Threat of Renewed Ethnic Conflict in Eastern Congo Rises Ahead of Vote Count
Posted by Fidel Bafilemba on Jan 11, 2012
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GOMA, Democratic Republic of Congo -- The announcement of legislative
election results expected this Friday, January 13, may spark renewed
ethnic violence in eastern Congo. Allegations of intentional
destruction and falsification of ballots in favor of the presidential
majority have intensified the already tense electoral climate in North
Kivu. Vocal members of ethnic communities and leaders of armed groups
have threatened to take matters in their own hands if the electoral
commission does not address the allegedly falsified results by the end
of the week.

Preliminary results from local compilation centers have been published
for most of North Kivu, with the exception of Masisi and Rutshuru,
over the last several weeks since the November 28 vote. Out of the 25
seats already announced, only five went to the opposition. In Lubero,
for example, the opposition has only won one seat out of eight. A
Congolese constitutionalist lawyer and candidate Jean Paul Lumbulumbu
Mutanava filed a case of fraud for the territory to the electoral
commission, voicing his regret of “ballots hijacking in the
compilation center of Musienene/Lumbia (…) and the incident of a
$50,000 bribe paid to agents of the electoral commission by a
candidate of the COFEDEC political party of the presidential
majority.” He told Enough that it was with deep regret and bitterness
that his party, the PLD, witnessed massive acts of fraud since the
beginning of the election process. “Regarding the compilation process,
I cannot understand that out of Lubero’s 938 polling stations only 482
have been compiled.” In addition, the armed group Mayi-Mayi
Lafontaine, active in Lubero and Beni, has threatened to use force to
“restore the truth of the polls,” as have other Mayi-Mayi groups,
according to an influential community leader in Goma.

In volatile Masisi, where Enough and others documented serious
electoral problems, the vote count has also been fraudulent. The
publication of the preliminary results was postponed over
contestations. According to the opposition, political party witnesses
were asked by agents of the electoral commission to sign the electoral
records early last week despite the fact that the compilation had not
been completed. The results had changed overnight, with opposition
figures disappearing among the winners to favor the presidential
majority parties, the UCP and ADDI. Some of the witnesses Enough spoke
with have received death threats for not signing the document.

In a complaint letter to North Kivu’s executive secretary of the
electoral commission, dated January 3, 14 political party and
independent witnesses denounced the compilation irregularities in
Masisi, taking issue in particular with the fact that out of the
territory’s 878 polling stations 433 were unlawfully compiled on the
compilation suspension day of December 19 and 305 had not been
compiled at all. Frustration among Masisi’s natives, the Hunde
population, over the loss by all Hunde candidates despite the
overwhelming vote for them, as observed by witnesses, has led to
clashes with the police in Masisi town late last week. The Bahunde
community is preparing to further demonstrate the results. While the
electoral commission in Kinshasa has sent an investigative team, which
arrived in Goma on January 7, to defuse tensions in Masisi, doubts
remain about how much can be achieved before the official count is
released.

The Congolese human rights group VSV concluded in its latest
publication on January 8 that the irregularities reported are not due
to the lack of experience of the Congolese electoral administration,
but rather due to deliberate attempts to rig the elections.

“If no solution is found, the produced legitimacy crisis will put the
Congolese population at risk of losing confidence in democracy,” VSV
wrote. In theory, if it is determined that the irregularities have
influenced the outcome of the vote, the Constitutional Court could
cancel the vote in whole or in part, as ensured by the electoral law,
VSV noted. However, it is unlikely that this will happen given the
court’s close association with the president.

Sarah Zingg Wimmer contributed to this post.

Photo: Voters check for their names on a list ahead of the November 28
poll (Enough / Sarah Zingg Wimmer)

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