In 1959, man had never been in space. In 1969, Apollo 11 landed on moon. In
my opinion you have the so called linear view of technology progression,
instead of the actual exponential progression that has been observed not
only in computers, but in many fields (as Kurzweil has pointed out). It is
true that the AI research has been targeted at narrow AI problems, because
initial attempts with general intelligence failed.

Even if all the current AGI projects fail, we can still wait a decade for
neurology to catch up, as brain scanning and other technologies are also
advancing at exponential rates, and then use this knowledge to build
thinking machines and hopefully launch a friendly Singularity.

2007/6/4, Papiewski, John <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:

 Of all the work and research done on intelligent AI over the past 50+
years, why do we not have software or even a description of software that
simulates even childlike intelligence at a tiny percentage of realtime
speed?



We don't even have naive, slow AI yet, and here people are talking about a
singularity in 20 years.  Feh!



We have excellent chess programs and VW Toureg's that can drive themselves
in the desert, but nothing even close to a self-aware system that
understands semantics.




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