South Sudan experiencing “immeasurable threats” to its existence

By Ngor Arol Garang

May 14, 2012 (JUBA) - South Sudan’s deputy defence minister said
Saturday that his country was experiencing an "immeasurable threat"
from Sudan, which was to be addressed by establishing good bilateral
ties with countries in the region.
 Majak D’Agoot, South Sudan’s deputy defence minister
Since South Sudan seceded from Sudan in July last year relations
between the two countries have deteriorated dramatically resulting in
a short border conflict in April over the disputed region of Heglig.

Juba accused Khartoum of using the oil-rich area as springboard to
stage attacks on Unity State in South Sudan. Despite a 2005 peace deal
leaving the two sides six years to resolve numerous issues, when South
Sudan’s independence has left many issues including oil, border
demarcation, ownership of disputed areas, citizenship, national assets
and security where still up in the air.

Speaking at the opening of the Sudd Research Institute on Saturday 12
May, Majak D’Agoot, the country’s deputy defence minister said
disputes of over post-secession issues have created a relationship of
mutual vulnerability rather than benefiting each other.

South Sudan’s decision to stop oil-production earlier this year has
seriously damaged both economies. Juba halted exporting its oil
through Sudan, accusing Khartoum of illegally siphoning Southern
crude. Khartoum says the confiscated oil was payment for unpaid fees.

The senior government figure described Khartoum’s demand for $36 for
each barrel exported through its territory was "unfair" and
"ludicrous". Juba says it is only willing to play less than $1 per
barrel.

South Sudan took with it 75% of oil production at independence and
before the stoppage relied on oil for 98% of the governments budget.
Khartoum is trying to fill the huge blackhole left by its assumption
that it would receive 36$ for each of the 350,000 bpd South Sudan
exported out of Port Sudan on the Red Sea.

D’Agoot said that: "The mutual viability of the states must stem from
the principle of mutual respect and equality between the two."

The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution of May 2 ordered
both sides to return to negotiations to resolve issues over oil,
borders and security within three months. Juba has accepted the
resolution, which also says that Juba must stop aiding rebels in
Sudanese territory.

Juba denies supporting Sudanese rebels and D’Agoot said that "there is
a need to approach to UNSC resolution with care in order to avoid any
possible pitfalls that may endanger national interests."

The second top official in South Sudan’s defence ministry was
addressing an audience of the university officials, senior members of
the government officials and major civil society organisations.

“Our country is experiencing challenges of immeasurable magnitude
including existential threats to its foundations”, he said.

D’Agoot said that the road to towards establishing a vibrant and
stable nation-state was daunting and there was a need to revise
expectations in order to be more realistic and rational.

The senior member of the country’s governing Sudan People’s Liberation
Movement (SPLM) commended capability of the army to defend the country
and explained that recent military clashes along the border have
imposed military parity.

D’Agoot further suggested that one apparent way to begin the process
of addressing challenges facing the country is to clearly define
“strategic national interest including relying on good relations" with
its neigbours so it can find other routes to export its oil

The deputy defence minister listed eight main threats against the
world’s youngest nation:
• Threat of direct military confrontation with Khartoum and its
proxies (Militia and LRA)
 • Post independent issues including the status of Abyei, border
demarcation, oil export, debt, Sudanese pastoralists entering South
Sudan and South Sudanese in Sudan.
 • Economic challenges resulting from recent shutdown of oil
operations and dependence on one source of revenue, being a land
locked country and lack of infrastructure.
 • Challenges of nation building and state formation; dysfunctional
institutions, decapitated press and civil society, lack of respect for
the constitution, provision and maintenance of public safety and
security, gaps in diplomacy, poor management of public resources and
lack of accountability and transparency amongst others.
 • Weak political community, that is, weak political parties, coupled
with unfortunate deepening of ethno-regional sectarian politics.
 • Ethnic violence; ethnic rivalry, conflict over resources, cattle
rustling etc.
 • Border and immigration issues; influx of refugees and spillover of
transnational crimes such as proliferation of small arms and a fear of
spread of international terrorism.
 • Lack of rigorous policy analysis aimed at improving strategic
policy design and decision making, service delivery and creation of
equitable resource distribution formulae and matrices that ensure a
certain level of parity among the country’s regions.

(ST)

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