Prospects for peace in Abyei remain "bleak", says group

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March 3, 2013 (JUBA) – Prospects for a peaceful resolution of the
dispute in Abyei remain “bleak” with international actors failing to
bring the two conflicting parties to a political solution, a
Geneva-based research group has said.


Members of the Abyei Joint Oversight Committee at a meeting (AU)
The Small Arms Survey, in its latest report on the crisis in the
disputed oil-producing region, details how Khartoum rejected an
African Union High Level Implementation Panel (AUHIP) proposal to
resolve the stalemate in Abyei, which South Sudan willingly endorsed.

Abyei was scheduled to have a referendum to determine whether it would
rejoin South Sudan, or remain in Sudan, but that did not take place
due to disagreements over who was eligible to vote. Sudan insisted the
Messiriya seasonal migrants who graze
their cattle in Abyei during the dry season must participate, but
South Sudan says only the Ngok Dinka people be allowed.

The AUHIP, which is currently mediating in negotiations between Sudan
and South Sudan, made a proposal on 21 September for Abyei’s
referendum to finally be held in October 2013. The proposal excludes
migrants from voting.

“Negotiations since then have faltered, despite international
pressure, with the most recent meetings in January between the two
countries ending in a commitment to make future discussions of Abyei’s
political future conditional on the creation of a local administration
in Abyei and a police force,” partly says the March report.

ADMINISTRATIVE WOES

The two countries, according to the report, have also failed to agree
on the formation of a joint administration in the area, with both
parties disagreeing on the composition of the structure to be
established.

At a recent meeting of the Abyei Joint Oversight Committee,
representatives from the two sides failed to reach a compromise, after
Sudan demanded 50% of representation on the Abyei Area Council, 10%
more than its previous share.

This demand, the report noted, led to South Sudan suspending the
nomination process for executive positions in the administration,
while council membership is negotiated at upcoming meetings in Addis
Ababa.

Luka Biong Deng, South Sudan’s co-chair on AJOC, earlier told Sudan
Tribune that the Sudanese government was not committed to the peaceful
resolution of the status of the disputed region, despite South Sudan’s
willingness.

Since May 2011, Abyei has been devoid of a functional administration
after Sudanese forces took control of the area, displacing nearly
105,000 people out of their homes. Some 4,000 Ethiopian-backed United
Nations peacekeeping, forces tasked with ensuring the security of
Abyei, have now deployed in the area.

In recent weeks, however, tension seems imminent in the region, with
South Sudan accusing neighbouring Sudan of building up its troops
along the border regions, including in Abyei.

Philip Aguer, the spokesperson of South Sudan’s army (SPLA), in a
televised statement on state-owned South Sudan TV on Friday, said the
neighbouring country has mobilised its forces and allied militias of
Rezeigat and Mujahideen in a bid to reoccupy Abyei and invade South
Sudan for the last one week.

He further added that Khartoum has also mobilised elements of South
Sudanese who are spearheading the reoccupation of Abyei and invasion
of South Sudan under the command of Lt. Col. Thomas Bior Malual and
Maj. William Deng Dau, respectively.

The SPLA official accused Khartoum of reneging on the security
arrangements for Abyei by reoccupying the area, as well as violating
the September 27, 2012 agreement signed between the two Presidents,
Salva Kiir and Omer el Bashir, in Addis Ababa, which provided for
temporary security arrangements between the two countries.

Also according to the temporary security arrangement between the two
presidents, each army was to redeploy by 10km and leave a buffer zone,
which would be manned by a neutral force.

(ST)

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