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Serbia's future is euroskeptic | Europe | DW.COM | 11.08.2016


Deutsche Welle (www.dw.com)

Stereotypes are difficult to overcome, even when they are called into
question by hard facts. Usually, older people are said to be more
reactionary, more conservative and more nationalist than the young - all the
more so in Serbia, where today's middle-aged people and pensioners were
actively involved in the Balkan wars of the 1990s, or at least hailing those
conflicts. That's exactly why a recent poll came as a shock: not the "usual
suspects" are opposed to the EU - the younger generation is.

A slim majority (51 percent) of the 18- to 29-year-olds wants their country,
an accession candidate, to terminate its integration into the EU. By
contrast, two thirds of the older respondents support integration. Other
results of the poll, conducted by the Belgrade-based NGO Institute for
European Affairs, are less surprising: 80 percent of the total population
are against recognizing the independence of the former southern province of
Kosovo, 82 percent are against a possible accession to NATO. Likewise, the
orthodox "Mother Russia" is considered the best friend, whereas,
traditionally, Croatia is the worst enemy.

What's behind it? Are Serbian youths more susceptible to nationalist ideas?
Or is it just a case of unfulfilled promises of a bright EU future, which
most severely disappoint the young? After the turnaround in 2000, when
former president, Slobodan Milosevic, was ousted in the wake of a public
uprising, all Serbian governments pushed for EU accession, at least
formally. Yet they achieved very little: Belgrade finds itself merely at the
beginning of complicated accession negotiations, and the country is still
rife with corruption and nepotism.

The young generation is particularly affected by this plight: 43 percent are
out of work - according to official statistics, deemed sugarcoated by many
critics. The EU, however, which until recently seemed like a paradise
compared with Serbia, has shown many deficiencies during the last couple of
years. Serbia, too, sees rumors about a "collapse of the EU" being spread,
with the public discussing it. 

My backyard, your backyard

Denis Olujic has completely different reasons for his skepticism: "We don't
need anyone from outside telling us what to do in our country." The
23-year-old student likes it plain and simple - everyone should be able to
call the shots in their own backyard. And the West, as a neighbor, sets too
many ultimatums for a future within the EU, he continues: "I believe that
recognition of Kosovo as an independent state will ultimately be the
condition for EU accession. Therefore we need powerful allies, like Russia
and China. Otherwise, we won't have a chance."

He was still a baby when his parents joined the tide of refugees who were
fleeing Croatia. The operation "Storm" liberated Croatia at the end of the
war, but it partially turned into a retaliation campaign against civilians.
This has left its mark - everything associated with "the West" - recognition
of Kosovo, EU, or even NATO accession - is out of the question for Olujic. 

While Denis dismisses EU accession as "submission," Suncica is simply
disappointed 

But not all of those who view Brussels with skepticism are "patriotic" or
even well disposed towards Russia. Rather, the youth of today grew up with
promises made by various political elites, which suggested that there was no
alternative to the EU and that, once that Serbia became a member, that would
be the start of a golden era. "However, the integration process has so far
turned out to be long-winded and inefficient," says 25-year-old Suncica
Milanovic.

Like many of her contemporaries, the actress doesn't have a regular job and
no longer believes in a windfall courtesy of European financial pots. "There
are many malfunctioning countries in the EU. If Serbia implemented the
necessary reforms on its own, we wouldn't need the EU at all."

Better explanation required

Political scientist Tibor Moldvai is an employee at the institution which
conducted the survey. The fact that youths are turning their backs on the EU
has shocked him, too. Talking to DW, however, he tried to come up with a
number of explanations: "The younger generation has three primary sources of
information - family, media and schools. And all of those three sources have
fallen short in recent years."

But to him, the internet is the main culprit. Wheras the parent generation
has become known as the most persistent TV audience worldwide, young people
are running around with their smartphones, like everywhere else. "Some of
their peers have right-wing attitudes. They share those people's texts
without a deeper analysis of what they've just read. The educational system,
in turn, does not support a critical way of thinking," says Moldvai.

Learning by heart is still in great demand in Serbia - for example from
history books which celebrate the Serbs as a nation of heroes and conceal
Serbian war crimes.

The political scientist, however, does not want to blame the "evil" internet
alone. No, the political elite obviously hasn't done enough to highlight the
positive aspects of the EU. "We must make more of an effort, because the
longer the integration process takes, the more people will be skeptical."

But how is that supposed to work? Is there still "no alternative" to the EU,
as its advocates in Serbia usually point out? Or has it ceased to be
attractive, now that people know that Brussels is not necessarily equivalent
to milk and honey, and that it asks for considerable commitment to reform
and political concessions?

Of course, the EU is the best direction to take, Moldvai thinks. "We just
have to explain that more succinctly, instead of pedantically discussing
whether the EU is currently forcing us to buy cucumbers, or banning homemade
Slivovitz."

 

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