Daily Beast Op-ed: George Clooney: How to Stop An Inferno in South Sudan
Posted by Enough Team <http://enoughproject.org/blogs/enough-team> on Dec
20, 2013


*Editor's Note: This op-ed, written by George Clooney, co-founder of Not On
Our Watch, and John Prendergast, co-founder of the Enough Project, together
head the Satellite Sentinel Project, originally appeared on the Daily Beast
<http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/12/20/preventing-south-sudan-s-inferno.html>.*

The world’s youngest country, a mere two and a half years old, now stands
on the precipice of a new civil war which threatens to hurl South Sudan
back into the violence from which it just emerged. For the South Sudanese
who fought and suffered so dearly for their independence, and for those
around the world who supported the new state, this development is tragic
and disappointing, but it is hardly surprising or without vast precedent.

Most African countries that emerged from colonial rule or long periods of
dictatorship have experienced rocky transitions marked by violence and
coups. Sudan itself, from which South Sudan split in 2011, was born into a
civil war and has been rocked by three major coups since independence in
1956. Similar stories have plagued the neighboring states of Uganda,
Eritrea, Ethiopia, Chad, and Congo. South Sudan’s own fledgling state has
been rendered vulnerable by a major rift in the country’s political
leadership, where past unresolved grievances were left to fester.

That there were going to be problems and even eruptions in the early years
of this new republic was widely predicted. What is much more unpredictable,
however, is how South Sudan’s leaders react to this, the biggest crisis
their new country has yet faced. How they respond will dictate South
Sudan’s fate for years to come, and decide whether it has a future more
like prosperous Botswana or bloody Somalia.

The worst-case scenario is rapidly unfolding: political and personal
disputes are escalating into an all-out civil war in which certain ethnic
groups are increasingly targeted by the others’ forces and the rebels take
over the oilfields. There is a real opportunity here for South Sudanese
leaders and the broader international community to respond in ways that
could prevent the country from plunging into chaos and protracted conflict.
Two and a half million South Sudanese died for the creation of this new
state. With robust international action and statesmanship by South Sudan’s
leaders, millions more deaths can be prevented.

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/12/20/preventing-south-sudan-s-inferno.html>
George Clooney on How to Stop An Inferno in South Sudan
By George Clooney
<http://www.thedailybeast.com/contributors/george-clooney.html>John
Prendergast
<http://www.thedailybeast.com/contributors/john-prendergast.html>
December 20th 20135:45 am

After suffering so long for independence, South Sudan faces a new civil
war. What the country’s leaders and the international community can do to
contain the crisis.

The world’s youngest country, a mere two and a half years old, now stands
on the precipice of a new civil war which threatens to hurl South Sudan
back into the violence from which it just emerged. For the South Sudanese
who fought and suffered so dearly for their independence, and for those
around the world who supported the new state, this development is tragic
and disappointing, but it is hardly surprising or without vast precedent.

Most African countries that emerged from colonial rule or long periods of
dictatorship have experienced rocky transitions marked by violence and
coups. Sudan itself, from which South Sudan split in 2011, was born into a
civil war and has been rocked by three major coups since independence in
1956. Similar stories have plagued the neighboring states of Uganda,
Eritrea, Ethiopia, Chad, and Congo. South Sudan’s own fledgling state has
been rendered vulnerable by a major rift in the country’s political
leadership, where past unresolved grievances were left to fester.

When politicians use ethnic mobilization to promote their agendas, violence
can metastasize quickly. The potential for explosion in South Sudan is even
worse because of the billions of petro-dollars that have poured into the
country, much of which were used to purchase sophisticated weaponry.

That there were going to be problems and even eruptions in the early years
of this new republic was widely predicted. What is much more unpredictable,
however, is how South Sudan’s leaders react to this, the biggest crisis
their new country has yet faced. How they respond will dictate South
Sudan’s fate for years to come, and decide whether it has a future more
like prosperous Botswana or bloody Somalia.

What is much more unpredictable, however, is how South Sudan’s leaders
react to this, the biggest crisis their new country has yet faced.

The worst-case scenario is rapidly unfolding: political and personal
disputes are escalating into an all-out civil war in which certain ethnic
groups are increasingly targeted by the others’ forces and the rebels take
over the oilfields. This will inevitably bring opportunistic leaders from
neighboring Sudan into the fray, as Khartoum’s government has long
exploited divisions within South Sudan and provided support to various
armed groups to sow further division and destruction. Certainly the Sudan
regime might see the instability in the oilfields as an opportunity to
aggressively move into bordering regions, take possession of some of the
southern oil areas, and keep the oil flowing northward.

There is a real opportunity here for South Sudanese leaders and the broader
international community to respond in ways that could prevent the country
from plunging into chaos and protracted conflict.

President Salva Kiir has an opportunity to demonstrate leadership by
following up on his offer of dialogue with his opponents, releasing
political prisoners, appealing for calm through television and radio, and
pressing those troops that remain loyal to not commit human rights abuses.
Should the president indicate a willingness to openly discuss the deep
political grievances that are driving the violence, and do so inclusively,
that would send a strong signal that peace is possible. The leading rebel,
former Vice President Riek Machar, must stop inflaming the situation by
calling for the ouster of the current government and indicate his
willingness to negotiate with President Kiir and work within the rule of
law for the restoration of an inclusive government and elections in 2015.

The United Nations could play the most critical role in containing the
crisis in South Sudan. There is much international hand-wringing and regret
that not much can be done when violence is so quickly escalating. But
recent examples in Congo and Ivory Coast demonstrate that when a UN force
on the ground is buttressed with a more robust mandate and greater
international support, very positive outcomes are possible. And the recent
international mobilization to respond to the conflict in the Central
African Republic shows that when political will is generated, military
assets can be deployed quickly in defense of civilians.

Given those models, the UN Security Council can save countless lives by
sharpening the civilian protection mandate of the UN force already on the
ground, giving it additional resources to do the job, and instructing it to
create safe havens in which vulnerable populations can take shelter. The UN
mission could also be supported by New York headquarters to be more
proactive in ensuring humanitarian aid reaches the neediest, thus
preventing the health and nutritional crises that in the past made South
Sudan one of the deadliest conflict zones globally since World War II. The
Security Council could also authorize a group of experts to begin
collecting evidence of war crimes for possible future referral to the
International Criminal Court.

Finally, the United States should immediately deploy its Special Envoy for
the Sudans, Donald Booth, and a team of diplomats who can deliver strong
messages to key leaders and to the broader South Sudanese public, as well
as support mediation efforts led by neighboring African states as well as
South Sudanese church leaders.

Two and a half million South Sudanese died for the creation of this new
state. With robust international action and statesmanship by South Sudan’s
leaders, millions more deaths can be prevented.

*George Clooney, a co-founder of Not On Our Watch, and John Prendergast, a
co-founder of the Enough Project (**enoughproject.org
<http://enoughproject.org>**), together founded and run the Satellite
Sentinel Project (**satsentinel.org <http://satsentinel.org>**), an
initiative focused on preventing mass atrocities.*

.
<http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/12/20/preventing-south-sudan-s-inferno.html>

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