The African Union Meeting: A test of credibility over Abyei

By Luka Biong Deng

January 19, 2013 - The AU Peace and Security Council will meet in
Addis Ababa on 25th January on the margins of the 21st Ordinary
Session of the Assembly of AU. This meeting will not only be its first
meeting of the year but it will be a meeting at the level of heads of
state and government to discuss the issue of Abyei and border
conflicts between South and South Sudan. This meeting will put the
Council at the crossroad and litmus test of its credibility on the
Roadmap that it adopted in April 2012.

The Peace and Security Council is the standing decision-making organ
of the African Union for the prevention, management and resolution of
conflicts. It is composed of 15 members that reflect regional balance
within Africa. All member states of the AU agreed, in accordance with
Article 7(2) of the adopted Protocol of the Council, to accept and
implement the decisions of the Council. The decisions of the Council
are taken by consensus otherwise by a simple majority on procedural
matters and by a two-thirds majority vote on all other matters.
Interestingly, the Council has the power to recommend, pursuant to
Article 4(h) of the AU Constitutive Act, intervention, on behalf of
the African Union, in a Member State in respect of grave
circumstances, namely war crimes, genocide and crimes against
humanity, as defined in relevant international conventions and
instruments.

The genesis of the involvement of the Council in South Sudan-Sudan
affairs came when the tension between the two countries deteriorated
to the level of war that threatened the peace and stability in the
continent. The Council in its 319th meeting, held at ministerial level
on 24 April 2012, adopted a Roadmap outlining the steps to be taken to
defuse the tension that was then prevailing between the two countries,
facilitate the resumption of negotiations to be concluded within three
months on the outstanding issues and the normalization of their
relations. The UN Security Council, in support to the AU-led efforts,
adopted Resolution No. 2046 on 2nd May 2012, which endorsed the AU
Roadmap. The Government of Sudan and Government of South Sudan both
accepted the AU Roadmap and the UN Security Council Resolution No.
2046.

The Council in its 327th meeting, held at the level of Heads of State
and Government, on 14 July 2012, which, among others, reaffirmed that
the Parties must unconditionally implement all aspects of the Roadmap.
The AU Assembly adopted at its 19th Ordinary Session, held from 15 to
16 July 2012, the AU Roadmap and stressed the need and obligation on
the part of the Parties to fulfill fully and expeditiously their
obligations under the Roadmap, bearing in mind the timelines contained
in the Roadmap.

After the expiration of three months, the Council at its 329th Meeting
held at the level of its permanent representatives on 3rd August 2012
requested the AUHIP to submit to it, by 22 September 2012, a
comprehensive report on the status of the negotiations, including
detailed proposals on all outstanding issues. The meeting also called
to convene, within two weeks following the submission of the AUHIP
report, another meeting at the ministerial level to endorse the AUHIP
detailed proposals on all outstanding issue as a final and binding
solution to the pending issues between the two countries. The Council
will then transmit the endorsed report to the UN Security Council for
consideration and endorsement acting under Chapter VII of the UN
Charter.

On 24th October 2012, the Council in its 339th meeting, held at the
ministerial level, unanimously accepted the proposal submitted on 21st
September 2012 by the AUHIP on the final status of Abyei. The Council
gave six weeks for the two countries to reach consensus on the
proposal otherwise it will endorse this proposal as final and binding
and to be forwarded to the UN Security Council for consideration and
endorsement. On 14th December, the Council decided in its 349th
Meeting to refer the endorsement of the AU Proposal on the final
status of Abyei area to its meeting at the level of the Heads of
State. Besides referring the determination on the issue of final
status of Abyei to its heads of state, the Council reiterated its
acceptance of 21st September AU Proposal on the final status of Abyei
area and called for the summit between Presidents Salva and Bashir to
resolve the pending issues between the two countries.

This account of the lengthy process and decisions taken by the Council
at the levels of permanent representatives, ministers and heads of
state and governments underscores the commitment of the Council to
resolving the final status of Abyei. The process has also involved all
the member States of the AU including Sudan. The summit that was held
between Presidents Salva and Bashir on 5th January failed to resolve
the final status of Abyei and disputed and claimed border areas. In
fact the summit in terms of process, ownership and outcome created
confusion. The report of the outcome of the summit that was signed by
the Ethiopian Prime Minister and President Thabo Mbeki failed to
create consensus about the commitments of the summit.

In particular, the issue of Abyei was badly handled in the summit as
there was no reference to the AUHIP 21st September Proposal on the
final status of Abyei. Paradoxically, the convening of the next summit
to determine the final status of Abyei was made conditional to the
constitution of Abyei administration and agreement between two
countries on a matrix for the implementation of nine (9) agreements
signed in September 2012. In fact Abyei after the summit was made as a
ransom or even a hostage.

President Bashir will use the outcome of the summit not to discuss the
final status of Abyei and subsequently making it difficult for the
Council to endorse the AUHIP Proposal on Abyei. Sudan started again
with high level diplomatic campaign to convince the fifteen (15) heads
of state and government of the Council to contain the issue of Abyei
within the continent and not to be forwarded to the UN Security
Council. After meeting with all members of the Council, the Sudanese
Minister of Foreign Affairs vowed with confidence that the issue of
Abyei will not see light and it will not reach the UN Security
Council.

In fact Sudan is pursuing rather dangerous and futile diplomatic
maneuver that is aimed at creating division and confusion in the
Council as well as casting doubt on the credibility of the Council.
The trajectory of decision making process followed by the Council to
resolve the issue of Abyei shows conscious commitments within its
mandate of preventing conflicts in the continent. The Government of
Sudan has missed the opportunity to contain the issue of Abyei by
allowing it to be discussed by the Council on 24th October 2011 when
the Council initially accepted the AUHIP Proposal on Abyei.

Equally, Sudan did not reject but accepted the AU Roadmap and the UN
Security Council Resolution 2046 that laid out a comprehensive process
of resolving all the pending issues between the two countries. Also
Sudan as a member of the AU has agreed not only to accept the
decisions of the Council but to implement them. The process for
resolving the issue of Abyei has been agreed upon by all members of
the AU including Sudan and the UN Security Council and any attempt to
withhold and to reverse this process is a clear defiance to the
continent and international community.

As the summit between Presidents Salva and Bashir is now scheduled on 24th
January to discuss the final status of Abyei before the meeting of the
Council to be held on 25th January, President Bashir has the last
chance to accept the AU Proposal on Abyei. In case the summit failed
to finalize the issue of Abyei, the heads of state and government of
the Council have moral and institutional obligations to endorse the
AUHIP 21st September 2011 Proposal on Abyei as final and binding.
Failure by the Council to endorse the AU Proposal on the final status
of Abyei will not only tarnish the credibility of the Council but it
will dash the high hopes that the people Abyei attached to the Council
to restore justice and peace in the area.

Luka Biong Deng is a senior member of South Sudan’s ruling Sudan
People Liberation Movement (SPLM) and the Co-Chair of the Abyei Joint
Oversight Committee and a Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School. He can be
contacted at [email protected]. This article is also published
by the New Nation Newspaper - New York, US

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