IMF upgrades GDP growth forecast for Sudan in 2013

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April 16, 2013 (WASHINGTON) – The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on
Tuesday raised its projections for Sudan’s economic growth in 2013 and
adjusted 2012 figures upward as well.

In this handout provided by the IMF, International Monetary Fund
Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department, Olivier
Blanchard answers a question during a joint press conference on the
World Economic Outlook April 16, 2013 at the IMF Headquarters in
Washington, DC

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) released today by the IMF also showed
Sudan’s economy shrinking by -4.4% last year compared to a previous
estimate of -11.1%.

In 2013, Sudan is expected to achieve a 1.2% growth which is higher
than the -0.6% projected by the IMF last year. Next year’s GDP is also
forecasted to stand at 2.6% which is slightly better than the 2.1%
predicted in the IMF last assessment of Sudan’s economy.

It is unlikely that the report factored in last month’s agreement to
between Khartoum and Juba to resume oil exports which were suspended
more than a year ago taking a heavy toll on both countries’ economies.

“In Sudan, despite a significant pickup in agricultural activity,
continued military skirmishes with neighboring South Sudan and the
post secession loss of oil production and exports led to a large
decline in output in 2012” the WEO report said.

The oil shutdown has worsened economic crises in both countries as
they depend heavily on crude exports for state revenues and use the
foreign currency to import food and fuel.

Landlocked South Sudan accused Khartoum of seizing part of its oil
flowing through its pipelines. Sudan acknowledged the move but said
that it is doing so to pay for unpaid transit fees.

Sudan was negatively impacted by the oil suspension because transit
fees are a major source of dollars after the country lost
three-quarters of oil production when the South seceded. It was forced
to adopt austerity measures to boost revenues and cut spending.

Khartoum also moved to effectively devalue the currency which came
under enormous pressures as a result of a big shortage in foreign
currencies.

South Sudan previously produced 350,000 barrels a day (bpd) but will
resume output of between 150,000 bpd and 200,000 barrels bpd
initially.

(ST)

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