Why SPLA cannot defeat South Sudan rebels

By Steve Paterno

May 9, 2013 - It is a common phenomenon in South Sudan that those who
are disgruntled with the government in one way or another tend to find
refuge in form of rebellion. The aim for such rebellion is often to
usurp power and blackmail the government in order to gain concession
and obtain higher position within the same government. In other words,
the aim of these rebels is to cause destruction so as to be recognized
and then be rewarded with positions that they could not have otherwise
get under normal circumstant, where competence is put into test. Since
South Sudan obtained its autonomy, several of those militancy sprung
up under sponsorship of Khartoum government, South Sudan major foe.
Even though South Sudan government manages to neutralize key elements
among some of these treasonous individuals and bringing some back into
the fold, the cycle of rebellion in South Sudanese seems to be an
endless affair.

The most current active group of militias is the one led by an obscure
former theology student David Yau Yau. David Yau Yau gained notoriety
after 2010 general elections. After failing a bid to win a political
post, he declared rebellion. Ever since, Yau Yau has been causing
havoc in and around Pibor areas. Although Yau Yau for a moment was
able to negotiate with the government, earning himself handsomely a
rank of a major general in SPLA. He ewas only to rebel once again
after a brief spell as a professional high ranking military officer.

Of recent, Yau Yau seems to be gaining an upper hand against the SPLA,
even more so than ever before. Just as the SPLA announced military
offensive to rid him once and for all, he proves otherwise. He has
been conducting successful ambushes against the SPLA, at times
inflicting heavy casualties and damages. He expanded his sphere of
operation, overrunning strategic wildlife reserve town of Boma. With
momentum of victory on his side, now he is threatening to further
spread in Eastern Equatoria town of Kapeota, yet another strategic
location, linking Kenya and South Sudan. In a public statement, the
SPLA spokesperson Philip Aguer reluctantly acknowledges that Yau Yau
forces occupy almost 90 percent of Pibor county. Yau Yau forces are
operating in a chaotic state, awash with weapons and characterized by
a long history of ethnic conflicts, where the government is incapable
of exerting authority or exercise control. The statement in the media
by governor Koul Manyang Juuk seems to confirm that Jonglei state or
South Sudan for that matter is indeed has no authority over its
citizens or territory. For example, there are reports of widespread
mistreatment of civilians in Bor town by soldiers believed to have
either deserted from a frontline or defeated by Yau Yau, but yet (the
battle hardened and once known for his disciplinary demeanour as a
commander), governor Kuol Manyang Juuk has no answers as to why this
is the case.

The reports of desertion among SPLA soldiers from the frontline,
fighting Yau Yau is just one of the many worries that plug South South
military and hamper the efforts to provide security for country. SPLA
which is in dire need of transformation into professionalism is yet
being staffed by non other than ragtag former militia outfits such as
those of Yau Yau and the likes. In the process, this erodes moral and
institute lack of discipline.

Up to now SPLA receives the largest junk of the country’s budget; 40
percent of the overall budget. However, in a country infamous for
corruption, the top military brass are among those officials mostly
accused and cited for corrupt activities. There are reports of
soldiers not receiving their salaries for months on end. Food
provision is lacking, leading some soldiers to resort on looting.
Overall logistic is a nightmare. The situation is worsen with the
instituted austerity measures.

Even though the threats of Yau Yau rebellion is limited in scope, its
effects cannot simply be ignored. This will require the SPLA to
institute discipline, exercise judicious management and introduce
proper operational doctrines. It will also require a political will
from leadership to create conducive atmosphere that is accommodative
and discourages rebellion. Otherwise, South Sudan will discern into
much more chaos. South Sudan should not be allowed as a fiefdom of
warlords.

Steve Paterno is the author of The Rev. Fr. Saturnino Lohure, A Romain
Catholic Priest Turned Rebel. He can be reached at
[email protected]

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