Silence on UPDF troops in South Sudan may signal support
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Diplomats say Uganda's military deployment is key in buying time for other
regional and international players to organise their own intervention. TEA
Graphic  Nation Media Group
By GAAKI KIGAMBO The EastAfrican

Posted  Saturday, February 1  2014 at  19:02

IN SUMMARY

   - According to diplomatic sources, one aspect that Western powers are
   grateful for is that Uganda People's Defence Force's intervention has
   bought the international community and regional players the time to
   organise their own intervention.
   - A lawyer who has worked at the International Criminal Court says while
   Uganda may be in South Sudan on the invitation of the government there, it
   will still have to answer for any human-rights violations that may be laid
   at its door.
   - UPDF soldiers were credited with holding back Dr Machar's forces and
   thus forcing him to the negotiating table. His insistence that Uganda
   should withdraw its soldiers for substantive talks to proceed lends
   credence to this view.


Western countries' silence on Uganda's decision to send troops into South
Sudan is being interpreted as tacit endorsement of the intervention.

"It is difficult for me to explain why Western powers are not coming out to
support us openly, but privately they are telling us they are grateful for
the role we are playing. While they have not supported us publicly, it is
significant that they have not come out to condemn us publicly either,
which could be interpreted to mean that they support what we are doing in
South Sudan," a senior figure in the Ugandan Cabinet told*The EastAfrican*.

According to diplomatic sources, one aspect that Western powers are
grateful for is that Uganda People's Defence Force's intervention has
bought the international community and regional players the time to
organise their own intervention.

By moving in, the UPDF has created conditions that have not only controlled
the slaughter that characterised the early days of the meltdown but also
allowed humanitarian work to continue.

More than a month after the flare-up, the UN is still trying to raise its
presence to 5,500 troops. The Inter Governmental Authority on Development
(Igad), has approved a force of 5,600 troops but it will be a while before
it gets countries willing to contribute.

For instance, Kenya, which has extensive economic interests in South Sudan,
has already said it will not be contributing troops -- a telling sign of
what little appetite exists among countries to dabble in the internal
conflicts of others.

READ: Kenya 'will not' send troops to South Sudan despite UN
request<http://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/news/Kenya-not-sending-troops-to-South-Sudan-despite-UN-request/-/2558/2157130/-/bl2t1uz/-/index.html>

This, however, has not tempered debate, both at home and the region, as to
the wisdom, and consequences, of President Yoweri Museveni's latest
military adventure. Uganda already has soldiers in Somalia and the troubled
Central African Republic.

A scrutiny of the mission will be undertaken when parliament returns in the
middle of February to debate a supplementary budget to finance it.

The Defence Ministry's request will be tabled at a time when it will start
becoming clearer how long the UPDF may have to remain in Africa's newest
nation, where over 1,000 people have been killed and over 646,000 displaced
in the seven weeks the conflict has lasted to date, according to the United
Nations Office for Co-ordination of Humanitarian Affairs.

A key question revolves around the timelines for the UPDF presence in South
Sudan. While a senior Ugandan diplomat says "the mission is not
open-ended," and "we shall get our troops out as soon as the situation
normalises and there are no more killings or rape of civilians or after the
international community puts together a neutral force to take our place,"
concerns about the cost of the mission and the risk of unexpected outcomes
persist.

A lawyer who has worked at the International Criminal Court says while
Uganda may be in South Sudan on the invitation of the government there, it
will still have to answer for any human-rights violations that may be laid
at its door.

READ: Rights group cites crimes by both sides in South
Sudan<http://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/news/-/2558/2150916/-/76v8akz/-/index.html>

The actual duration of the UPDF mission will begin emerging when the
mediation process, which secured a shaky truce between embattled President
Salva Kiir and Dr Riek Machar, his former deputy, resumes on February 7.

Hosted in Ethiopia's capital Addis Ababa under the auspices of Igad, the
process is expected to review the setting up of various mechanisms agreed
in the January 23 agreement to cease hostilities. After that, it will look
into the substantive issues that set the country on the warpath on December
15.

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