No Retreat from Any Reclaimed South Sudan’s 01/01/56 Territories .




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By: Justin Ambago Ramba

April 20, 2012 (SSNA) -- Those who choose to remain cocooned in the
myth   that the republic of South Sudan and its northern neighbor
which is ruled by the orthodox National Islamic Front (NIF)   a.k.a
the National Congress Party(NCP)   of Omer al Bashir were   unlikely
to   revert   to war were being either too naïve or just wishful
thinkers. Now they can see things for themselves for every development
on the ground, be it militarily or politically, they are all strongly
supportive of the opinion that the two countries are already at a very
advanced stage of a real war.

In Khartoum an all-out war against Juba has been declared by President
Omer al Bashir. This serious declaration came only a few days after
the NCP dominated parliament in its sitting overwhelmingly voted to
declare the Republic of South Sudan as an “Enemy State”. And in a
culture where people mostly referred to one another as brother or
sister, in fact to designate someone as an enemy is often taken more
seriously than the real act of fighting itself.

And it’s no longer about beating the drums of war as some would like
the public opinion to believe. Nor is it about the traditional
brinkmanship between South Sudan’s ruling party, the SPLM and the
northern   Islamists of the   NCP that has for long characterized the
relationship between the two since the day they signed the embattled
CPA in 2005.

At this stage of the unfolding crisis it is absolutely vital that all
outsiders appreciate the basic fact that the chances for the two
governments to ever reach any peaceful settlements over the unresolved
issues can only be feasible through a third party     which will
militarily impose the full implementation of all the outstanding
issues in the 2005 peace deal. Only and only then can this part of the
world see peace and stability.

It is   regrettable that the UNSC   has not shown any clear lead in
guaranteeing that the Republic of Sudan abides to the peace truce it
has inked with its neighbor of South Sudan especially so on the
issue4s of timely demarcation of the borders on one hand and the
implementation of the Abyei Protocol.

Thabo Mbeki who has found a permanent employment for himself on
Sudanese issues has since long become part of the problem and never
will he be able to strike any break through given his leniency on the
genocidal regime in Khartoum. On the other hand his employers in the
African Union’s HQs in Addis Ababa not only do they lack the political
will to handle such a complex issue, but are even short of the money
to do so since the death of the organization’s most generous
benefactor late Moamaar Ghadafi, the disposed Libyan dictator leaving
the AU with a huge financial gap to fill.

There was no need for the so-called International community to bury
its head in the sand when the possibility of a real return to war
between the Sudan and the new State of South Sudan was long coming.
The fact that Khartoum has continuously and systematically undermined
the nascent state is everyone’s knowledge. The Khartoum regime has
always carried out aerial bombardments, border incursions and
subversive activities against South Sudan.   What have the African
Union or the United Nations been towards these aggressions were no
more than issuance of statements

Controlled by Islamic fascists and bigots the likes of Nafie Ali
Nafie, an NCP senior official and a Presidential Assistant or al Tayeb
Mustafa of ‘Al Intibah’ tabloid, who has since been promoted to the
unusual political post of the “Presidential Uncle”, no new agreement
can be sealed between the two countries leave alone sticking to points
already signed into the existing truce.

The international community as represented by the UN Security (UNSC)
has only one genuine role to play in the South Sudan – Sudan conflict
after the two have become separate countries and that is to use
everything in its reach to enforce the implementation of all the
protocols of the CPA, even if that means the use of military
intervention.

As things stand now, the UNSC can only play an effect role if it
immediately opts for a military intervention in the border area and
force the demarcation of the borders according to the Comprehensive
Peace Agreement (CPA) and that is the 1/1/1956 borders plus the full
implementation of the Abyei protocol to the letter and to the spirit
of the truce.

As for the reclaimed land of Paanthou (so-called Heglig), this   is an
integral part of South Sudan per the map of the Old Sudan that stood
on 1/1/56, although it was later annexed to the north following the
discovery of oil in the region. To every concerned South Sudanese it
was just a matter of time that once the CPA is fully implemented,
Paanthou   (Heglig,   for further clarity) would automatically return
under South Sudan’s administration.

Yet it cannot go without saying that the SPLM delegation to the Hague
unfortunately seemed compromised by some internal party deals probably
driven by ideological reasons, when Paanthou which was already annexed
from the Unity State of South Sudan to the Southern Kordofan State of
the North since the year 2004 and incorporated as part of Abyei was
not objected to when it was abundantly known that the court was going
to use the 1905 Abyei map and not the new map for ruling.

Furthermore the SPLM delegation had already committed a fatal mistake
when it chose to declare in advance that it was going to abide by the
ruling of the court, when history has shown that court rulings aren’t
always right while each contestant reserves their right to appeal.

However Khartoum in defiance of the CPA is determined never to let go
of the many territories it has annexed from the South Sudan.   To
achieve this it has intentionally avoided any peaceful settlement of
border issues. Whether it is Thabo Mbeki of the African Union   or Ban
Ki Moon, the UN Secretary General, both gentlemen have spectacularly
failed to enforce the border demarcation process for reasons they know
better.

So what the fuss is it now all about if the government of South Sudan
has now opted to militarily reclaim all its territories as they stood
on the 01/01/56 given the fact that every attempt at negotiated
settlement has been frustrated by the Islamist hardliner in Khartoum?

>From all lessons learned so far it is clear that Khartoum is not
prepared to demarcate its borders with South Sudan because in so doing
it will   lose all the strategic positions, natural resources and rich
agricultural   territories of Kafia Kinji, Hofrat Nihas , Megeinis ,
Paanthou and others. Waiting for Khartoum to concede these territories
through negotiations alone is in fact to wait forever.

While the Republic of South Sudan as a sovereign state has a
recognized right to liberate and protect its territories, one only
sees a further   military pressure towards the total reclamation of
all territories as it stood on 1/1/56 as the only viable option left
on the table.

Hence it need not be overstressed that any naive attempt from the SPLM
leadership to give in to outside pressures at these crucial moments
would be politically detrimental. For to pull out the gallant SPLA
forces from Paanthou will   not only be a   repetition of   the
mistake committed in the case of   Abyei, but definitely also to dash
any hopes of reclaiming the other territories annexed to the north by
the successive ‘jallaba’ regimes which alternated in Khartoum since
the British colonizers left the Old Sudan.

On the other hand external pressures will continue to mount on South
Sudan to withdraw its troops from the reclaimed territory of Paanthou,
yet there is every proof that an internationally guarded 1/1/56
borders between South Sudan and the Sudan will take ages to be
realized especially given the fact that the UN Secretary General Ban
Ki Moon seems to have bought into the erroneous belief that the
reclamation of this integral part of RSS is illegal .

However the United Nations and other international and regional bodies
need to understand that with the complexity that surrounds the
North-South borders, there is nothing that is 100% legal or illegal
until the borders between the two countries are delineated and
demarcated on the ground as they stood on 01/01/56. Any other
judgments outside the full implementation of the CPA will remain as
opinions which are controversial to the best.

Al Bashir’s weird speech : As for the irresponsible speeches delivered
by the Omer al Bashir one can only thank him that so far he has
indirectly helped at this crucial moment   to   unify   the internal
front in the Republic of South Sudan by arrogantly   describing South
Sudanese as “Insects” and people who do not understand. He also went
on to sarcastically talk of how he would use “a stick” to discipline
the people of the Republic of South Sudan (RSS). This only explains
how the sick “Jallaba” still considers himself a slave Master of the
indigenous black Africans. Whatever the cost, he must sincerely be
made to pay for these insults.

Bashir cannot claim to be concerned about the citizens of RSS whom he
has tortured for decades. He too is not in any way qualified to talk
about an intention to be a liberator of the very people (South
Sudanese) who voted (98.8 %) overwhelmingly against his discriminative
rule and infavour of independence from his government.

What does this ‘ Jallaba dancer’   from ‘Hosh Banaga’ take   the
people of South Sudan to be   when he [al Bashir] has literally spent
all his life working   hard to achieve an ethnic cleansing     so that
  his preferred Arab riparian’s can enjoy   a free hand on the land
and its natural resources?

Whether there are still South Sudanese who continue to fight alongside
the Khartoum’s Sudan Armed Forces [SAF] as admitted by Bashir in his
latest declarations - is no secret to anyone.   We all know that it
isn’t the first time to neither see nor hear of such people throughout
the history of our long liberation struggle against the northern Arab
Islamic colonialism.

At the end of the day none of his (al Bashir’s) collaborators will
ever dictate the will of the South Sudanese masses.   Whatever the
“Jallaba” gets from a sell-out can never stop the clock.   And once
the goods are delivered, a sell-out has no further use except to be
dumped like the thousands who walked that same path before. The total
reclamation of every inch of South Sudan’s territories is an
inevitability that is destined to happen. To all the gallant forces of
South Sudan, I salute you and congratulate you for the job well done.
Forward Ever, Backward Never. Battles will be won and battles will be
lost, however the struggle continues and victory is certain.

Author: Dr. Justin Ambago Ramba. He can be reached at: [email protected]

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