<<Dana Gardner: Hello, we're going to work through a
state-of-the-market analysis on SOA at a very important juncture in
SOA's evolution. An incredibly important issue right now is whether we
are going to win broad acceptance and deep penetration, or whether SOA
remains somewhat marginal.

There are a number of things going on in the market that we will look
over. Trends and developments in information technology (IT) such as
market acceptance and tipping points -- and a sort of social-animal
instinct and on how people behave -- become very important. It is no
longer just about the technology; it's about what motivates people,
particularly in their businesses.

So, let's take a level-set in changing times. These are very dynamic
times. There are so many things going on in addition to SOA that we
can't look at SOA alone; we have to look at it in the context of
what's going on in general with IT and business. Over the last two to
four years, we have seen SOA develop as a vision, spawned off the work
done with Web services, progeny of object orientation and components,
bringing it into a standard environment and, hopefully, into much
broader usage across IT -- not just in development but in how people
conceive of IT; a transformative type of activity.

We have gone through SOA standards. We have seen companies come up
with methodologies, and have had examples of successful, and not so
successful, implementations of SOA in the marketplace. Most, if not
all, of the large vendors are solidly behind SOA. We've seen them use
the terminology. Some are talking more about the business results than
the SOA nomenclature itself. It is clear from IBM to SAP, to Oracle
and Sun, that their products and services are based on SOA principles.
We expect that will then follow through into the marketplace. We are
also seeing quite a bit of development from the large global systems
integrators around SOA practices.

Question for SOA is when, not if

It has been my analysis for several years that this is an extremely
big deal, but what has been missing is the agreement generally in the
marketplace as to not if, but when, to do this. We have also had a lot
of activity in the marketplace around startups merging and rearranging
their businesses. If they did not start focused on SOA, they seem to
be heading in that direction. And that has led to a period of
consolidation. We have seen mergers and acquisitions, partnerships,
and ecology developments.

We've seen the notion of SOA, and it includes governance, bleed over
into how IT actually functions -- and not just how development and
deployment strategies are defined. We are really up against the
tipping point here. The crucial issue for SOA is how that tipping
point manifests itself.

The real force behind SOA is a transformative activity, both for the
technologists in the IT department as well as for how IT is conceived,
perceived, and used by the businesses. This has been an ongoing issue
for many years, if not decades. At this point we have quite a bit of
buy-in around SOA from the technologists. What we see mainly, however,
is SOA use behind firewalls and within fairly vertical applications,
within a defined business process activity.

What's more, many services today are data-centric. My studies show
about two-thirds of current in-production SOA services have been
data-service layer or data-centric services, and so perhaps as few as
one third are being devoted to business logic and transactional
activities. This, of course, will vary from company to company, in
vertical industry to vertical industry, but the trend is showing a
predominance of interest in making data available as a service. That
service is then consumed and used in non-SOA activities and in more
traditional integration portal Web applications, and Web or
thin-client presentation applications.

How will SaaS and SOA emerge together?

So, SOA remains somewhat tactical even at most mainstream enterprises.
There is also an important trend line around software as a service
(SaaS) providers as they build their applications to be consumed and
used as services. They might have a deep impact on how SOA is consumed
-- almost on an outsourced basis rather than a homegrown basis -- and
we are going to be tracking that carefully.

An inhibitor to the business side of the house in enterprises adopting
SOA broadly is a lack of discretionary spending in IT for SOA types of
investments. There is a lot of confusion around SOA and its values,
and what business terms and issues are the motivators. Therefore SOA
remains difficult to define and rationalize in purely economic terms.
There are a lot of reasons for that.

The market is going to work toward a better understanding of the
rationale behind businesses as they seek investments in this
disruptive technology. We will move from monolithic silos of
development and deployment infrastructure and sort of break that
apart. Then after the decomposition process we can extend and reuse
and redeploy -- hopefully with a great deal more efficiency -- these
resources as granular components or services.

Follow the money

Though the concept is quite strong, the benefits in terms of numbers
and metrics can be rather soft. We could tell people they are going to
be more agile, be able to change in the marketplace more quickly, and
be able to consolidate and use more singular architectures. Yet these
are not numbers you can bring in on a quarterly basis and say, "Here's
what SOA has done for us this quarter in terms of dollars and cents."
Financial rewards are part of a long-term transformative process as
well; something we expect will take years, if not decades, to fully
play out.

SOA is really a journey without a destination and, as such, it is
harder to quantify and qualify in terms of payback. If there is no
destination, when does one know one has succeeded? This also affects
cross-organizational use and deployment. There is a traditional
chicken-and-egg relationship on whether developers move first, or the
SaaS operators, or the people who deploy them on-premises, and that's
currently being played out.

For the true payback of SOA to come about, be it in soft terms or hard
terms, it does require a horizontal, holistic, and general usage.
Politics are also involved here. We have people that have been quite
content to remain within a small, isolated arena with their own budget
to control, working for several well-known and established taskmasters.

SOA, in a sense, disrupts that. There is no central taskmaster with
SOA (and that's why governance is so important). The idea is for more
and more folks to have a handle on these services, and then use them
in new and innovative ways -- closer to the line of business, closer
to the business processes, and extending beyond the confines of the
enterprise into a supply chain, for example. So there is naturally
some control politics.

Also budgeting issues play a role, which often means control from the
top down rather than the bottom up because it is the central
command-and-control folks that effectively change budget structure and
allocate funds. So that is in process now as well.

There is also the need for collaboration across these groups. Not only
do we want to change how budgets might be formed, we want to encourage
people to work in a simultaneous fashion rather than in a linear
fashion. So the hand-off of an application project really can't happen
over a period of six months to 12 months anymore; it needs to happen
simultaneously with development. The whole idea here is to go to the
business side of the house and tell them we can work quickly and
change the process for you, as you have to adapt to a rapidly changing
marketplace.>>

You can read the rest of Messrs. Gardner and O'Toole casting this pod at:

<http://briefingsdirect.blogspot.com/2007/01/transcript-of-webinar-on-soa-trends.html>

Alternatively you can listen to the pod being cast at:

http://interarbor.libsyn.com/index.php?post_id=167481

Gervas

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