in.reuters.com <http://in.reuters.com/article/in-britain-eu-idINKCN0Z902O>  


'Explosive shock' as Britain votes to leave EU, Cameron quits


By Guy Faulconbridge and Kate Holton

LONDON Britain has voted to leave the European Union, forcing the
resignation of Prime Minister David Cameron and dealing the biggest blow to
the European project of greater unity since World War Two. 

Global financial markets plunged on Friday as results from a referendum
showed a 52-48 percent victory for the campaign to leave a bloc Britain
joined more than 40 years ago. 

The pound fell as much as 10 percent against the dollar to touch levels last
seen in 1985, on fears the decision could hit investment in the world's
fifth-largest economy, threaten London's role as a global financial capital
and usher in months of political uncertainty. The euro slid 3 percent.

World stocks saw more than $2 trillion wiped off their value, with indices
across Europe heading for their sharpest one-day drops ever. Britain's big
banks took a $100 billion battering, with Lloyds, Barclays and RBS plunging
as much as 30 percent at one point. 

The United Kingdom itself could now break apart, with the leader of Scotland
- where nearly two-thirds of voters wanted to stay in the EU - saying a new
referendum on independence from the rest of Britain was "highly likely".

An emotional Cameron, who led the "Remain" campaign to defeat, losing the
gamble he took when he called the referendum three years ago, said he would
leave office by October.

"The British people have made the very clear decision to take a different
path and as such I think the country requires fresh leadership to take it in
this direction," he said in a televised address outside his residence.

"I do not think it would be right for me to be the captain that steers our
country to its next destination," he added, choking back tears before
walking back through 10 Downing Street's black door with his arm around his
wife Samantha. 

Quitting the EU could cost Britain access to the EU's trade barrier-free
single market and means it must seek new trade accords with countries around
the world. A poll of economists by Reuters predicted Britain was likelier
than not to fall into recession in the coming year.

The EU for its part will be economically and politically damaged, facing the
departure of a member with its biggest financial centre, a U.N. Security
Council veto, a powerful army and nuclear weapons. In one go, the bloc will
lose around a sixth of its economic output.

"It's an explosive shock. At stake is the break up pure and simple of the
union," French Prime Minister Manuel Valls said. "Now is the time to invent
another Europe." 

The result emboldened eurosceptics in other member states, with French
National Front leader Marine Le Pen and Dutch far-right leader Geert Wilders
demanding their countries also hold referendums. Le Pen changed her Twitter
profile picture to a Union Jack and declared "Victory for freedom!"

The vote will initiate at least two years of divorce proceedings with the
EU, the first exit by any member state. Cameron - who has been premier for
six years and called the referendum in a bid to head off pressure from
domestic eurosceptics - said it would be up to his successor to formally
start the exit process.

His Conservative Party rival Boris Johnson, the former London mayor who
became the most recognisable face of the Leave camp, is now widely tipped to
seek his job. 

Johnson left his home to jeers from a crowd in the mainly pro-EU capital. He
spoke to reporters at Leave campaign headquarters, taking no questions on
his personal ambitions.

"We can find our voice in the world again, a voice that is commensurate with
the fifth-biggest economy on Earth," he said.

Lawmakers from the opposition Labour Party also launched a no-confidence
motion to topple their leader, leftist Jeremy Corbyn, accused by opponents
in the party of campaigning only tepidly for its pro-Remain stance.

'INDEPENDENCE DAY'

There was euphoria among Britain's eurosceptic forces, claiming a victory
over the political establishment, big business and foreign leaders including
U.S. President Barack Obama who had urged Britain to stay in.

"Let June 23 go down in our history as our independence day," said Nigel
Farage, leader of the eurosceptic UK Independence Party, describing the EU
as "doomed" and "dying".

On the continent, politicians reacted with dismay.

"It looks like a sad day for Europe and Britain," said German foreign
minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier. His boss Angela Merkel invited the French
and Italian leaders to Berlin to discuss future steps.

The shock hits a European bloc already reeling from a euro zone debt crisis,
unprecedented mass migration and confrontation with Russia over Ukraine.
Anti-immigrant and anti-EU parties have been surging across the continent,
loosening the grip of the establishment that has governed Europe for
generations.

U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump, whose own rise has been fuelled by
similar anger at the political establishment, called the vote a "great
thing". Britons "took back control of their country", he said in Scotland
where he was opening a golf resort. He criticised Obama for telling Britons
how to vote, and drew a comparison with his own campaign.

"I see a big parallel," he said. "People want to take their country back." 

U.S. Vice President Joe Biden said Washington would have preferred Britain
remain in the EU but respected the decision.

Britain has always been ambivalent about its relations with the rest of
post-war Europe. A firm supporter of free trade, tearing down internal
economic barriers and expanding the EU to take in ex-communist eastern
states, it opted out of joining the euro single currency or the Schengen
border-free zone.

Cameron's ruling Conservatives in particular have harboured a vocal anti-EU
wing for generations, and it was partly to silence such figures that he
called the referendum in 2013.

Back then it looked like a sure thing. But the 11th hour decision of Johnson
- a schoolmate from the same elite private boarding school - to come down on
the side of Leave gave the exit campaign a credible voice.

Even until the last minute, bookmakers and financial markets had
overwhelmingly predicted a Remain vote.

World leaders including Obama, Chinese President Xi Jinping, German
Chancellor Angela Merkel, NATO and Commonwealth governments had all urged a
Remain vote, saying Britain would be stronger and more influential in the EU
than outside.

The four-month campaign was among the divisive ever waged in Britain, with
accusations of lying and scare-mongering on both sides and rows over
immigration which critics said at times unleashed overt racism.

At the darkest hour, a pro-EU member of parliament was stabbed and shot to
death in the street. The suspect later told a court his name was "Death to
traitors, freedom for Britain".

The campaign revealed deep splits in British society, with the pro-Brexit
side drawing support from voters who felt left behind by globalisation and
blamed EU immigration for low wages. Older voters backed Brexit; the young
mainly wanted to stay in. London and Scotland supported the EU, but swathes
of England that have not shared in the capital's prosperity voted to leave.

THREAT OF UK BREAK-UP

The United Kingdom itself now faces a threat to its survival. Scottish First
Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it was "democratically unacceptable" for
Scotland to be dragged out of the EU against its will.

"It is a statement of the obvious that the option of a second referendum
must be on the table and it is on the table," she said, two years after
Scots voted to stay in the United Kingdom. "I think an independence
referendum is now highly likely."

The financial turmoil was the worst global shock since the 2008 economic
crisis, and comes at a time when interest rates around the world are already
at or near zero, leaving policymakers without the usual tools to respond. 

The body blow to global confidence could prevent the Federal Reserve from
raising interest rates as planned this year, and might even provoke a new
round of emergency policy easing from all major central banks, despite their
limited options. 

The Bank of England pledged a huge financial backstop to calm plunging
markets. Governor Mark Carney said it was offering to provide more than 250
billion pounds ($347 billion) plus "substantial" foreign currency liquidity
and it was ready to take additional measures if needed.

Other central banks around the globe also intervened in markets. The
European Central Bank said it was ready to provide euro and foreign currency
liquidity if necessary. 

Left unclear is the relationship Britain can negotiate with the EU once it
leaves.

To retain access to the single market, vital for its giant financial
services sector, London may have to adopt all EU regulation without having a
say in its shaping, contribute to Brussels coffers, and continue to allow
free movement as Norway and Switzerland do - all things the Leave campaign
vowed to end. 

EU officials have said UK-based banks and financial firms would lose
automatic access to sell services across Europe if Britain ceased to apply
the EU principles of free movement of goods, capital, services and people.

Huge questions also face the millions of British expatriates who live freely
elsewhere in the bloc and enjoy equal access to health and other benefits,
as well as millions of EU citizens who live and work in Britain.

(Additional reporting by William James, Kylie MacLellan, Sarah Young,
Alistair Smout, Costas Pitas, Andy Bruce and David Milliken in London, and
Steve Holland in Turnberry, Scotland; Writing by Mark John and Pravin Char;
Editing by Peter Graff)

 

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