Uganda Says Region Ready To Take On, Defeat South Sudan Rebel Leader
Uganda's president said on Monday east African nations had agreed to
move in to defeat South Sudanese rebel leader Riek Machar if he
rejected a ceasefire offer, threatening to turn an outburst of ethnic
fighting into a regional conflict.
30 December 2013

JUBA, (Reuters) - Hours after President Yoweri Museveni's ultimatum,
rebels and the feared "White Army" militia clashed against government
troops just outside Jonglei state capital Bor, officials said.

They said the government side was braced for a "full scale" attack on
the town, seized by rebels for several days earlier this month and the
site of an ethnic massacre in 1991. Thousands of civilians had fled
for the surrounding swamps.

Two weeks of clashes have already killed at least 1,000 people in the
world's newest nation, unnerved oil markets and raised fears of a
civil war in a region ravaged by fighting in Central African Republic
and Democratic Republic of Congo.

"We gave Riek Machar four days to respond (to the ceasefire offer) and
if he doesn't we shall have to go for him, all of us," Museveni told
reporters in South Sudan's capital, Juba, referring to a December 31
deadline.

Asked what that meant, Museveni said: "to defeat him".

He did not spell out whether South Sudan's neighbors had actually
agreed to send troops to join the conflict that erupted in Juba on
December 15.

But his words underlined the scale of regional concern over the
fighting that has spread to South Sudan's oil-producing states - often
along ethnic lines, between Machar's group, the Nuer, and President
Salva Kiir's Dinka.

Past conflicts in South Sudan have sent refugees pouring over its
borders, and spurred on rebels in neighboring countries, including the
Lord's Resistance Army in Uganda.

There was no immediate confirmation of the pact to take on Machar from
other East African countries, who have been trying to mediate and last
week gave the sides until December 31 to lay down their weapons.

Kenya's presidential spokesman, Manoah Esipisu, said it would be
inappropriate to comment until the deadline has passed. Machar himself
did not respond to calls.

Information Minister Michael Makuei said the rebels want to take Bor
ahead of the deadline so Machar "can talk from a position of strength"
once peace talks start.

"This is why he has been intransigent," Makuei said.

FIGHTING DISPLACES 180,000

The United Nations, Washington, and other Western countries who poured
hundreds of millions of dollars of aid into South Sudan since it won
its independence from Sudan in 2011, have also scrambled to stem the
unrest.

Fighting has displaced at least 180,000 people, including 75,000
seeking refuge inside U.N. bases across the country, according to U.N.
figures.

Falling global oil prices were on Monday kept in check by fears there
could be further cuts to output in South Sudan, which BP says holds
the third-largest oil reserves in sub-Saharan Africa after Angola and
Nigeria.

South Sudan's oil production has fallen by nearly a fifth to 200,000
barrels per day after oilfields in Unity state were shut last week due
to the fighting.

Control Risks analyst Paul Gabriel said Museveni's words were probably
aimed at pressing Machar to join talks, rather than a threat of
imminent intervention.

There was currently little regional appetite to get involved in the
fighting, though "that might change quickly if there is a situation
where Juba or President Kiir is threatened," Gabriel added.

Kiir sacked his longtime political rival Machar in July, then accused
him of starting the December fighting to try to seize power.

Machar denied that charge, but has since retreated into the bush and
acknowledged he is leading rebel fighters. He has responded coolly to
the ceasefire offer and the army, the SPLA (Sudan People's Liberation
Army) has said it has continued to fight his soldiers.

"WHITE ARMY" THREAT

"The SPLA forces in Bor town are on maximum alert," SPLA spokesman
Philip Aguer said on Monday night after skirmishes with the Nuer
"White Army" militia just outside the town.

The White Army - made up of Nuer youths who dust their bodies in white
ash - has in the past sided with Machar.

But a spokesman for the government of South Sudan's Unity state, now
controlled by forces loyal to Machar, on Sunday denied Machar was in
control of the White Army fighters, raising the prospect that the
violence was spreading beyond the control of widely-recognized ethnic
leaders.

Thousands of civilians have fled from Bor over the past few days,
crossing the White Nile river and heading for the swamps, Makuei told
Reuters. Nuer militias massacred Dinkas in Bor during an outburst of
ethnic fighting in 1991.

"They (the White Army) have attacked the village of Mathiang (18 miles
from Bor), killing civilians and burning civilian houses down. They
are butchering civilians," said Bor's mayor, Nhial Majak Nhial, from
the town, 190 km (120 miles) north of Juba by road.

Nhial said he was urging civilians to escape Bor, the capital of
Jonglei state, as the White Army militia neared.

The reports of clashes and advances came from remote areas largely
inaccessible to journalists and it was not possible to verify them
independently.

Tribal elders over the weekend persuaded many of the Nuer youths
advancing on Bor to abandon their march, but officials said about
5,000 refused to turn back.


Posted in: Home, Foreign Relations, Governance, Foreign Aid/Assistance

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