Considering Suleimani was a strong and popular military general who bolstered Iran's influence in the region for the last 20+ years, we can expect some strong reaction coming from Iran.
However, it is going to be difficult for Iran to take a strong stand without the support of China and Russia, who have improved relations with Tehran in the recent past. Both countries have condemned the attack. Most of the other countries have asked to de-escalate the situation. The region cannot afford a full fledged war as their will be severe impact on business and economy. Hence we can expect a severe cold war but not a full fledged war. Noble On Sat, Jan 4, 2020, 20:18 Charles Haynes <[email protected]> wrote: > It will further destabilise the region and has the potential to require > deployment of thousands of troops to Iraq. > > On Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 4:49 am Udhay Shankar N, <[email protected]> wrote: > > > On Sat, Jan 4, 2020 at 2:31 PM Peter Griffin <[email protected]> > > wrote: > > > > What do you folks think will result from the Qassem Suleimani > > assassination? > > > How will this play out for the rest of the world, in terms of not just > > > stability, but also wars, economies and so on? > > > > > > > War has always been a reliable distraction. From impeachable offenses by > > the bushel (or rather, barrel) > > > > That said, follow the money. > > > > - Iran has announced a major new untapped oil reserve [1] > > - This particular conflict comes at a time when US oil businesses are > > hurting, and the current spoke in prices helps them. [2] > > - It will also (quelle surprise) help Russia, and also the Saudis - who > > have their own strategic issues with a world where reserves are depleting > > and prices are, funnily enough, going down [3] > > > > > > [1] > > > https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/news/iran-crude-oil-discovery-namavaran/ > > [2] > > > > > https://www.rigzone.com/news/wire/irandriven_oil_rally_boon_to_struggling_us_producers-03-jan-2020-160714-article?rss=true&yptr=yahoo > > [3] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300677 > > > > -- > > > > ((Udhay Shankar N)) ((udhay @ pobox.com)) ((www.digeratus.com)) > > >
