foreignaffairs.com
<https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/kosovo/2018-10-10/why-borders-are-n
ot-problem-or-solution-serbia-and-kosovo>  


Why Borders Are Not the Problem for Serbia and Kosovo


By Eric Gordy

10-13 minutes

  _____  

In August, political leaders in Kosovo and Serbia proposed to resolve
long-standing tensions by exchanging territory: Serb-populated
municipalities in the north of Kosovo would come under Belgrade's
administration, while Albanian-populated towns in the south of Serbia would
be yoked to Pristina. Politicians and specialists weighed in on what
remained a vague notion over the month that followed. Nobody seemed to
regard the idea as brilliant, and in general responses ranged from grudging
acceptance to shocked scorn. But neither side of the debate gave much
consideration to what should have been its central question: How would the
proposed changes affect the lives of those who reside in the areas under
discussion?  

The omission of such a consideration reflects the dangerous underlying
presumption of those making and debating this proposal: that the basic
desire of both Serbs and Albanians is little more than to be united with
ethnic co-nationals. This assumption buys into the fundamental schemes of
all Balkan (and other) nationalisms. If such a narrative is going to be
bought at all, let the buyers beware.


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There are almost certainly other solutions to the dispute between Belgrade
and Pristina, involving elements that have not entered the discussion very
much to date: securing the well-being of citizens, enhancing security and
freedom, and building relations of trust between and within communities.
These alternative approaches may not have quite as much appeal as a
cartographic quick fix, but they promise to be more stable and durable.


BORDERS FOR WHOM?


One reason the land swap solution has become so focal is that it appears to
serve the personal interests and political goals of three regional players:
Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic, Kosovo President Hashim Thaci, and EU
foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini. When he took power, Vucic was
expected to produce the settlement with Kosovo that had eluded his
predecessors, precisely because he was a figure from the far right whose
constituency would have no place else to go. Six years in, efforts to
normalize relations have unimpressively fizzled, and Vucic has to finally
deliver. As for Thaci, an agreement that results in mutual recognition would
resolve Kosovo's main international problem, which is its disputed status.
He appears willing to incur considerable costs: Thaci cannot count on the
support of the cabinet or most of the parliament for a deal that trades
industrially developed territory in Kosovo for sparsely developed villages
in Serbia and appears to give Serbia veto power over what constitutes the
territory of Kosovo. Finally, Mogherini is said to be looking for a legacy
achievement with which to leave her position in the EU next year and return
to Italian domestic politics. A comprehensive settlement of the
Serbia-Kosovo dispute would fit the bill.

So here we are with an (outline of a) plan designed to give Vucic a float,
Thaci a string to hang on to, and Mogherini a future advantage. The only
difficulty is that the proposed resolution would have effects beyond just
two states and three people. Are there other states with territories where
ethnifying entrepreneurs stake their appeal on a demand for autonomy? Look
no further than Bosnia and Herzegovina. Are there other states where
chauvinist political leaders would love nothing more than to see a precedent
for claiming territory where they have significant irredenta? Hungarian
Prime Minister Viktor Orban would be chuffed. Are there people living in the
territories where a trade is suggested who would very likely be forced out
of their homes, jobs, and livelihoods to accommodate the border pencillers'
dreams? Such is always the case with this sort of self-interested fiddling.

Commentators in the United States and Europe have greeted the border swap
proposal with mixed enthusiasm. In a recent op-ed in
<https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/13/opinion/kosovo-serbia-land-swap.html>
The New York Times, the author Charles Kupchan describes the plan as a
bitter pill to be swallowed. He admits that the consequence of an exchange
of territories would be "ethnic cleansing" but notes that the ethnic
cleansing would be "peaceful." The suggestion is that while human costs
might be high, political benefits are large, and the scheme is acceptable if
it is reached by mutual consent. On the other side, critics of the deal warn
about upsetting settlements reached elsewhere, about the danger of
escalating demands, about precedents that could spiral, and ultimately about
the risk of a new round of violence in the region. Michael Roth, Germany's
minister of state for Europe, warned of a "Pandora's box," while the cleric
Sava Janjic invoked the perennial "powder keg." The argument is that
achieving even a fragile peace in the region has been an expensive,
drawn-out challenge and that any disruption of the basic principles involved
is like pulling the bottom Lego from the tower.   

Both views share the assumption that the people in the disputed region are
members of easily identified national groups and that what national groups
want are national states. Where they differ is in their expectations about
what would be produced by offering something to the nationalists. The
advocates hope that one biscuit will be enough to soothe the beast, while
the opponents fear that one biscuit will stoke insatiable appetites and
rouse the rest of the menagerie.  


DIVERSITY, NOT EXCLUSIVITY, DEFINES THE BALKANS


The assumption that Albanians, Serbs, or others in the Balkans fundamentally
want most of all to live on a national territory is false. 

But the assumption that Albanians, Serbs, or others in the Balkans
fundamentally want most of all to live on a national territory is false. The
very high rate of migration out of the region into multicultural states
where people are offered a better chance at obtaining employment, education,
and access to social welfare offers contemporary evidence that material
desires are at least as strong as symbolic ones. If we look more deeply into
the history of the region, we will find that migration, mixing, diversity,
reciprocal influence, and exchange constitute not only basic factors of
social life over many centuries, but the core of those features that make
the Balkans culturally and socially unique. Syncretism and diversity are the
signature characteristics of the Balkans. This is apparent in every field of
social life, from language and architecture to religion and cuisine.

In fits and starts over the past 150 years, nationalism has sought to unmake
that rich historical and cultural legacy. Disappointment and resentment,
directed toward both imposed ethnic dominance and unsuccessful multicultural
regimes, have helped nationalists to make their point. Where national states
and parastates have been established, discrimination has encouraged diverse
people to shift their identities and orientations toward the dominant group
or to position themselves against the dominant group as cross-border
enclaves.

At bottom, though, the nationalist project of creating homogeneous
territorial units repeatedly comes into collision with the lived experience
of people in the region. The only real means to make the project seem
inevitable is by changing the population, and the only effective way to
change populations is by violence. Outside observers are compelled to talk
about Bosnia and Herzegovina now in terms of "ethnic territories" and
"ethnic groups" because sustained violence changed the character of both
territories and groups. Imposition and transposition of borders do the same
thing, usually less dramatically and more slowly. The effect in both cases
is the same: to legitimate the consequences of violence by making them
appear as though they were the causes.

The implication here is that drawing new borders to create nationally
homogeneous territories can succeed, but not without considerable use of
force and not without a sustained campaign that encourages people to develop
ideas about who they are, where they belong, and what they want. This
campaign has been continuous and has partly succeeded, but it has also
partly failed.

So much for conflict, then. But what about peace? As the recent failure of
the Macedonia name referendum indicates, reaching agreements without first
securing the assent of the people who would be affected is risky and
insecure. Resolutions that are insincerely reached quickly come apart.
Lasting peace requires that negotiators demonstrate sensitivity to, and
awareness of, the way that people in the territories that politicians love
to argue about actually live and what they actually need.


AN ALTERNATIVE


Projects for the redrawing of borders are strategies to satisfy the
short-term desires of politicians. They will project negative consequences
outward, and consequently they will fail. An alternative approach would try
to address the long-term needs of citizens and build relationships where
they are absent or broken.

Such an approach would begin by recognizing the reality on the ground. Years
have been wasted on disputes over whether Kosovo is a state or not. It is.
It may have been an autonomous (sometimes more, sometimes less) province of
Serbia at one point, but the last period of occupation demolished the
legitimacy of this arrangement. It now has a population of 1.8 million
people who would not accept rule from Serbia, and Serbia has neither the
capacity nor the intent to assert rule over Kosovo. Mutual recognition and
establishment of diplomatic relations would acknowledge this reality and
provide an avenue for people in both states to realize their social and
legal rights.

The region's political leaders would then need to prioritize meeting human
and social needs. From 1991 onward in the region, there has been a good deal
of discussion over whether this or that group of people ought to have a
state. This discussion has not been accompanied by debate about what a state
is for. The legitimacy of a state derives not from its ability to articulate
a set of inventive cognitive associations but from its ability to provide
for people's needs in the areas of employment, housing, education, health
care, social protection, and basic security. Consolidating not just the
existence but also the function of states is always necessary but might be
thought of as essential in those areas (such as the northern municipalities
of Kosovo) where governance has been surrendered into the hands of operators
functioning in the shadow economy. The problems of environmental degradation
are experienced in exactly the same way in the lungs of people regardless of
whether the census defines them as Albanians or Serbs. A responsible
government, or pair of governments, can establish its legitimacy by
addressing citizens' immediate and tangible concerns.

 

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