Regime change in Khartoum essential for peaceful co-existence in the region .





Omar al-Bashir of Sudan. Photo credit: africandictator.org
.
By Jacob K. Lupai

Introduction

June 12, 2012 (SSNA) -- Sudan, as we know it today, did not exist as a
single political entity at the time of its conquest and occupation by
Egypt in the first quarter of the 19th century. The kingdoms of Sennar
and Darfur between them controlled much of what was then called
northern Sudan before the independence of southern Sudan. Southern
Sudan then had maintained its own independence by resisting raids and
invasions from the northern kingdoms of Sennar and Darfur. Egypt was
seeking gold and slaves in Sudan for self-reliance. However, as the
gold in Sudan was too little and its population too small to provide
the needed quantity of slaves to the Egyptian army, Egypt was driven
further south to open up lands which had previously been beyond the
reach of the northern kingdoms.

Routes to southern Sudan

The opening up of routes to southern Sudan gave northern Sudanese who
identified themselves as Arabs the opportunity to plunder natural and
human resources in southern Sudan. The Arabs had always invaded
southern Sudan for slaves and ivory. They were interested in the
potential value of southerners as slaves and nothing else. The Arabs
had no desire to integrate with southerners except for their value as
saleable commodities. Despite the memory of all this the predominantly
Black African southerners supported the independence of Sudan with the
understanding of being treated as equal citizens. This was on the
promise of the predominantly Arabised North that a federal system for
independent Sudan would be considered for adoption. However, the North
only conned the South and after independence was attained it rejected
the federal system altogether. The predominant northern elite in
government instead adopted a policy of Arabisation and Islamisation of
the South to ensure the unity of Sudan. This was arguably the genesis
of North-South conflict which ultimately led to independence of
southern Sudan.

Regions of Sudan in turmoil

On the 9th July 2011 Sudan split up into two independent countries of
South Sudan and Sudan. The split was not without ramification. Sudan
which grudgingly accepted and recognized the independence of South
Sudan had double standard, deceptive and hostility. When southern
Sudan separated Sudan was left with four regions to cope with.
Southern Sudan separated because conditions for unity were
intolerable. Northern and southern Sudan were totally two different
worlds apart for which unity based on hegemonistic agenda would be
untenable. This was precisely what happened when southern Sudan
separated because the northern elite had imposed on southerners their
worldview of what Sudan should have been, that of an Islamic Arab
state with no chance for secularism which might have made unity
attractive. With independence of southern Sudan, the four remaining
regions of Sudan are the northern, central, eastern and western
regions. The four regions of Sudan would have been expected to be at
peace with themselves because the four regions have Islam as a
unifying factor and also for the fact that they subscribe to Arab
culture after having been Arabised for centuries. Peace within the
regions and unity of Sudan would have solid foundation because of the
two shared factors, Islam and Arab culture. However, this is not the
case.

Hegemony of northern region

The hegemony of the northern region over state machinery in Sudan
leaves the other regions marginalized. In response the marginalized
regions are up in arms against the central government dominated by
elite from the northern region. In the western region Darfur and
Kordofan are witnessing fierce battles against the central government.
In the central region war is raging in Southern Blue Nile. The eastern
region is restless because of marginalization by the elite from the
northern region. The agitation by the regions against the central
government of Sudan suggests that something somewhere is not right. We
know that the central government of Sudan is of Islamists and the
regions are predominantly Muslim. There should have been therefore a
common understanding of Islam. However, interpretation of Islam may be
the point of departure where there is no agreement hence the massacre
of fellow Muslims by the Islamist central government as in Darfur in
the western region. The president of Sudan is already charged of
crimes against humanity and genocide in Darfur. When the Islamic
central government of Sudan cannot make concessions for a peaceful
co-existence with fellow Muslims it is difficult to see how the same
regime can promote peaceful co-existence with non Muslims. It is here
that the Islamist regime in Khartoum is more of a liability than an
asset to peaceful co-existence in the region.

Rogue regime in Khartoum

The regime in Khartoum has defied all norms of peaceful co-existence
in the region. When southern Sudan separated to become independent the
regime in Khartoum embarked on a bizarre but expected aggression to
undermine and eventually to destroy the nascent South Sudan. The
regime’s anger was fueled by its greed for the available resources.
Instead of peaceful co-existence where all outstanding issues could
have been resolved on the basis of mutual understanding and advantage
to all, the regime in Khartoum chose confrontation because of the
erroneous belief in the might of the gun and also deluded itself that
its lies would always carry the day. The regime is not interested in
dialogue on North-South boundaries as on 1st January 1956 when Sudan
got its independence from colonial rule. This is simply because most
of the known oil deposits are in the border areas between South Sudan
and Sudan. The regime is calculating that by keeping the borders
undemarcated it will have advantage of exploiting the oil deposits in
South Sudan. It is prepared to go to any length in protecting the flow
of oil hence revenue to economically hard hit Sudan. This is confirmed
by the regime’s unprovoked attacks on South Sudan with the United
Nations and the African Union being impotent to do anything tangible
to deter the regime’s naked aggression. When South Sudan responded to
such unprovoked attacks the United Nations ignorantly accused South
Sudan of aggression and occupation of Sudan’s lands. However, the
United nations is slowly beginning to learn the untrustworthiness of
Sudan.

United Nations embarrassment

It must have been embarrassing to the United Nations secretary general
for advertising his ignorance in public when his special envoy for
Sudan and South Sudan clearly indicated that South Sudan did not
occupy any of Sudan’s land. For example, the brief occupation of
Heglig by South Sudan was not the occupation of Sudan’s land. The
special envoy asserted that Heglig was not given to Sudan by the court
in the Hague. This shows clearly that the United Nations secretary
general could have been taken for a ride with lies by the rogue regime
in Khartoum, but only to blame South Sudan ignorantly. It is evident
that the regime in Khartoum is a rogue regime when its most senior
members including the president of Sudan are wanted by the
International Criminal Court (ICC) at the Hague for crimes committed
against humanity and genocide in Darfur. Now the regime is committing
atrocities and terrorizing people in Southern Kordofan and Southern
Blue Nile again in addition to the people in Abyei and in North-South
border areas with impunity. Such a regime is nothing but a menace in
the region. The regime does not think in terms of peaceful
co-existence for stability in the region but is always
confrontational. However, people would like to settle down to invest
their time and energies in development to improve their living
standards. Nevertheless, what the rogue regime in Khartoum does is to
set people against each other in a grand plan to stay in power at all
cost and to exploit resources in South Sudan. This type of rouge
regime is a threat to regional peace and stability and the sooner
people get rid of it the better.

Military coup pre-empted peaceful co-existence

On Friday 30 June 1989 a group of officers led by one brigadier
general known as Omer Hassan Ahmed El Beshir took power in Sudan
through a military coup, overthrowing the democratically elected
government of Sadiq El Mahdi of the Umma Party. It is interesting to
note that Friday is a rest day in the week in Sudan and also a day of
prayer for Muslims. This means that instead of observing Friday as a
rest day and a day for prayer El Beshir who turned out to be an
Islamist defied the Islamic observation of Friday as a day of prayer.
Instead El Beshir deliberately engaged to hoodwink Muslims in a
clandestine plan for a coup on Friday, the Muslims day of prayer in
the week. The military coup inherited a war that was being fought in
southern Sudan. The democratically elected government of Sadiq was in
the process of concluding peace with the Sudan People’s Liberation
Army (SPLA) fighting the government. However, the timing of El
Beshir’s military coup seemed to have been designed to undermine and
nullify altogether the peace process when negotiations with the SPLA
were in progress. A date was already set for the convening of a
constitutional conference. In fact Sadiq as the prime minister of
Sudan was due to meet with Dr John Garang de Mabior, the commander-in
chief of the SPLA in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on 4 July 1989 when El
Beshir pre-empted the meeting by staging a coup on 30 June. This
clearly demonstrates that the coup and regime that followed was no
good for the region leave alone for the future of Sudan. The military
regime was very harsh and intensified the war in southern Sudan by
openly declaring it a holy war (jihad) against the infidels. It
recruited Islamic militia who were enthusiastic and fanatical in
prosecuting the war in the name of Islam and Arabism for
unquestionable exploitation of the vast resources available in
southern Sudan. The leaders of the regime and their blindfold quest
for Islamic Sharia for the supposed Islamic paradise on earth
backfired disastrously. Southern Sudan broke away and the regions in
what is now left of Sudan are in perpetual turmoil. This is all
because of a rogue regime in Khartoum that has lost all directions to
recovery.

Regime change in Khartoum essential

The regime in Khartoum has become a thorn in the flesh in the region.
It defies all accepted norms for peaceful co-existence. The regime
continues to be aggressive even when told by the United Nations to
stop aggression on neighbouring South Sudan. The regime is creating
humanitarian crisis of enormous proportions in refusing to recognize
the legitimate rights of the people of Darfur, Southern Kordofan,
Southern Blue Nile and Abyei. Those regions have grievances that the
regime in Khartoum is adamant to address through peaceful means but by
the use of brute force. The regime survival seems to be only through
confusion and turmoil. Common sense has it that a quarrel does not
occur out of nothing. Something somewhere must not be right for people
to pick up a quarrel. It is not a matter of who is right or wrong but
rather of what the problem is. This means people have to dialogue in
order to arrive at a consensus in promoting mutual understanding hence
peaceful co-existence. However, the regime in Khartoum believes in the
might of the gun and tyranny. The guns that are to be used to protect
citizens are now turned against the very citizens. Darfur, Southern
Kordofan, Southern Blue Nile and Abyei are in conditions of enormous
humanitarian crisis. Yet the regime is indifferent. There is no way
the dire humanitarian situation will improve when the regime is headed
by people wanted by the ICC and who seem to think they have nothing to
lose in hanging on to power. A regime change in Khartoum is therefore
essential as a great service to the people who have never known
peaceful co-existence in the region. However, how will regime change
come about? Regime change can either be peaceful or violent. A
peaceful regime change can come through the ballot box and a violent
change is either through an uprising (intifada) or a coup. Whatever
means is used a regime change in Khartoum is absolutely essential to
relieve the region of perpetual tyranny. Regime change is not only
limited to the regime in Khartoum. Any regime that is racist or
tribalistic, favouring illiterate or semiliterate next of kin in all
government functions should be changed by preferably through the
ballot box for progress and peaceful co-existence. If people are
serious efficiency cannot be achieved through the rampant employment
in sensitive positions of illiterate, semiliterate or inexperienced
next of kin.

Conclusion

Until the 9th July 2011 Sudan was one united country. Although with
political differences and the centre-periphery gap was wider, people
had managed to live together as citizens of one country. The main
problem was the narrow vision for the country articulated by some
self-centered elite in the northern region of the country. The
self-centered elite wrongly assumed that their vision for the country
would carry the day. In their delusion the elite did not realize what
the impact of such a narrow vision would be on the peripheries in
Sudan. Now there is a repeat of the problem. Darfur, Southern Kordofan
and Southern Blue Nile are struggling as did southern Sudan because of
such a narrow vision that is being repeated again in Sudan. This means
a change of the narrow vision for a wider one for inclusiveness is
essential. This implies a regime that recognizes and respects
diversities. For now the regime in Khartoum is committing the same
mistake of narrow vision of an Islamic Arab state in the sea of
diversities. Such a narrow vision is likely to be discriminatory
against non Muslims and non Arabs of Sudan as it had affected southern
Sudan which then opted to separate from a discriminatory system.

In conclusion, one only needs religious fanatics to destroy a country
and this is precisely what is happening in Sudan and Somalia. For
Sudan the alternative is a regime change and hopefully the religious
fanatics are consigned to the dustbin of history for a peaceful
co-existence in the region.

The author can be reached at [email protected]








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