What the Kosovo ruling means for Canada: trouble

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The true impact of the World Court’s decision will be on separatist groups 
outside of Serbia that now have a model for how to declare independence Lyle 
Stafford for The Globe and Mail

The true impact of the World Court’s decision will be on separatist groups 
outside of Serbia that now have a model for how to declare independence

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Milan Markovic


Belgrade — From Saturday's Globe and Mail Published on Saturday, Jul. 31, 2010 
5:00AM EDT Last updated on Saturday, Jul. 31, 2010 11:02AM EDT 

After the International Court of Justice ruled that Kosovo’s declaration of 
independence was not prohibited by international law, I expected Serbs to react 
with anger. In truth, the reaction was one of indifference. There were no 
protests in Belgrade or histrionics by Serbian politicians.

The muted reaction was appropriate. International lawyers agree that last 
week’s decision is mostly notable for what it doesn’t do. The World Court 
purposely sidestepped difficult questions such as whether the declaration 
brought about Kosovo’s secession from Serbia and whether nations such as Canada 
and the United States were legally justified in recognizing an independent 
Kosovo. The court ruled only that declarations of independence made by 
separatist groups are not contrary to international law.

The World Court’s decision has been hailed by Kosovo’s government, but the 
ruling does not require other countries to recognize Kosovo as an independent 
state. Russia, China and Spain have already said they will continue to treat 
Kosovo as a part of Serbia. The true impact of the court’s decision will be on 
separatist groups outside of Serbia that now have a model for how to declare 
independence. Quebec separatists, in particular, can be expected to embrace the 
decision.

The Harper government has long sought to distinguish Kosovo and Quebec. Maxime 
Bernier, as minister of foreign affairs, initially justified Canada’s 
recognition of Kosovo by claiming that human-rights violations in the territory 
made it a “unique case.” This claim simply does not withstand scrutiny after 
the World Court’s ruling.

The court gave no consideration to Serbia’s treatment of Kosovo’s Albanian 
population. It noted only that there were radically different views on whether 
international law allows for secession on the basis of a state’s violation of 
human rights, as well as whether Kosovo was such a case.

What the court did find was that secessionist groups are not obligated to 
respect the territorial integrity of the country from which they are trying to 
secede. Nor are they prohibited from unilaterally declaring independence 
against the will of that country. What, then, is to stop Quebec’s National 
Assembly from declaring the province’s independence without holding a fair 
referendum as Quebec is supposed to do under the Clarity Act?

Few countries are likely to recognize an independent Quebec that tries to 
separate in such a manner. Indeed, there is arguably an obligation on the part 
of other nations to not recognize a unilateral secession by Quebec, although 
the World Court’s decision provides no insight into this question. 
Nevertheless, Quebec separatists may calculate that their energies are better 
directed at lobbying for recognition from individual nations than trying to 
comply with the Clarity Act.

Moreover, if Canada were to criticize Quebec for failing to adhere to the 
Clarity Act, Quebec could point out that Kosovo never even held a referendum in 
advance of declaring its independence. Its leaders could ask: Why must we not 
only hold a referendum but also allow the House of Commons to approve the 
referendum question and certify that the referendum result constituted a clear 
vote for independence?

The Kosovo precedent also undermines the notion that Quebec must seriously 
negotiate its separation from Canada. Under the administrative scheme 
established by the United Nations Security Council, representatives from Serbia 
and Kosovo were required to negotiate Kosovo’s final status. The negotiations 
were fruitless, leading Kosovo to declare its independence. But Kosovo’s 
representatives indicated from the beginning of negotiations that they would 
not settle for anything short of full independence and would not tolerate any 
partition of Kosovo’s territory. Quebec’s leaders may be tempted to take a 
similar line and declare Quebec’s independence if Canada refuses to acquiesce 
to these unfavourable terms.

The Harper government’s unconditional recognition of Kosovo has left Canada in 
an extremely difficult position. Whereas other countries that face secessionist 
threats and have refused to recognize Kosovo can maintain – consistent with the 
World Court’s decision – that a unilateral declaration of independence does not 
have the effect of creating an independent state, Canada must somehow reconcile 
its acceptance of Kosovo’s secession based on such a declaration with its claim 
that a similar action by Quebec would be contrary to international law.

After the court’s Kosovo decision, it is naive to believe that the Clarity Act 
will prevent Quebec from unilaterally declaring its independence from Canada. 
Quebec separatists will only be dissuaded from such a course of action if the 
international community expresses its support for the Clarity Act. Thus, the 
federal government must continue to work to solicit this support. Canada should 
also be more prudent in recognizing independence movements in the future. As 
noble as it may be to support the desire of other peoples for 
self-determination, Canada should not again needlessly weaken its position with 
respect to Quebec.

Milan Markovic, a New York-based lawyer, is a teaching fellow at Temple 
University’s Beasley School of Law in Philadelphia.

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