Piracy is as likely to be solved in London as Somalia – By David Leonard
February 22, 2012

This week, leaders including David Cameron, UN Secretary-General Ban
Ki Moon and Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi will meet at a
conference in London to attempt a step-change in the international
community’s approach to Somalia. Central to the conference is the
issue of piracy, as groups of armed men continue to periodically
capture shipping vessels and hold them for ransom.

But the proposed solutions to piracy are overly focused on security on
the ground in Somalia, and fail to account for financial flows that
make piracy possible and touch businesses in London. My research with
Professor Mohamed Samantar of Puntland State University suggest that
if the international fails to understand how piracy functions, this
latest conference will join a string of failed international attempts
to promote security in Somalia.

The thousand mile Indian Ocean coast of Puntland, one of two
autonomous authorities in what was once northern Somalia, became a
base for piracy only after fishing in coastal waters collapsed due to
over-fishing and toxic waste dumping by European-owned ships. To date
outside vessels continue to operate in Puntland’s waters with impunity
and coastal communities have few ways to make their living.

Nonetheless, now that the returns to piracy have been demonstrated to
be so lucrative, it would be difficult to convince Puntland residents
to return to fishing alone. Instead NATO and other navies have been
patrolling the parts of the Indian Ocean leading to Suez and efforts
have been made to prompt Puntland’s semi-autonomous government to shut
down piracy in its ports. Both of these “solutions” are flawed.

Focusing on solving piracy within Puntland is mistaken first because
the people who organise and finance Somali piracy almost certainly
live outside the area — in Nairobi, Suez or possibly even London.

Second, although Puntland has been moderately successful at state
reconstruction, its capacities and resources are very limited.  The
revenues generated by ransoms probably exceed Puntland’s entire
budget. While the government might be able to imprison the young,
unemployed men who capture the ships, low capacity and the potential
for corruption would make it impossible to catch – let alone hold –
the rich organisers behind the piracy.

Finally, while it is possible that communities in Puntland could be
persuaded to chase out pirates – as the town of Eyl has done – this
would simply shift the base of piracy south into ports controlled by
the fundamentalist Islamist group al Shabaab. Piracy revenues might
then be used to finance its militia and expand terrorism in Kenya and
other neighbouring countries.

The option to fight piracy at sea is more promising, but it too has
flaws. Both the area that must be patrolled and the volume of ships
using Suez are impossibly large. NATO ship commanders have told me
that if the task is to be feasible maritime traffic must be restricted
to defined ocean corridors. But corridors imply longer routes for the
commercial vessels and higher costs. At the moment the costs ships
would pay to follow longer routes are higher than the insurance
premiums they pay against capture by pirates.

The real solution to Somali piracy lies with a partnership between
NATO navies and European commercial interests. NATO needs to prevent
international exploitation of Somali fishing waters while also
patrolling defined maritime corridors. Higher insurance rates would
induce international vessels to stay within these corridors. Ships
should also employ self-protections, such as safe lock-in rooms for
the crew, so that NATO patrol vessels can reach them before pirates
force them to surrender. Finally, the focus should be on capturing
those who plan and fund piracy, more than on the young-men who board
the ships. Finding the organisers could start with tracking how piracy
is financed and how ransoms are distributed. These solutions suggest
that it is indeed in the financial hub of London, not just along the
coasts of Puntland, that Somali piracy must be tackled.

David Leonard is Professorial Fellow, Institute of Development
Studies, UK http://www.ids.ac.uk/go/idsperson/professor-david-leonard

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