Kosovo: Serbs brace for probable secession 

 

Belgrade, 6 Dec. (AKI) - Most analysts expect breakaway Kosovo's majority
ethnic Albanians to proclaim independence in the next few months, backed by
the US and some European powers, despite staunch opposition from Belgrade
and the UN administered province's tiny Serb minority.

The Serbian government has ordered all its ministries to prepare a “plan of
action” to counter a declaration of independence from Kosovo after the
failure of the UN sponsored talks.

Details of the government's "action plan" have not been released as it is
classified a state secret.

“Naturally, we can’t reveal all our cards ahead of time, but we won’t be
sitting with our arms folded,” government spokesman Milivoje Mihajlovic told
Adnkronos International (AKI). 

Asked to elaborate, Mihajlovic said Belgrade would first resort to
diplomatic means and 'adjust its relations' with the countries which might
recognise Kosovo's independence. 

Serbia's position has strong backing in international law and the United
Nations Charter, which uphold the inviolability of the existing state
borders, Mihajlovic added. 

Responding to a suggestion that the Serbian action plan onKosovo might be
devoid of substance, he said mysteriously: “No, it will be more than
nothing.”

Kosovo has been under UN control since NATO airstrikes drove Serbian forces
out of the province in 1999, amid ethnic fighting and gross human rights
violations. Ethnic Albanians form 90 percent of its population.

But Belgrade has retained parallel institutions, especially in health,
education and social policies in Serb populated areas, which have functioned
separately from those controlled by majority ethnic Albanians.   

A 'troika' of envoys from the US EU and Russia must by 10 December issue a
report on the outcome of recent talks on Kosovo to United Nations secretary
general Ban Ki-moon. 

The report is widely expected to say that Serbs and ethnic Albanians have
been unable to agree on Kosovo's future status. A final round of the
UN-mediated talks ended last month without reaching a negotiated settlement.

Serbia has offered Kosovo broad autonomy, but insists the province remain
part of Serbian territory. Kosovo's ethnic Albanian majority demands full
independence. 

After years of international sanctions, the 1990s Balkan wars and subsequent
NATO bombings, Serbia is in no position to defend Kosovo militarily against
leading world powers and the 16,000-strong NATO presence, analysts said,
however. 

But prime minister Vojislav Kostunica’s aid, Aleksandar Simic in a Serbian
TV appearance on Tuesday shocked the Serbian public when he stated: "War
also represents legal means” in defence of the country, “when there are no
others.”

The statement caused a rift in the governing coalition and president Boris
Tadic’s centre-left Democratic Party said Simic’s statement was “dangerous
and irresponsible.” 

Tadic, like Kostunica, opposes Kosovo's independence, but has been more
guarded in his public statements. 

“As long as I’m the president, Serbia will not conduct a policy of war,”
Tadic told his party meeting at the weekend, announcing he would run for a
second term as president.   

The Serbian presidential elections are expected in late January and analysts
said Washington was pressing ethnic Albanians not to declare independence
before the election, in order not to damage Tadic’s chances. 

It is generally believed that Tadic's opponent Tomislav Nikolic of the
ultranationalist Serbian Radical Party, known for his anti-American stance,
would benefit if Kosovo declared independence.

Serbian leaders have repeatedly vowed they will declare independence moves
by ethnic Albanians “null and void” and will continue negotiations until
agreement is reached on Kosovo's future status. 

Serbia’s key ally, Russia, has already blocked an independence plan for
Kosovo in the UN Security Council and Belgrade insists the top UN
decision-making body is the only place a valid decision can be made. 

A Kosovo Serb leader, Marko Jaksic, said he was not aware of what Belgrade's
“plan of action” contained, but blamed Serbian leaders' lack of unity for
what he called the “tragic situation in Kosovo".

"If Belgrade had shown more unity, even the international community would
have behaved differently and wouldn’t have allowed 200,000 Serbs to be
expelled and 3,000 killed or listed as missing since 1999,” Jaksic told AKI.

The International Red Cross has listed 3,000 Serbs in Kosovo as having been
killed or disappeared since 1999.

Jaksic said the 100,000 Serbs remaining in Kosovo, who live mainly in
northern part of the province, would try to retain ties with Belgrade even
after the declaration of independence. 

He expressed the hope that NATO forces would protect them if ethnic
Albanians resorted to violence. “But I have a feeling that they are more
concerned with blocking our ties with Belgrade and keeping Kosovo united
under Albanian control,” he said.

“If Albanians have the right to self-determination, why shouldn’t we have
the same,” said another Kosovo Serb leader, Milan Ivanovic. 

Jaksic blamed the US and other western powers for spearheading Kosovo's
independence bid, saying the Serbs have no other choice “but to wait for
better times and a change in the balance of power in the world to get Kosovo
back.”

Belgrade political analyst Slobodan Eric said granting Kosovo independence
“would not solve, but only freeze the problem. It will inevitably surface
again, sooner or later,” Eric told AKI. 

 

 

http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Politics/?id=1.0.1639120980


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