On Thu, Jun 26, 2008 at 8:49 AM, J. Andrew Rogers  wrote:
> in many parts of Asia to protect local farmers, due to the very high
> efficiency of American rice production, and consequently it is not worth it
> for American rice farmers to bother with the Asian export business.

Isn't that efficiency + top-down subsidy ?

> I would make the observation that the situation has not yet become so bad
> that people are switching to more cost effective grains, choosing to pay
> more for their grain of habit instead.
>

The switch is happening and its real... here in Kenya for example -
many farmers have
switched from growing corn and wheat (the local staples ) to other
cash crops - like
passion fruit, tree tomatoes, pyrethrum etc.  Part of the reason is
higher monetary
yeild per hectare (which has become more important here because farms here have
grown smaller and smaller because of familial inheritance and
sub-division - and
increase in human lifespan because of better health facilities...  ).

This switch from food crops to cash crops is happening not just at the
small scale farmer level :

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/apr/06/biofuels.alternativeenergy

thats one of the primary rice production regions of the country being
turned over to
sugarcane for biofuel...

the alternative is to import rice and maize but doing that wasnt cheap
anyway because
the country has always been primarily a net importer of goods and
commodities (and
in the near future of basic food...).

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