http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/03/22/why-advertising-is-failing-on-the-internet/

Not sure how many are following the debate that is raging on this, but
overall it does have huge implications for services we take for granted
today. It started with a guest post by Wharton professor Eric
Clemens<http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/faculty/clemons.html>.
Techcrunch then invited one of the more fierce responders (*Danny Sullivan,
the editor-in-chief of SearchEngineLand <http://searchengineland.com/>)* for
a healthy debate sans all the fury in his initial retort. The debate is so
far is below:

http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/03/28/steel-cage-debate-on-the-future-of-online-advertising-danny-sullivan-vs-eric-clemons/

Would love to hear what the list has to say on this.


   *1. There Must Be Something Other Than Advertising:*

The expected drop in internet advertising
revenues<http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/03/22/2009/02/25/online-ads-even-the-evangelists-turning-bearish/>this
year was neither unpredictable nor unpredicted, nor was it caused
solely by the general recession and the decline in retail sales.  Internet
advertising will rapidly lose its value and its impact, for reasons that can
easily be understood.  Traditional advertising simply cannot be carried over
to the internet, replacing full-page ads on the back of The New York Times
or 30-second spots on the Super Bowl broadcast with pop-ups, banners,
click-throughs on side bars.  This might be a subject where considerable
disagreement is possible, if indeed, pushed ads were still working in
traditional media. Mostly they have failed. One newspaper after another is
going out of business across the United States, and the ad revenues of
traditional print media, even of highly respected magazines, is declining.
The ultimate failure of broadcast media advertising is likewise becoming
clear.

Pushing a message at a potential customer when it has not been requested and
when the consumer is in the midst of something else on the net, will fail as
a major revenue source for most internet sites.  This is particularly true
when the consumer knows that the sponsor of the ad has paid to have this
information, which was verified by no one, thrust at him.  The net will find
monetization models and these will be different from the advertising models
used by mass media, just as the models used by mass media were different
from the monetization models of theater and sporting events before them.
Indeed, there has to be some way to create websites that do other than
provide free access to content, some of it proprietary, some of it licensed,
and some of it stolen, and funded by advertising.

The idea that content has a price and net applications should find ways to
earn a profit without providing free access to other people’s content gets
explosive reactions; when virtual reality pioneer and tech guru Jaron Lanier
suggested in a New York Times Op
Ed<http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/20/opinion/20lanier.html>that
authors deserved to be paid for their content he actually received
death threats.  But other models are possible and several suggestions for
alternative forms of monetization are offered below.

.....
(The article is quite lengthy and you should read the comments to fully
appreciate the storm it has created, so I'm not posting it in entirety, just
the first point made by Prof. Clemons)

Kiran

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