---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: John Ashworth <[email protected]>
Date: Thu, Mar 21, 2013 at 5:21 PM
Subject: [sudan-john-ashworth] The Bureaucratisation Of Peace
To: Group <[email protected]>


Those who are uneasy at the increased "bureaucratisation of peace" and
the influence of the ever more technocratic "peace industry" might
want to take a look at a 2005 book by the renowned peace-building
scholar John Paul Lederach, "The Moral Imagination: the art and soul
of building peace" (OUP), and his more recent "When Blood and Bones
Cry Out: Journeys through the Soundscape of Healing and
Reconciliation" (co-authored with Angela Jill Lederach, OUP, 2010).
Both explore stories and metaphor, intuition and serendipity,
relationships and context, art and soul, in peace-building.

Lederach says, “I am uneasy with the growing technique-oriented view
of change in settings of violence that seems to dominate much of
professional conflict resolution approaches”. He speaks of “invoking
the moral imagination... which is not found in perfecting or applying
the techniques or the skills of a process... My feeling is that we
have overemphasized the technical aspects and political content to the
detriment of the art of giving birth to and keeping a process
creatively alive". (The Moral Imagination, pp 52 and 70)

John

BEGIN

Celebrating The Bureaucratisation Of Peace: The Addis Implementation
Matrix – By Aly Verjee

African Arguments
March 20, 2013

March 2013: another Addis negotiating marathon, another document
heralded as the ‘breakthrough’ agreement between Sudan and South
Sudan.  The 68-point implementation matrix (not counting sub-points),
signed on March 12 by Idris Mohamed Abdel Gadar for Sudan and Pagan
Amum for South Sudan, follows the meeting on March 8 of the defence
ministers of both states, who agreed again to withdraw their forces
from the previously defined Safe Demilitarized Border Zone (SDBZ).

Or as South Sudan’s negotiating team put it, with a first sentence
tongue-twister for bored diplomats and journalists covering the next
meeting in Addis: “On March 8, 2013, after months of negotiations, the
Republic of South Sudan and the Republic of Sudan’s Joint Political
and Security Mechanism (JPSM) came to an agreement on the content of a
framework for implementing the commitments made in the bilateral
September 2012 security arrangements agreement. This important
development should result in the creation of a safe demilitarized
buffer zone along the two countries’ shared border. Both sides have
already ordered their armed forces to withdraw to their side of the
buffer zone.”

Point seven of the March 8 document tells of the delays suffered after
the last supposed breakthrough agreement, the cooperation accords of
September 2012.  It subtly ignores that failure of implementation and
just says: “the original D-Day for the implementation plan matrix was
19 December 2012.  The matrix has been reviewed and the JPSM have set
D-Day at 10 March 2013.”

Three months delay could be forgiven if the intentions of the parties
were now honourable.  Unfortunately, there is reason to be sceptical
of that being the case.  Orders by Khartoum and Juba to withdraw their
troops from the border are encouraging, but are just as easily
reversed.  Resuming oil production is welcome, until the next crisis
comes.  We celebrate the matrix, because even modest progress is
better than the alternative.  Our faith is in this new
bureaucratisation of peace: the idea that if only there are or were
enough technical benchmarks, processes, committees, mechanisms and
modalities, on paper and on the ground, all that underlying emotional
antipathy and mistrust and suspicion could be controlled if not
eradicated entirely.

Turning on the oil taps averts economic annihilation for both sides.
But having initially shut down production in a bold attempt to show
Khartoum that seizures of oil cargoes would not be tolerated, Juba has
no guarantee of future good behaviour.  That, for example, there will
be an end to aerial bombardment by the Sudanese Armed Forces on South
Sudan’s territory; that Khartoum will lose interest in the various
rebel militias of Jonglei; that Khartoum’s share of oil revenue isn’t
used to finance future military action against South Sudan.  For its
part, Khartoum hasn’t ensured that South Sudan will really expel the
SPLM-N officials who frequent Juba, cut off access to South Kordofan
from Unity State, or stop exploring alternatives to the Port Sudan
pipeline through Kenya and/or Ethiopia.

Plenty of official allegations of bad behaviour have been made by both
sides.   For the most part these fall to the JPSM to address.  In
almost every case, the security modalities document says one of the
following: “refer to Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mission
(JBVMM) for investigation,” “refer to Ad-hoc Committee for
investigation,” or, “on receipt of evidential detail it is recommended
JPSM form Committee…to determine veracity of the concern/complaint.”
In the unlikely event a thorough investigation is conducted, neither
side is likely to be satisfied with the findings: each side believes
it is the victim of the other.

With no end in sight to the war in the Nuba Mountains, South Kordofan
makes a guest appearance in discussion of border arrangements.  More
than a year and a half after UNMIS left South Kordofan, and a decade
after the successes of the Joint Military Commission (JMC),
international monitoring returns to Kordofan: the JBVMM will move from
Assosa, Ethiopia, to Kadugli, the capital of Sudan’s presently most
troubled state.

As the meeting minutes state: “Kadugli was accepted as a suitable
temporary JBVMM HQ before moving to final location in Abyei.  There
was acceptance that there would be no move of the JBVMM HQ to Abyei
until the Temporary Arrangements were implemented and accommodation
provided by UN.”

The JBVMM borrows the successful joint monitoring team concept from
the JMC.  Teams made up of SAF, SPLA, and police and NISS personnel
from both sides are joined by international monitors to investigate
agreement violations, report on security in the border zone, arbitrate
local disputes and report unlawfully held weapons.  But whereas in
2002 the JMC monitored violations of a genuine ceasefire in South
Kordofan while the war continued in southern Sudan, today’s JBVMM
deals with the inverse: international border management between two
states legally at peace while civil war continues in the Nuba
Mountains, a few towns away.

In the aspirational matrix, where three of the 68 points are marked
‘complete’, and work on most other issues is yet to start, there are
the usual bugbears:

“1.4 Obligation: Determination of the final status of Abyei and
consideration of formation of the Abyei Referendum Commission (Art
4.2).  Timing: Date to be agreed.  Responsible: The Presidents.”

“5.4.3. Obligation: Completion of non-binding opinion of the AU Team
of Experts (AUTE) on the status of the 5 Disputed Areas.  Timing:
5.4.1 [D-Day + 66] + 60 [translation: 126 days from March 10, or July
14].  Responsible: AUTE.  Remarks: Parties have commenced cooperation
with the Experts in line with draft Terms of Reference for the AUTE.
Timeline subject to change by Parties pursuant 5.4.2.”

Indeed, nothing sums it up better: ‘responsible: the Presidents’, and
‘subject to change’.  The end of matrix modifications has not yet
arrived.  But spreadsheets are better than embargoes and air strikes.
One hopes the need for urgent breakthroughs does not return too soon.

Aly Verjee is senior researcher at the Rift Valley Institute.

http://africanarguments.org/2013/03/20/celebrating-the-bureaucratisation-of-peace-the-addis-implementation-matrix-by-aly-verjee/

END
______________________
John Ashworth

Sudan, South Sudan Advisor

[email protected]

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This is a personal e-mail address and the contents do not necessarily
reflect the views of any organisation

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