Sudan fuel subsidy not fully lifted until end 2013
Reuters Khartoum, 22/7/2012 – Sudan will not fully remove fuel
subsidies until the end of 2013 since austerity measures worth 7
billion Sudanese pounds ($1.5 billion) are sufficient to turn around
the ailing economy, a senior ruling party official said on Sunday.
The Arab African country is struggling with a worsening economic
crisis after losing much of its oil wealth - the main source for
revenues and dollars needed for imports - when South Sudan became
independent last year.
Last month, President Omar Hassan al-Bashir said Sudan would gradually
lift fuel subsidies and increase customs duties and taxes to bridge a
ballooning finance gap.
The austerity measures have sparked small protests but activists
inspired by an "Arab Spring" trying to end Bashir's 23-year rule have
failed to mobilise the masses of protesters seen in Egypt or Yemen.
Ibrahim Ghandour, a senior leader in Bashir's National Congress Party
(NCP), said the government would keep in place some fuel subsidies
until the end of 2013 to minimise social pressures.
"I don't think the government will go and fully lift subsidies to oil.
That would be a very unwise political and economic decision," Ghandour
said in an interview.
He said the austerity measures would generate savings of 7 billion
pounds, enough to close a financing gap of around 6.5 billion pounds
stated by Finance Minister Ali Mahmoud and due to the loss of oil
revenues.
"The goodies... of those economic arrangements are expected to start
coming out at the end of the year provided that the Bank of Sudan
(central bank) was able to support the pound," he said.
Inflation that rose to 37.2 percent in June -- double the level in
June 2011 -- would ease after the holy Muslim month of Ramadan that
started on Friday, he said. Demand for food usually increases during
Ramadan and tapers off afterwards.
But Ghandour acknowledged that the central bank has been unable to
stop a slide of the pound against the dollar, despite a hefty
devaluation this month.
One dollar currently buys around 6 pounds on the black market, close
to a historic low and well above the devalued official rate of around
between 4.3 and 4.7. The previous official rate was 2.7.
"Until now they managed (to stabilise) to a degree but now the dollar
is coming up in the equivalent (black) market," he said.
"The Bank of Sudan (central bank) cannot in my opinion continue to
support the pound against the dollar. They need new measures," he
said.
To stop the slide Ghandour said the central bank should license more
foreign currency exchange bureaus to attract more dollars from
Sudanese using the black market.
"Why don't we open exchange offices for whoever wishes to sell and
buy?" he said. "There are few very exchange offices."
He ruled out a total liberalisation of the exchange rate, saying this
would be a "disastrous" move.
Ghandour dismissed hopes by the opposition of bringing an "Arab
spring" to Sudan, a country that saw two uprisings ending military
rule since independence in 1956.
"Of more than 5,000 mosques in Khartoum only two protested (after
Friday prayers). That can give you the size of the whole thing," he
said.

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