The American Spectator : Vietnam Struggles

By George H. Wittman on 1.21.11 @ 6:07AM

It appears that Vietnam's Communist Party, which has just completed its
11th National Congress, has approved turning to the nation's private
sector to provide greater entrepreneurship and management skills to the
economy. The officially reported 1,377 delegates gathered in the immense
convention hall in Hanoi in uniform ranks of dark suits seated in
appropriately red faux leather auditorium chairs. The gathering ratified
what their Central Committee -- or rather the 12 man Politburo -- had
already agreed to at the end of last year.

Of course nothing is truly settled until May, when the new national
assembly is elected. Interestingly, the national assembly representing
the citizenry in general rather than strictly VNCP members has become
more aggressive lately in pressing forward its opinions. The movement to
bring more private business owners into the Communist Party seems both a
logical political and economic move. According to Bloomberg News
analysts, about 81.5% of Vietnam's industrial output derives from
national and foreign private business. The central government in Hanoi,
however, insists 40% of GDP is generated by state-owned enterprises.
While these statistics can be manipulated so they are not as
contradictory as they first appear, it takes a heavy weighting of
non-industrial output to do so. Whatever the true accounting actually
is, it seems that the ruling party apparat thinks it's about time to
bring some of those private business brains into the "club" in order to
get the economy into high gear.

It took a while, but the advice coming out of Beijing was that utilizing
the private business skills of Vietnam actually could be beneficial to
the economy of their "little brother." No Vietnamese enjoys taking
instruction from the giant Han neighbor to the north. But the obvious
success of the Chinese Communist Party in using, yet still controlling,
its own "capitalist roaders" could no longer be ignored. This was
especially true after the disastrous experience with the Vietnamese
state shipbuilding enterprise, Vinashin, and PetroVietnam. Hanoi could
no longer back up these debt-ridden sovereign conglomerates, forcing
credit downgrades by both Moody's and S&P.

There is a general recognition that the officials who have been running
Vietnam's state-owned enterprises tend to lack the business planning
capability necessary in such operations. Vinashin's debt accumulation
was caused by unjustified expansion and mishandling of funds. Hanoi
doesn't want to admit it, but endemic corruption and bureaucratic bloat
have placed a stranglehold on economic development.

The ordinary Vietnamese have their lives impacted daily by soaring food
prices and double-digit inflation. Payoffs to key local officials are a
regular occurrence and have become such an embarrassment for the Party
that they were mentioned in the opening speeches to the delegates to the
Congress. Despite repeated references to bureaucratic corruption and
akin civil sins, business observers expected little real change in the
near term.

Balancing this legitimate self-criticism there is the traditional blame
placed on the United States and other Western nations for shortfalls in
"patriotic" efforts to reinforce Communist order and effort. Repeated
outside urgings for democratic reform tend either to fall on deaf
official ears or are considered the source of discontent that clearly
proliferates Vietnam's social and political scene.

Efforts by the American Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in her two
visits to Vietnam last year to build a rapport with Hanoi's leadership
reportedly has achieved only surface results. Mistaking the customary
politeness of the Vietnamese she met for developing friendship,
Secretary Clinton actually believed she was making gains in relations
between the two nations. This, despite being warned not to overvalue the
traditional seeming openness of Hanoi's diplomats. It wasn't until an
attack on a U.S. Embassy political officer visiting in Hue that the
message got through to the seventh floor of the State Department in
Washington.

The political officer, Christian Marchant, attempted to visit with the
dissident Roman Catholic priest, Nguyen Van Ly, when police prevented
the U.S. diplomat from leaving his car by repeatedly slamming its door
against his legs. Luckily for Marchant no bones were broken, though
severe contusions and abrasions hindered his ability to walk for several
days. Hanoi responded to Washington's official complaints of assault on
an accredited diplomat by noting the priest was under house arrest for
anti-government actions and the American officer had not cleared his
visit with the authorities.

As charming as the Vietnamese people are, their government remains as
brutal and suspicious as ever. In the minds of the leadership the
revolution is still going on, and that concept is used to justify
continued repression under the guise of national discipline. Hanoi has a
great distance to travel to balance its political, economic and social
objectives. Trying to be a mini-Communist China combining internal
totalitarian control with efforts to encourage the development of
Western-style entrepreneurship is just not working for Vietnam.

Letter to the Editor

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http://spectator.org/archives/2011/01/21/vietnam-struggles
Via InstaFetch

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