Military Subversion in Congo?
Posted by Fidel Bafilemba on Jan 17, 2012
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While it is not clear how serious the threats are, recent developments
within and around the Congolese military are making Kinshasa’s ruling
power nervous and are worth keeping an eye on.

First, there are rumors that the Congolese military is on the verge of
splitting. Reportedly, the president’s circle is suspecting some
military elements from the western parts of the Congo of having allied
themselves with Kinshasa’s neighbor to the north, Congo-Brazzaville.
Military units from the western region are believed to be colluding
with the former Air Force Chief of Staff of the Democratic Republic of
Congo, General Faustin Munene, who is accused of having masterminded a
failed coup in Kinshasa more than a year ago and who has been in
hiding in Congo-Brazzaville.

Because of the long-brewing discontent among western elements of the
armed forces for having lost out on the ex-CNDP’s takeover of the army
and police command across eastern Congo, the ruling power’s concern
these days is that western elements would easily switch sides to join
in Munene’s forces—soldiers that Etienne Tshisekedi is rumored to rely
upon, according to an influential ex-CNDP officer. Fears of a coup
could be behind the recent army reshuffling and the strong deployment
of Munene’s former belligerents, the ex-CNDP troops from the East, to
Kinshasa.

Second, there are fears of a rebellion. General Munene left Congo in
October 2010 to allegedly link up with the thousands of former
officers and soldiers of the “Forces Armées Zaïoises,” the army that
was loyal to deposed dictator Mobutu Sese Seko. Munene is also
suspected of having struck an alliance with the current Congolese army
Chief-of-Staff, General Didier Etumba.

Etumba has reportedly resisted forceful resignation by President
Kabila, who accused him of siding with subversive groups. Before
electoral campaigns began on October 28, Etumba reportedly posed in
photos with people later suspected of beating the Senate’s president
Léon Kengo Wa Dondo on New Year’s Eve in Paris, according to sources
in the presidency’s intelligence services. The groups are believed to
be led by a longtime opponent of Kabila’s regime, Honoré Ngbanda, who
fled to France after Mobutu’s regime was toppled in 1997.

Third, since the beginning of the year, self-proclaimed president
Etienne Tshisekedi has reportedly started promising to soon pay $150
to all military elements, no matter what the rank. The lack of salary
for soldiers is a serious problem in the Congo. As recently as January
9, two army brigades in Bukavu, South Kivu protested a more than a
three-month pay delay. Three soldiers and two civilians were injured.
Given the destitution of many soldiers, it is not unlikely that some
military elements could be motivated by the promise of pay to shift
their loyalty to Tshisekedi – a scenario certainly worrisome to
President Kabila as he begins his new five-year term amid ongoing
tension over organized massive fraud cases.

Sarah Zingg Wimmer contributed to this post.

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