Pandora’s box


 


The leaders of Kosovo and Serbia talk about swapping land


Their real plan may be to swap Serbian recognition of Kosovo for Serbian 
autonomy within it

 


Print edition | Europe


Aug 30th 2018 | PRESEVO AND MITROVICA

THE end of the Yugoslav wars 20 years ago left hundreds of thousands of people 
in states they did not regard as their own. Tough, said the peacemakers: 
redrawing borders would only lead to more conflict. As a result, some 120,000 
Serbs remain in ethnic Albanian-dominated Kosovo; some 60,000 ethnic Albanians 
live in the Presevo valley in Serbia.

Some local leaders have long been keen on a swap, but until recently the EU and 
America have discouraged the idea. That has changed. Federica Mogherini is said 
to want an agreement on Serbian recognition of Kosovo by the end of her term as 
the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs next year, and a land swap 
could be one way of getting one. America no longer opposes the idea, according 
to a remark by John Bolton, the national security adviser, on August 24th. 
Perhaps that is thanks to Trumpian enthuiasm for doing deals, and for 
nationalism. Serb and Kosovar officials are also keen to hurry things along 
before European parliamentary elections next May, because they may herald a 
more populist, anti-enlargement Commission.

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Many analysts believe that Mr Thaci and Mr Vucic actually have no intention of 
changing borders, but are preparing for a deal on a form of Serbian autonomy 
within Kosovo in exchange for recognition. Though both sides will hate the 
deal, at least their leaders will be able to say that they preserved precious 
territory.

But if the borders are indeed redrawn here, what about those of Macedonia, a 
few miles away, where a quarter of the population is Albanian? And what about 
Bosnia, where Milorad Dodik, the local Serb leader who wants independence from 
Bosnia, says—using deliberately ambiguous language—that the region’s Serbs 
should mark out what is theirs and what is their neighbours’? Asked about the 
risk of conflict, Shaip Kamberi, the Albanian mayor of Bujanovac in the Presevo 
valley says: “It is not us opening Pandora’s Box. We are the box!”

This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition under the 
headline "Pandora’s box"

 

 
<https://www.economist.com/europe/2018/09/01/the-leaders-of-kosovo-and-serbia-talk-about-swapping-land>
 
https://www.economist.com/europe/2018/09/01/the-leaders-of-kosovo-and-serbia-talk-about-swapping-land

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