What “incredibly tough” foreign policy actions is Obama preparing?
By Patrick Martin
22 October 2008

In remarks made over the weekend in Seattle, Democratic vice presidential
candidate Joseph Biden warned that Barack Obama, if elected president, would
be compelled to take deeply unpopular actions in both domestic and foreign
policy within months of taking office.

In closed-door gatherings with two audiences of Democratic Party insiders
and fundraisers, Biden forecast a major international crisis in the first
six months of an Obama administration.

He compared Obama to John F. Kennedy, the last senator to be elected
president. "It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama
like they did John Kennedy," Biden said. "The world is looking. We're about
to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of
America. Watch. We're going to have an international crisis, a generated
crisis, to test the mettle of this guy."

Biden mentioned the Middle East, Afghanistan, Pakistan, North Korea and
Russia as potential points of conflict, but did not spell out the exact
nature of such a crisis, observing, "I can give you at least four or five
scenarios from where it might originate." He made it clear that Obama would
respond forcefully: "They're going to want to test him. And they're going to
find out this guy's got steel in his spine."

The most politically significant portion of Biden's remarks came when he
admitted that the decisions of an Obama-Biden administration were likely to
be deeply unpopular, and he called on the Democratic Party regulars to stand
behind the new president even when public opinion turned against him.

"He's going to need help," Biden said. "He's going to need you—not
financially to help him—we're going to need you to use your influence, your
influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it's not going to
be apparent initially, it's not going to be apparent that we're right."

He continued, "There are going to be a lot of you who want to go, ‘Whoa,
wait a minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision.' Because if
you think the decision is sound when they're made, which I believe you will
when they're made, they're not likely to be as popular as they are sound.
Because if they're popular, they're probably not sound."

Here is the voice of a longtime representative of the financial aristocracy,
voicing his contempt for public opinion—"if decisions are popular, they're
probably not sound"—and warning his wealthy audience that the new
Obama-Biden administration will have to defy public opinion to carry out its
policies. Biden's language suggests that the ferocity of the new
administration's response will shock not only public opinion, but even its
own supporters.

In that context, one must point out Biden's suggestions that nuclear weapons
might play a role in one or more of the potential crises. A nuclear-armed
Korean Peninsula could lead to "Japan as a nuclear power," he said, which
could push China into expanding its nuclear weaponry. The
Pakistan-Afghanistan border is "crawling with Al Qaeda" and "Pakistan is
already bristling with nuclear weapons, all of which can hit Israel." Biden
also noted Iran's alleged drive to build a nuclear weapon.

Foreign policy journals and pundits linked to the Democratic Party have
undoubtedly been discussing many such doomsday scenarios, and Biden's
language suggests that the use of the US nuclear arsenal, the world's
largest, is under consideration by those who are formulating the foreign and
military policy of an Obama-Biden administration.

Biden himself has been one of the most hawkish on foreign policy among
leading congressional Democrats, backing the invasion and occupation of
Afghanistan and Iraq and advocating a US-led military intervention in
Darfur. During the Democratic presidential primary campaign, he was the most
vociferous of all the candidates in denouncing antiwar protest groups
seeking a cutoff of funds for the war in Iraq.

Biden's expectation of widespread popular hostility to an Obama
administration applies not only to foreign and military policy, but to
domestic policy. He told the Seattle audience, "I promise you, you all are
going to be sitting here a year from now going, ‘Oh my God, why are they
there in the polls, why is the polling so down, why is this thing so tough?'
We're going have to make some incredibly tough decisions in the first two
years."

The Democratic candidate did not spell out the exact nature of these
"incredibly tough decisions," other than to refer to the financial and
economic crisis and two wars being bequeathed by the Bush administration to
its successor.

In the wake of these blunt and ominous comments, there have been
disingenuous attempts to explain them away from both parties.

Republican presidential candidate John McCain seized on the suggestion that
foreign enemies might seek to test an inexperienced President Obama, citing
his own military and foreign policy expertise going back more than 50 years.
Right-wing pundits went further, suggesting, as one put it, that "Biden is
forecasting inaction by Obama in the face of testing by a dictator."

This interpretation is preposterous, especially given Biden's own record as
a fervent supporter of US military intervention. Obama's selection of the
Delaware senator as his running mate was itself an effort to reassure the
political establishment of his commitment to defend the interests of
American imperialism by military force.

The Obama campaign sought to shrug off Biden's remarks as a mere historical
generalization, triggered by the Obama-Kennedy analogy, not a prediction of
impending crisis. A campaign spokesman said Biden was referring to Kennedy's
confrontation with Soviet President Nikita Khrushchev in summit talks in
Vienna, a few months after he took office—although these talks took place
after a US military provocation—the invasion of Cuba by US-trained exiles
who were defeated at the Bay of Pigs.

An Obama administration would not be an "innocent abroad," picked on by
dictators out to "test the mettle" of a US president. American imperialism
continues from administration to administration, Democratic or Republican.
If elected, Obama will take office heading the world's largest military
machine, engaged in violent provocations in dozens of countries, any of
which could flare up unexpectedly, especially under the impact of the
deepening world economic crisis.

Obama won the Democratic presidential nomination by presenting himself as
the more consistent antiwar candidate, and the Democratic ticket in public
pledges to end the war in Iraq and adopt a less militaristic stance. But
behind closed doors, before select audiences of the financial and political
elite, Biden has given a glimpse of the real perspective of the Democratic
wing of American imperialism.

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2008/oct2008/bidn-o22.shtml





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