Five observations from this year’s Mo Ibrahim Governance report that didn’t
make the headlines – By Richard Dowden
Posted on November 28,
2013<http://africanarguments.org/2013/11/28/five-observations-from-this-years-mo-ibrahim-governance-report-that-didnt-make-the-headlines-by-richard-dowden/>by
AfricanArgumentsEditor<http://africanarguments.org/author/africanargumentseditor/>

[image: 
dowden9]<http://africanarguments.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/dowden9.jpg>If
I don’t read it as soon as I have torn open the envelope, the Mo Ibrahim
Foundation’s annual report on governance in Africa usually goes to the top
of the pile. This year, I set aside the eve of Mo Ibrahim’s annual
conference to take a look, having forgotten that he had organised an
enormous party the night before. It was held in Addis Ababa, and he brought
over a Congolese football team to play the local Addis side in the national
stadium. The match was followed by a concert with Beninoise singer
Angélique Kidjo, Senegalese musician Youssou Ndour, and Ethiopian singer
Jah Lude. The stadium rocked all evening and the party went on late into
the night. It’s not easy to settle down and read the latest ratings on
sustainable economic development after that. I have only just got round to
studying the report closely. You can look at it here:
http://www.moibrahimfoundation.org/interact/

Forgive me if you have already spotted these observations, but since the
‘Africa rising’ story seems to be sweeping all before it; I thought it
important to draw attention to a different narrative that emerges from the
Index.

No one disputes that African economies are growing, and some African
countries are producing greater wealth. But does this mean Africa is
soaring away and wiping out the poverty that has dogged it for so long? Are
the fruits of the recent boom in Africa’s commodities and a rise in the
spending power of the middle classes creating a self-sustaining Africa?  Is
the wealth being invested in good infrastructure, health and education; or
is it going to waste on vanity projects? Or is it simply stolen and
exported by the small elites who own and run Africa? How governments use
this new wealth is crucial to development.

Here are five insights from the Index that may not have made the headlines:

   1. Compare 2012 to 2011. Out of the 52 countries (Mo Ibrahim’s
   foundation does not currently report on his own country, Sudan, North or
   South) just over half, 28 to be exact, were better governed than last year,
   meaning that 24 scored lower than the previous year. As the resource boom
   begins to level off, it is essential that governments spend this money well
   to create a dynamic future.  In almost half the countries that doesn’t seem
   to be happening.
   2. Countries where presidents have become dictators and ruled for more
   than a dozen years are overwhelmingly in the bottom half of all the
   indices, which include Safety & Rule of Law, Participation & Human Rights,
   Sustainable Economic Opportunity, and Human Development. The only
   exceptions are Uganda and Rwanda, but in the case of the former,
   development may be happening in spite of the government rather than because
   of it, and in the latter, deep political problems remain unaddressed.
   3. Resource rich countries are all in the bottom half of the table with
   the usual exception of Botswana. Does this mean that having oil or copper
   or diamonds under the ground ensures that the country will be badly run? It
   certainly confirms the resource curse theory.
   4. Islands are much safer than mainland countries and tend to be better
   run. In the personal safety rankings, Mauritius, São Tomé and Príncipe,
   Seychelles, the Comoros and Cape Verde take the top places. The only
   mainland country to make it into the top six is Botswana.
   5. Two countries, Eritrea and Somalia, are reported to be worse off than
   they were in 2000 when the Index was first produced. All the rest have made
   some progress. Some, like Liberia, have doubled their score in recent
   years, while others like Nigeria and South Africa have only improved in by
   a meagre one percentage point. Nigeria and South Africa’s lack of progress
   is especially disappointing given that these two are the giant leaders of
   Africa. The third giant in sub-Saharan Africa, the Democratic Republic of
   the Congo, is second from bottom and has hardly improved at all in the past
   five years.

I also feel sorry for Somalia, which ranks lowest in all the governance
tables, although perhaps that is because no government means no official
figures. Parts of Somalia – Somaliland and Puntland, for example – are
developing democracies, peaceful and relatively well run.  But because the
Index deals only with recognised nation states, Somalia’s figures are not
accepted.

In theory, governance – once a constitution is in place – starts with
elections. Let the people decide. But in Africa that great line from
Barbara Kingsolver’s novel, *The Poisonwood Bible*, sums it up: “To the
Congolese it seems odd that if one man gets fifty votes and the second
forty-nine, the first one wins altogether and the second one plumb loses.
That means almost half the people will be unhappy… and in a village that’s
left halfway unhappy you haven’t heard the end of it. There is sure to be
trouble somewhere down the line.”

This is especially the case in countries that are divided by ethnicity.
Ethnic identity is deeper and stronger than national identity in many
countries. In most, ethnic support in elections means the winner must
reward that support by spending money in the region. Elections become a
simple numbers game, a competition between ethnic-based parties. The winner
takes all, leaving great swathes of Africa unrepresented and often ignored
by governments.

When did anyone in Africa sit down, read all the party manifestoes and
decide who to vote for on the basis of their national policies? To be fair,
not many people do that anywhere in the world, but at least elsewhere
voters and journalists note the promises their politicians make and make an
effort to hold them accountable when they are in power.  There has to be a
new way of accepting and celebrating ethnic identity and interests in
African political systems while ensuring that all citizens and regions are
treated equally.

The Index is a great way of enabling citizens to hold their governments to
account. What I would like to see is a compilation of responses by African
rulers to the Index every year.

*Richard Dowden is Director of the Royal African Society and author of
Africa: Altered States, Ordinary Miracles published by Portobello Books.*

*Follow him on twitter @DowdenAfrica*

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