Sudan and South Sudan make progress
The New York Times, 9/8/2012 – Sudan and South Sudan ended a dangerous
stalemate when they finally reached an agreement on oil pipeline fees
last week. The elements of the deal should be carried out as quickly
as possible given the severe financial stress on both nations.
Tensions came to a head in January when South Sudan shut down oil
production after failing to agree with Sudan on fees for transporting
crude through Sudan’s pipeline. After declaring independence last
year, South Sudan inherited most of the former country’s oil fields.
But the new country is landlocked, and Sudan controls the pipeline
that gets oil to market.
The impasse had a devastating effect. Without oil, South Sudan lost 98
percent of its revenue, and foreign exchange reserves plummeted. Sudan
cut back on gas subsidies, sending prices for goods soaring and
thousands of protesters into the streets.
In April, fighting erupted along the border, reviving fears that the
two sides were again sliding toward war. Their conflict from 1983 to
2005 killed more than two million people. Some 650,000 people have
been displaced in the recent fighting. It was good news that Sudan and
rebels allied with the South finally signed an agreement on Sunday
with the United Nations to allow aid into rebel-held areas.
Pressure from the United Nations, the African Union and Secretary of
State Hillary Rodham Clinton, who visited Juba, the capital of South
Sudan last week, helped push Sudan and South Sudan to reach terms on
the fees.
The final details have not yet been made public, but Jeffrey Gettleman
of The Times reported that South Sudan had agreed to pay Sudan about
$10 per barrel, compared with $1 it offered and the $36 Sudan
initially demanded. South Sudan also agreed to pay about $3 billion to
Sudan in compensation for lost revenues.
There is some concern that Sudanese officials might still hold up the
deal until security issues are worked out. The two countries have so
far failed to delineate their common border, settle the status of the
oil-rich region of Abyei, which straddles the disputed border, and
resolve accusations traded by both sides that the other is supporting
rebels. They are expected to resume negotiations on these issues later
this month. The United Nations Security Council has threatened
sanctions against both nations if insufficient progress is made.
Sooner rather than later, both sides also have to deal with even more
fundamental challenges: improving governance, ending human rights
violations and eradicating corruption. Sudan and South Sudan are
inextricably intertwined. If the two can carry out the fee deal, they
will have a better chance to resolve other critical issues.

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