Sudan dangerous as an erratic neighbor to South Sudan

By Jacob K. Lupai, SOUTH SUDAN

Introduction

APR. 17/2012, SSN; Sudan was one united country until the 9th July
2011 when the southern part became independent Republic of South. This
left the northern part to remain as the Republic of Sudan. Reasons for
the split of Sudan into two independent countries are so numerous that
it may probably need a 100,000 word thesis for critical analysis of
the reasons for the split of Sudan.  Suffice to say that northern
Sudanese elite were overzealous of their Arabness and their religion,
Islam.

Understanding this in the context of South Sudan can give a clue or
glimpse of the fundamentals of the split of Sudan into two independent
countries. However, dwelling on the split is like crying over spilt
milk. What is important, though, is to understand how and why the
Republic of Sudan is dangerous as erratic neighbor to the Republic of
South Sudan.

Sudan’s dream

Sudan was an Arab country and a member of the Arab League before the
southern part separated to become independent. Being officially an
Arab country, Sudan was already internally divided into Arab and non
Arab faces and with the Arab element with its privilege position was
dominant in all aspects of running the affairs of the country.

There was gross marginalization of the non-Arab element manifested
especially in the underdevelopment of Southern Sudan. Another twist
was the adoption of Islamic Sharia when marginalization of non Muslims
was consolidated. The dream was more of control of resources in
Southern Sudan that the promotion of unity of Sudan. The dream made
the northern elite overenthusiastic to get it fulfilled.

As can be realized in their own blunders Sudan has become a dangerous
erratic neighbour. The dream of controlling resources in Southern
Sudan pushed the northern elite to fiddle with North-South borders.
When oil was struck in the first wells north of Bentiu town in
Southern Sudan the northern elite christened the wells as Unity Wells.
To confuse the northern elite misled the world about the exact
location of the oil fields. They claimed the location of the oil
fields was 450 miles south of Khartoum and at other times the elite
described the oil fields as located in southern part of Western Sudan.
Associating the oil fields with the southern part of Western Sudan
made the oil fields to appear within the borders of the North now the
Republic of Sudan. This deceptive plan obviously revealed the northern
elite’s sinister design to deprive the South of its wealth.

As to add insult to injury a pipeline would be constructed from the
oil fields to Port Sudan for the oil to reach international markets.
The reaction from the people of the South was swift with
demonstrations taking place. The demand was the channeling of the oil
to international markets through Mombasa Port in Kenya instead of Port
Sudan. In reaction to the demonstrations in the South the feeling in
the North was expressed by the President of Sudan when he said
southerners did not want northerners to have anything to do with the
oil from the South.

This clearly suggests that the North all along had wanted to control
southern wealth. This was to be achieved through fiddling with
North-South borders in transferring rich agricultural and pasture
lands, and areas where oil was discovered from the South to Southern
Darfur, Southern Kordofan and the White Nile provinces. This was
followed by another North’s decision to build an oil refinery in Kosti
to refine Bentiu crude oil. Specifically the North had attempted to
transfer the rich oil, agricultural and grazing lands of Upper Nile
and Bahr el Ghazal to Northern provinces by merely redrawing the map.
However, boundary changes were not acceptable to the South.

As a result a committee was appointed to investigate and review the
relevant legal texts and to advise. The committee independent
recommendation was the retention of boundaries fixed on 1st January
1956 and this showed the discovered oil fields were in the South.
Nevertheless, with the independence of the South, the Republic of
Sudan is still dreaming of controlling what are precisely oil fields
in independent Republic of South Sudan.

Sudan’s menace

When on the 9th July 2011 Sudan split into two independent countries
of South Sudan and Sudan, Sudan automatically lost its share of wealth
from South Sudan. It is to be recalled that in old Sudan most of the
natural resources including oil were mainly in the South. The
separation of South from the North brought economic woes and
uncertainty to what is now the Republic of Sudan. In its complacency
old Sudan never believed that the South would one day become an
independent country.

Old Sudan saw its unity untouchable. However, for people in the South
who saw the unity of old Sudan as a curse rather than a blessing, it
was not difficult to get a near unanimous yes vote for total
independence of the South. This left the now Republic of Sudan reeling
in confusion, sleepless nights and in panic. The Republic of Sudan’s
immediate response to the South’s declaration of in dependence was to
undermine the young Republic. Sudan occupied Abyei, an area that
belongs to South Sudan but circumstantially was annexed to the North.
It confiscated South Sudan’s crude oil on flimsy reasons. Sudan stole
crude oil from South Sudan in broad day light prompting South Sudan to
shut down oil production.

In desperation Sudan responded by bombing targets in South Sudan as an
act of intimidation and also as a contempt of the international
community that had instantly recognised the independence of South
Sudan. Clearly Sudan is a menace and an erratic neighbour that needs a
decisive response it will not easily forget.

South Sudan’s military response

South Sudan had asserted on numerous occasions that it would not
return to war with Sudan despite provocations by the latter. It opted
for a peaceful resolution of conflicts through dialogue and
negotiations. Nevertheless, Sudan had other ideas. As a dangerous and
deceptive neighbour, Sudan has been scheming on how best to administer
South Sudan a deadly blow of no survival as an independent country.
Sudan combined its air force and infantry to undermine the territorial
integrity of South Sudan.

Although with limited air defenses South Sudan responded decisively to
the constant and outrageous provocation by Sudan. The South Sudan army
well known as Sudan People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) has shown beyond
anybody’s doubt that it is capable of defending the sovereignty of the
country. The response of South Sudan is a lesson that Sudan will not
swallow easily. The hawks in Sudan must be wondering what next.

Well, it is possible that the Sudanese masses may soon rise up against
the tyrannical regime of Sudan that has been a thorn in the flesh of
the people both in South Sudan and Sudan. The masses in Western,
Eastern and Northern Sudan must converge for the final push so that
there is peaceful co-existence between Sudan and South Sudan. The
masses in both countries have the same aspirations of peaceful
co-existence and trade for better living conditions. They are all sons
and daughters of Adam and Eve but the tyrants in Sudan are the
greatest obstacle in promoting brotherhood between the two countries.
The sooner the tyrants are out of the way the better.

South Sudan’s diplomatic response

 South Sudan’s diplomatic response to the outrageous provocations by
Sudan seems at best dismal and worst non-existent. One would have
expected South Sudan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs to travel to Addis
Ababa and New York to brief the African Union (AU) and the United
Nations (UN) respectively on provocations and invasion of South Sudan
territory by Sudan and on the location of the contested oil fields.
The Minister should have been also to Washington, London, Moscow and
Beijing to brief the leaders there of the situation in the border
areas between Sudan and South Sudan. Other South Sudan Ministers
accompanied by expert geographers and historians should have visited
countries strategic to South Sudan to explain the side of the story of
South Sudan on the ongoing conflicts in the border areas and the
location of oil fields. In this way the world might have come to know
the conflict better than when Sudan diplomatic missions were lying to
the world. The Sudanese ambassador in London claimed Heglig is in
Sudan but not in South Sudan.

This is arguable and South Sudan diplomatic response should have been
to counter such baseless arguments advanced by the Sudanese. It is
understandable that the President of Republic of South Sudan may
remain inside the country to handle the escalating situation in the
border areas. In all the near absence of South Sudan’s diplomatic
offensive to the claims by Sudan that Heglig belongs to its territory
is depressing indeed.

The world now believes the one-sided story of Sudan. This may explain
why the AU and the UN are hard on South Sudan but soft on Sudan. The
AU and the UN may incline to side with the perceived strong one
considered right. In this case South Sudan may be perceived weak and
so it can be bullied into submission because it is perceived to be on
the wrong side as indicated by the order of the UN Secretary General
for South Sudan’s troops to withdraw from Heglig immediately. South
Sudan’s diplomatic offensive, if there was any, might have
counter-balanced the AU and the UN grossly biased perception of South
Sudan as the aggressor while they were indifferent when Sudan was
involved in persistent indiscriminate bombing of targets in South
Sudan where innocent civilians lost their lives. Hopefully a formal
complaint against Sudan’s naked aggression has been lodged with the AU
and the UN.

Conclusion

Sudan is indeed dangerous as an erratic neighbour to South Sudan.
South Sudan has no air force to launch bombing campaign against Sudan.
Yet in a deliberate attempt to sabotage the economy of South Sudan,
Sudan embarked on a crude way to starve South Sudan of the vital
revenue from oil. At first Sudan wanted to charge exorbitant fees for
services to South Sudan oil industry. As that was not enough Sudan
started to steal South Sudan oil. When it was discovered, Sudan turned
to naked aggression against South Sudan. In retaliation South Sudan
has also shown the world that tyrants should not be rewarded with
appeasement all the time.

In conclusion, it is regrettable that the AU and the UN have behaved
like a poor referee officiating a match of two teams. Where is the
fairness of those two world bodies when they issued strongly worded
statements against South Sudan for allegedly occupying Sudan’s
territory when in fact Sudan was persistently attacking South Sudan
from the air and also on the ground. South Sudan must be weary of the
AU and the UN and so must take the diplomatic initiative to educate
those who are deliberately ignorant.

In other words those who turn a blind eye to the realities on the
ground as though nothing is happening but only to succumb to tyrant’s
propaganda of deception. The AU and the UN are obviously aware that
the leadership of Sudan is wanted by the International Criminal Court
(ICC) and is still at large while the leadership of South Sudan is
not. Appeasing tyrants for continuing to bomb the hell out of innocent
civilians is strange indeed for bodies such as the AU and the UN.

 The author can be reached at [email protected]

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