Subject: Home Prices Could Fall Another 20% to 50%

Case-Shiller Still Predicts Massive 45% Fall from Today’s Values

Seekeing Alpha
Friday, Nov 27th, 2009

The 10 major cities in the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index 
have risen 5% from their April low, but the index is still predicting a 
massive 45% fall from today’s values.

Tuesday’s new number from the index showed a gain of just under .5% for the 
month of September, but the index remains 30% below the high in June 2006. 
Based upon a trend generated from the actual prices of 1987 to 1997, and 
generated forward in a linear projection, the index will fall a total of 62% 
before it reaches the trend norm.

A more comprehensive analysis of the 10-city index based upon 120 years of 
data shows current values off 36% and a comparatively modest 20% fall ahead.



Click this link to view charts: 
http://newobservations.net/property-price-index/. 

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