“Oil Production Halt Is Wake-up Call To Scratch The Ground"
Most South Sudanese supported the action against the illegal
exploration of their oil by Sudan and the closure of the oil
production, however an Economist says the country need to explore more
avenues to be economically independent.
04 February 2012
“Oil Production Halt Is Wake-up Call To Scratch The Ground"
Kenyi Spencer speaking to Gurtong correspondent in Juba [©Gurtong]

By Juma John Stephen
JUBA, 4th February 2012 [Gurtong] – Most South Sudanese supported the
action against the illegal exploration of their oil by Sudan and the
closure of the oil production, however an Economist says the country
need to explore more avenues to be economically independent.

The economy of South Sudan was run with oil money since its inception.
There are other resources but they have not been exploited to boost
the economy. With the closure of the oil production, what is the
impact in the country? Gurtong spoke to Kenyi Spencer a South Sudanese
Economist to get answers to this question.

In his view, shutting down of the oil has come at the right moment. “I
wish it came much earlier than this,” he said.

“By shutting down the oil production, the government now needs to
unleash some of the potentials that South Sudan has. When we were
using the oil money it actually subdued the need to develop some of
these potentials South Sudan has -like taxes, agriculture, gold, and
uranium, copper among others.

As an economist, Spencer said the government should think on how to
start developing the economy especially the revenue collection.
Revenue collection has been very poor hence the need to be
streamlined.

“The first window is to streamline the tax administration because the
amount of money we are making through it is a lot closer to 60% of
what we used to get from oil,” Said Kenyi

What South Sudan needed by then at the beginning of the Comprehensive
Peace Agreement (CPA) was to start attracting investors in the
Agricultural sector. Currently the government need to start engaging
the armed forces to grow their own food to feed them and the excess be
sold, to ease the purchase of food on daily basis.

“The government should set up its own demonstration farms specialized
particularly in crops to teach people. We are saying people should
start farming; it is not easy unless we show them how to cultivate
huge farms,” he added.

For South Sudan to start involving herself in the international trade
the healthiest way is to have its own products to trade.  The strategy
should be to open feeder roads for all products produced by our people
to have access to the markets, Kenyi explained.

“I consider 20th of January 2012 to be the day for economic
independence in South Sudan after the decision to stop oil production.
We should have gone to the boarder stations the following day to
correct the issues of tax administration, so that the money starts
flowing smoothly.”

The economist also backed the decision by the Governor of the Central
Bank of South Sudan; Mr. Kornelio Koriom of declaring that there is
going to be no trading in dollars to Uganda and Kenya for medical and
academic purposes apart from government exports.

“For any country’s economy to perform well, that country must start
using its own currency, the moment we start using foreign currency, we
will create a big problem because we shall not be able to track or
control inflation. So, what the Bank of South Sudan has done is
recommended because transfers are going to be easy,” he emphasized.

“Often traders used to import products by physically carrying money in
a briefcase. What banks should do noe is to organize a commercial way
of transferring funds from one bank to another.”

“For now, in order to support the South Sudanese pounds get strong,
there has to be US dollars pumped into the markets, as mechanisms are
being set for the transfer of money from bank to bank. If we don’t do
so, it will be very difficult to sustain the economy and control
inflation,” Kenyi warned.

“For the sustenance of the administrative system of governance, we
might be forced to be borrowing. However, the culture of borrowing can
mess up the economy because perpetually we are going to be in
deficits. If there is going to be any borrowing at all it should be
limited to salaries and developmental work.”

Most South Sudanese have developed a luxurious taste in machinery
which is not productive rather for show-off. They have speed in
consumption of lavishness; this was due to the free money from oil.
Until they change their attitudes and learn how to tighten their
economic belts as President Kiir said, then the shortfall can’t be
resolved.

The closure of the oil production is a wake-up call that they need to
scratch the ground to produce something, and teach our people that
they have other resources, stop enjoying luxury in dust.
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