http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,491781,00.html

SPIEGEL (GERMANY)

July 2, 2007, 11:43 AM

BALKAN CONUNDRUM

Europe, Washington Divided over Kosovo's Future

As Kosovar leaders mull declaring unilateral independence for the breakaway
Serbian province, German and EU leaders appear headed for conflict with
Washington. Bush says he would recognize Kosovo if it declares
self-determination, but EU leaders fear an outbreak of violence.

DPA
German soldiers in Kosovo. Kosovar leaders are considering declaring
unilateral independence.

Germany and other European countries are steering towards a confrontation
course with Washington out of fears of an escalation in the conflict in the
Serbian province of Kosovo.

The Europeans are concerned, in light of stalled negotiations at the United
Nations Security Council, that the government of Kosovo could unilaterally
declare independence from Serbia. President George W. Bush has already said
that the United States would give diplomatic recognition to an independent
Kosovo.

This development, however, has ruffled the feathers of European Union member
states. "The vast majority of Europeans will not go along with a unilateral
recognition of Kosovo," Luxembourg's foreign minister, Jean Asselborn,
warned recently.

During a meeting on Monday in Paris last week, German Foreign Minister
Frank-Walter Steinmeier and his Italian colleague Massimo D'Alema went even
further, explaining to US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice that civilian
and military missions in Kosovo would have to be suspended if the Americans
and Kosovars were to push ahead towards independence without a UN deal.

Only the UN Security Council can create the foundations under international
law for an internationally recognized independent Kosovo, they argued. In
order to reach an agreement in the Security Council, however, the Americans
must cut a deal with veto-wielding Russia. Indeed, the issue was expected to
be part of talks between Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin to be
held on Monday at the Bush family's complex at Kennebunkport, Maine.

German military officials worry that violence could erupt in Kosovo if
diplomatic efforts fail to succeed. But politicians in both Belgrade and
Pristina appear to be growing more realistic about the region's future.
Serbia knows that it will be unable to prevent the province's independence,
but it is still hoping that Kosovo can be divided so that the interests of
ethnic Serbs still living there are observed.

It's a view that was given further credence last week by former Kosovo Prime
Minister Bajram Rexhepi. He claimed that in the event of a Russian veto in
the Security Council, Kosovo would move to declare its independence in
parliament. He added, however, that the Serb-dominated North Kosovo region
would be given a wide degree of autonomy.





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