http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/may/10/radovan-karadzic-bosnian-war


  Don't oversimplify the Bosnian war

Radovan Karadzic should pay the price for any crimes he committed. But 
let's not reduce the conflict to goodies v baddies

    *
          o guardian.co.uk, Monday 10 May 2010 12.23 BST
          o

            
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/may/10/radovan-karadzic-bosnian-war#history-link-box>


Ivo Petkovski


Watching Radovan Karadzic's appearances at his ongoing war crimes trial 
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/apr/13/radovan-karodzic-trial-prosecution-witness>
 
at The Hague, I'm reminded of an absent-minded professor at an 
employment tribunal. At times he cuts a shambling, comedic figure, a bit 
like Kingsley Amis's "Lucky" Jim Dixon 
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucky_Jim> – a picture starkly at odds 
with the litany of atrocities he stands accused of, most notorious among 
them the Srebrenica massacre of July 1995 and the siege of Sarajevo 
between April 1992 and February 1996.

Following the example of his old capo Slobodan Milosevic, Karadzic has 
elected to defend himself at the trial. His arguments 
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/mar/01/radovankaradzic-bosnia-and-herzegovina>
 
are pure fantasy, of the sort broadcast on Serbian state TV throughout 
the early 1990s – the central themes being Serb victimisation and a 
Nato-backed Islamist conspiracy. The grist of the trial, away from 
Karadzic's posturing, is establishing firm culpability for individual 
events. Karadzic may have had overall command of the Bosnian Serb armed 
forces, but he was always primarily a politician, which makes it very 
difficult to sift what he personally ordered from what was carried out 
under the authority of those further down the ladder.

The way the Yugoslav wars of the 1990s will be remembered by future 
historians is still being established, however in the western media an 
overall impression is already starting to coagulate from the messy 
tangle that made up the reality of the conflict. This simplified 
narrative tends to cast Serbia as aggressors, Bosnian Muslims as 
victims, Nato as rescuing heroes and Croatia as bemused onlookers. 
Perhaps it's always the fate of the loser in a conflict to play the bad 
guy in the resulting film – that certainly seems to be the case with the 
Bosnian Serbs.

The US state department issued an old-fashioned "wanted" poster 
<http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3c/Milosevic-karadzic-mladic-wanted-poster.jpg>,
 
casting the Serbian leadership in the popular imagination as the outlaws 
in a John Wayne film. The 2007 Richard Gere film The Hunting Party 
<http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0455782/> went one further, portraying the 
Karadzic character as an elusive evil genius, a Keyser Soze 
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keyser_S%C3%B6ze> figure, complete with 
slow-motion-walk shots and a menacing audio signature.

As for the media treatment, at one end are News Corporation outlets that 
frequently refer to Karadzic as "Razorman" Karadzic 
<http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article1494091.ece> or "The 
Beast of Bosnia". On the other, more subtle, end of the scale we find 
more efforts such as Adam LeBor's piece for Cif 
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/apr/14/uk-serbia-balkan-history>, 
in which he points to the UK government's "Serbophilic" decision to 
arrest former Bosnian president Ejup Ganic, a man accused of war crimes. 
In LeBor's account, the implication is that being Bosnian automatically 
equates to being innocent – this is entirely in keeping with the idea 
that the Bosnians were purely victims of the "evil" Serbs. However, in 
reality, the Bosnian political leadership made some very bullish moves 
which escalated the initial situation dramatically.

In March 1992, a referendum to decide independence from the 
Serbia-dominated rump of Yugoslavia was rushed by the Bosnian Muslim 
leaders before the debate about secession could unfold, and the cases 
for and against could be properly heard. This resulted in the Bosnian 
Serbs' disastrous knee-jerk decision to boycott the referendum, leaving 
them disenfranchised when the electorate resoundingly returned a vote in 
favour of secession.

Later that same month the Lisbon agreement 
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisbon_Agreement> was signed, setting up a 
framework for a multi-ethnic coalition government. The signatories were 
Radovan Karadzic for the Serbs (representing 31% of the population 
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_population_census_in_Bosnia_and_Herzegovina>),
 
Mate Boban for the Croats (14%) and Alija Izetbegovic for the Bosniaks 
(43%).

However two weeks later, Izetbegovic decided to withdraw his signature 
and the coalition government was abandoned, resulting in 45% of the 
population being disenfranchised from government, without any clear 
explanation as to the reasons why. This event was crucial in escalating 
an already tense situation into all-out war.

Another important factor which is often omitted from the growing popular 
consensus on what happened in Bosnia is the uncertain, 
anything-is-possible atmosphere when Yugoslavia dissolved. It was by no 
means clear-cut at the time that Bosnia would (or should) be entirely 
governed and dominated by Bosnian Muslims – it had always had an 
enormous ethnic Serb/Orthodox Christian presence and influence. When the 
region was a federal entity within Yugoslavia, this diversity did not 
lead to much friction, nor was there much of an imperative to define 
which ethnicity was dominant.

It's absolutely right that Karadzic pays the price for any crimes he is 
found guilty of. However in the rush to assign the simplified roles of 
aggressor and victim, crucial details are being sidelined – this was not 
a war of aggression but a civil war, with atrocities committed on all 
sides. Karadzic and Milosevic did not create the situation but harnessed 
it, and rode it like a wave. The genesis of the conflict was in the 
dissolution of Yugoslavia and the rise of aggressive nationalism in the 
vacuum created by the collapse of Tito's Brotherhood and Unity 
<http://www.rationalium.com/2010/03/brotherhood-and-unity-reflection-on.html> 
ideology.

If these nuances are left out of the popular accounts of the Bosnian 
conflict, then the true lessons of it will be lost on the general 
public. This is already in evidence with the disproportionate focus on a 
few Serb leaders, as if their capture and trial has somehow solved the 
problem – it has not. The cautionary tale Bosnia has to teach us is not 
about "evil" individuals but about the dangers of aggressive nationalism 
and factionalism, a lesson more relevant than ever in the constantly 
shrinking world we inhabit.

• Ivo Petkovski posts on Cif under the username OZKT29B 
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/users/OZKT29B>

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