Sudan among world’s top failed states: report

June 19, 2012 (LONDON) — The Republic of Sudan is the third on the
list of the world’s failed states, after the Democratic Republic of
Congo (DRC) and Somalia respectively, the latest edition of the Failed
States Index (FSI) has revealed.

 Produced by The Fund for Peace (FFP), FSI mainly highlights global
political, economic and social pressures experienced by states and is
widely considered a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal
pressures that all states experience, but also in identifying when
those pressures are pushing a state towards the brink of failure.

Sudan, according to FFP, made very few “improvements” since the advent
of the FSI ranking seven years ago. In that time Sudan has twice
topped the list.

“Indeed, Sudan faces large-scale instability in its political, social,
and economic realms, fed on by widespread ethnic, religious, and
political armed conflicts throughout the country,” the eighth edition
of the report says.

Specifically cited in the report, which will be officially launched in
July, is Sudan’s rapidly declining economy, worsened by South Sudan’s
secession last year. Khartoum is still struggling to cope with the
loss of 75% of it oil revenues, which had been shared under a 2005
peace deal.

“Sudan must now work hard to develop its other struggling sectors,
despite its decrease in GDP [Gross Domestic Product] growth. Violence
and allegations of torture and rape committed by all parties,
moreover, continue to mire the country’s record,” the FFP report says.

“These and other outstanding issues underline Sudan’s great need for a
stronger, more legitimate government willing to protect its people and
enact large-scale reform,” it adds.

SOUTH SUDAN

The Republic of South Sudan, which attained independence less than a
year ago would have been ranked “approximately fourth” behind Sudan,
according to FFP, due to its “fragile” infrastructure, severe poverty,
weak government, fraught relations with Sudan and heavy reliance on
oil revenues.

South Sudan faces some of the worst health and education indicators
worldwide,” the report says, citing widespread violence as having
immensely brought politics the economy, and transportation and public
service to a halt.

“Indeed, South Sudan’s rampant insecurity has forced the government to
spend its resources combating threats instead of promoting overall
growth and development,” it adds.

Despite the separation, active conflict between the neighbouring
states has continued in 2012 along their disputed border.

“South Sudan’s contemporary history as a nation is short and is
focused primarily on its separation from the north. This year, more
than any other, the scores of the two nations are intertwined. Because
the split happened halfway through the year, the consequences and
reactions are reflected clearly. It is important to look at where
there are differences in the scores of the two countries. South Sudan
has inherited many social and political problems from the older
nation,” the report says

Failed States Index

The FSI report, to be officially launched in Washington DC next month,
however, credits the world’s newest nation for having reportedly
scored slightly better in terms of state legitimacy and human rights.

Somalia topped the list of failed states for the fifth consecutive
year, mainly due to “widespread lawlessness, ineffective government,
terrorism, insurgency, crime, and well-publicized pirate attacks
against foreign vessels.

At the other end of the scale, Finland is said to have remained in the
best position, with its Scandinavian neighbours Sweden and Denmark
respectively. The trio reportedly benefit from strong social and
economic indicators, paired with excellent provision of public
services and respect for human rights and the rule of law.

The FSI ranks 178 countries using 12 social, economic, and political
indicators of pressure on the state, along with over 100
sub-indicators. These include such issues as Uneven Development, State
Legitimacy, Group Grievance, and Human Rights.

Each indicator is rated on a scale of 1-10, based on the analysis of
millions of publicly available documents, other quantitative data, and
assessments by analysts. In this case, a high score reportedly
indicates high pressure on the state, and hence a higher risk of
instability.

Krista Hendry, the Executive Director of FFP, said the value of the
FSI is in its application on the ground by governments, media, civil
society and others to consider and work to improve the underlying
conditions of conflict.

“We assess 178 countries because we recognize that all countries have
pressures upon them that need to be managed. The difference between
livelihoods within the countries is largely a product of the capacity
of the state and society,” Hendry says in the report.

The Fund plans to develop a capacity index to test its assumption that
states manage pressures better when they have open societies with
strong state institutions based on the rule of law and democracy, she
adds.

The FSI 2012, which will be formally launched on 13 July in Washington
DC, also highlights the decreased rankings among countries affected by
last year’s Arab Spring, including Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Syria and
Tunisia. Libya’s decline was reportedly the most remarkable.

Kyrgyzstan, on the other hand, is recognised by the report as the most
improved nation, rebounding from a marked fall the previous year that
was precipitated by the mid-2010 revolution that led to significant
political reforms and ultimately a stable transition of power.

Since its inception, the FSI, produced by The Fund for Peace, is
widely considered a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal
pressures that all states experience, but also in identifying when
pressures are pushing a state towards the brink of failure.

(ST)

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