Security implications for elections in Lakes state

By Sunday Manyang Agok

I am writing in response to South Sudan Human Right Society for
Advocacy petition to President Salva Kiir Mayardit calling for
formation of Lakes state High Election Committee and for an election
of governor in Lakes State as published in Citizen Newspaper Thursday,
March 14, 2013 vol.7. Issue No.404. While I partially agree with their
petition and treat it with utmost faith and respect, I also hold an
opinion to give a chance to the current stringent policies for the
restoration of peace and stability in the state.

The security situation in Lakes State earlier this year called for an
appointment of a Caretaker Governor for Lakes State that would restore
peace and prepare the state for election of a new governor to finish
the term of service for the deposed elected governor as indicated in
the Transitional Constitution of the Republic of South Sudan. The
decree for the removal and appoint of Governor and Caretaker Governor
respectively was applauded with approval in the state and was seen as
salvage to the rampant insecurity that also reached State Headquarters
of the government. The nature of the conflict in Lakes state is not
ordinary one, it involves armed conflict whose effects may threaten
national security of this country. It warrants bold decision of the
like President took.

The mandate the President gave to Gen. Matur Chut Dhuol made him
confident and determined to contain the insecurity. He took a unique
approach to consult with people of Lakes State citizens in Juba and
indeed he toured eight counties of Lakes State on how the security
situation could be contained. The consultation informed the programmes
Caretaker Governor intend to undertake to overcome the endemic
insecurity caused by the Cattle raids, revenge attacks, unresolved
disputes over water points and cattle camps, wide prevalence of AK47
in hands of civilians, etc.
 The wisdom expressed in the petition by the South Sudan Human Right
Society for Advocacy reflects a mature appeal for respect of
constitution and the rule of law.

However, the situation and conditions in Lakes state are still fragile
and need patience to realize peace and stability before elections are
conducted. The current programmes for arresting culprits and outlaws
need to be implemented and the gains consolidated by Gen. Matur to
prepare grounds that will pave the way for smooth democratic
transition for the people of Lakes state to legitimate rule of their
duly elected governor of their choices.

The social structure is psychologically traumatized to believe that
revenge killing is the best weapon to inflict on opponent. Personal
trauma experiences are as well horrific to tell in most part of the
state. It would be good to create social safety net programs that
include psychological counseling on how to make peace and live with it
throughout. The communities in the state are more worried about their
basic survival and safety than following the constitution. It seems
the situation in the state turned catastrophic as there was little
legal solution. Perhaps this is due to prevalence of weak or
traditional coordinated policies and their implementation. The poor
coordination between warning systems and the preventative measures for
the conflict essential for monitoring conflicts and responses were
also pertinent to poor containment of the conflict.

I would propose that the constitution be put aside for some time and
Caretaker Governor be given public support to quell the insecurity
till pocket of residence conform to law and order and the state to be
set at governable state. A quick request for observing and
implementing constitutional requirement in Lakes state will frustrate
the achievement of peace and stability because many people in Lakes
State perceive injustice and lack of transparency in the way their
conflict are resolved. Mistrust is bred and ripened in these
communities and there is a need for a coordinated effort to restore
the people’s confidence in their state government’s ability to resolve
conflicts. Some people have at some point implied that virtually
everybody involved in the conflict would see himself as a victim and
take the law into his/her hands that have resulted into outrageous and
unwanted insecurity that deposed former elected Governor.

Yes I would agree with popular statement that democracy and political
stability are closely associated with maintaining peace and preventing
the eruption of violent conflict. It is also important to denote that
success in preventing conflict requires an understanding of the root
causes of war, local capacities and interests, and the magnitude and
type of provisions made by the national government seems to address
them. I would prefer as my opinion that Gen. Matur should be given
more time to create stable and conducive environment so that future
conflicts are prevented and the next governor does not face other
major insecurity problem and sectional upheaval of the kind and
condition that forced the President to remove the Governor of Lakes
State.

The civil society that includes South Sudan Human Right Group should
continue to engage in advocacy for peace and reconciliation in the
state. Huge investment of building peace, promoting culture of peace,
conflict prevention and strengthening local capacities for maintaining
sustainable peace and prosperity for the people of Lakes state should
top priority of the lobbying groups. ?If elections are conducted as
required by the constitution, it will make it hard for security and
peaceful stability to be realized given the complexities involved in
the current affairs of Lakes state problems.

The Caretaker Governor has shown great potential to handle insecurity
in Lakes state and I think he needs more time than what has been
indicated in the constitution otherwise conducting election now will
exacerbate the insecurity and make the state ungovernable that may
destabilize Republic of South Sudan. Implementation of the
constitutional requirement now I am afraid may be identical to
ignorant of the current fragile realities of peace and stability in
Lakes State.

Sunday Manyang Agok can be reached [email protected] or on twitter
at @newestnation. His South Sudan mobile is 0956228850.

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