Sudanese president promises no quick fixes to economic woes
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October 19, 2011 (KHARTOUM) – The Sudanese president Omer Hassan
al-Bashir on Wednesday offered a more detailed assessment of the
economic challenges facing the country in one of his most candid
speeches on the topic to date.


Sudan’s President Omer Hassan al-Bashir (Reuters)Addressing an
economic forum at the ruling National Congress Party (NCP), Bashir
underscored the negative impact created by the secession of the
oil-rich south last July.

The Sudanese leader said that losing oil as a major source of revenue
has led to a budget deficit and an unfavorable balance of trade which
he said put the government in the dilemma of needing to raise new
revenues without having to raise taxes.

"How do we bridge the gap...without increasing taxes? We need to
broaden the tax base to tax those outside the tax system," Bashir
said.

He also stressed that reducing government spending is needed along
with seeking more revenue sources in order to adjust with the new
economic reality.

Sudan lost 75% of its oil reserves after the south became an
independent state which fueled an unprecedented economic boom since
the signing of the 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA).

But analysts say that Khartoum mismanaged the oil wealth by
overspending on security organs and forfeited an opportunity to invest
in agricultural and industrial sectors to diversify the economy.

In its World Economic Outlook published last month, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a negative real GDP growth for Sudan;
-0.2% in 2011 and -0.4% in 2012. This is down from the 6.5% growth
achieved in 2010 and an average of 6.7% in the years 2003-2009.

Sudanese officials are hopeful that an agreement can be reached soon
with the landlocked south on how much the new state should be charged
for using the oil pipelines to export its crude through Port Sudan.

Khartoum has reportedly asked South Sudan for $32 per barrel which was
swiftly rejected by Juba and described as "daylight robbery". The two
countries are set to soon resume negotiations on the issue under the
auspices of an African Union (AU) panel headed by former South African
president Thabo Mbeki.

Bashir called for boosting export levels and local production to ease
growing pressure on the already low levels of foreign currency
reserves. Earlier this year the government has placed restrictions on
imports and curtailed the amount of hard currency Sudanese citizens
can buy.

Sudan’s non-oil exports in the January-September period came to $1.58
billion compared with $1.21 billion for the January-August period in
2010, the central bank said on Wednesday. It did not give figures for
January-September 2010.

Exports of gold, the key earner on the export list, reached $977.41
million in January-September this year, up 33 percent compared with
January-August 2010, it said.

The central bank did not say how much Khartoum made from oil exports.
Last year the whole of Sudan made around $10 billion from oil, which
was shared equally between north and south.

In recent months the black market for foreign currency has flourished
pushing the Sudanese pound to deteriorate to record levels.

The Sudanese president disclosed that a meeting is held every week by
ministers dealing with the economy to monitor the situation.

However he noted that the entire world is going through economic
turmoil which he said is a result of capitalism.

"Our recommendations are not for lifting the Sudanese economy from the
immediate crisis, but to research and find treatments for the
suffering of the world now after the failure of the system of
capitalism, and finding an exit by returning to God for a way out of
the severe economic crisis, and move away from [charging] interest
because it is [like] fighting against God” Bashir said.

The Sudanese president also slammed states in the way they handle
investments and implored on them to show more seriousness in
attracting investors and removing any hurdles in that regard.

He also expressed surprise at the large numbers of foreign workers inside Sudan.

"We have unemployment and there are no jobs, and at the same time we
have a large number of foreign laborers," Bashir said.

"This creates social and economic problems, and these are the problems
we want to solve” the Sudanese president added.

The IMF estimated unemployment rate in Sudan at 13.4% in 2011 but
projected this figure to decline to 12.2% in 2012.

Many observers and pro-government figures have warned that the
worsening living situation for many Sudanese in the form of rising
food prices and other necessities could push the country closer to a
popular uprising similar to other countries in North Africa.

However, Sudanese officials have routinely dismissed this possibility.

(ST)

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