few months, spending for the low-end consumer has slowed,
falling back below the growth rate of the high-end cohort," notes Meyer.

Source; Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Without growth from the U.S. consumer, the largest segment of the economy,
the American expansion has rather precarious support.

During an interview on
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-04-07/is-u-s-consumer-spending-we
akening> What'd You Miss, Bloomberg's Matthew Boesler noted that excluding
autos and gas, retail sales have been growing at a solid clip, underscoring
the broad-based resilience of the U.S. consumer to date. Auto sales weakened
in March on an annual basis, said Boesler, and if other components followed
suit, this would jeopardize the Federal Reserve's outlook for the U.S.
economy. 

Retail sales for March are slated to be released on Wednesday, with
economists expecting sales to advance by 0.3 percent month-over-month
excluding autos and gasoline.

In February, retail sales including those two items declined
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-15/retail-sales-in-u-s-fell-
in-february-after-january-revised-down>  on a monthly basis and January's
print, initially recorded as an advance of 0.2 percent, was revised into
negative territory.

 

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